Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Michigan State Spartans Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 09/24/2022

by Rod Pearson

Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, September 24, 2022
Venue:  Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, MI 
Where to Watch:  Big Ten Network

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Minnesota -2.5, MSU +2.5; Over/Under:  51 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Minnesota -3, MSU +3; Over/Under:  51 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Minnesota -3, MSU +3; Over/Under:  51 points
 

Season Record

Minnesota Golden Gophers:  3-0 (2nd place, Big Ten West)
Michigan State Spartans:  2-1 (7th place, Big Ten East)
 
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Recent Form
Minnesota Golden Gophers:  won their last game at home against the Colorado Buffaloes 49-7.
Michigan State Spartans:  lost their last game on the road against the Washington Huskies 39-28.

 

Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Michigan State Spartans Preview and Analysis

 
Minnesota is entering this game with a 3-0 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 1st road game of the season here. This will also be their 1st conference game of the college football season this year. They won against the Colorado Buffaloes in their last game at home 49-7. Tanner Morgan started that game at QB and he completed 11/16 passes for 157 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Mohamed Ibrahim led the team in rushing with 202 yards and 3 TDs on 23 rushing attempts. Chris Autman-Bell led the team in receiving with 58 yards and 1 TD on 3 receptions. Mariano Sori-Marin led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles. Terell Smith, Lorenza Surgers, and Danny Striggow led the defense in sacks with 1 each while no one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
 
 
 
MSU is entering this game with a 2-1 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 3rd home game of the season as they are 2-0 in their home games this year. This will also be the 1st conference matchup on their conference schedule this season. They lost against the Washington Huskies in their last game on the road 39-28. Payton Thorne started that game at QB and he completed 30/42 passes for 323 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Jalen Berger led the team in rushing with 27 yards on 13 carries. Keon Coleman led the team in receiving with 116 yards and 2 TDs on 9 receptions. Kendell Brooks led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles. No one on the defense recorded a sack for them or came away with an interception in that one.

 

Minnesota vs Michigan State Prediction

The current betting odds have MSU listed as a 2.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. MSU didn't look great in their last game as they lost to Washington by double digits and even lost their ranking in the top 25 after that. They were on the road for that game though and MSU is not a team that travels well when they go out West. They are back at home here and starting their conference schedule against Minnesota, they will play a lot better in this game and be more focused on winning it. Minnesota has looked good in their first few games but they also haven't played any tough teams yet and this will be their 1st real road test and against a conference team. This is actually their 1st road game of the year too, with their last 3 games being played at home against 1 FCS team, NM State, and Colorado who are all terrible programs. Minnesota is going to get hit hard in this game as MSU is angry and looking to take out those frustrations from their loss last week with a big win here at home. This is going to be a MSU upset here at home. The best way to place a bet here is on MSU to cover the spread in this game.
 
Minnesota Michigan State Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 24, 2022 (3:30 pm ET start time) is MSU 34 Minnesota 28.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Minnesota Golden Gophers Michigan State Spartans prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.
 

NCAAF Betting Trends

 
Minnesota Golden Gophers: 15-8 ATS in all games. 23-13 ATS as a road favorite. 14-8 OVER after a cover as a double digit favorite.
Michigan State Spartans: 23-31 ATS after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game. 8-4 OVER as an underdog. 8-4 OVER in home games.
 

Key Injuries

 
Minnesota Golden Gophers:  Z. Evans (RB) Ques Sat - Leg. N. Jones (TE) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. S. Pickerign (TE) Ques Sat - Foot. C. Autman-Bell (WR) out for season - Lower Body.
Michigan State Spartans:  J. Reed (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. E. Morris (TE) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. D. Snow (LB) out for season - Leg.
 

Notable Quotes

 
"A surgical performance. Offense, defense, special teams... they just go out there and execute the game plan." - P.J. Fleck after his team’s win against Colorado in their last game.
 
 
“It’s not time to freak out and go try to change everything. That’s not it. We’re just getting back to our process, maybe refining a couple things here or there.” - Payton Thorne after their loss against Washington in their last game.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Minnesota Golden Gophers
WR Wright, Dylan
WR Autman-Bell, Chris
WR Brown-Stephens, Michael 
TE Spann-Ford, Brevyn
QB Morgan, Tanner
RB Ibrahim, Mohamed 
 
Michigan State Spartans
WR Bernard, Germie
WR Coleman, Keon
WR Mosley, Tre 
TE Barker, Daniel
QB Thorne, Payton
RB Berger, Jalen 
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Minnesota Golden Gophers
Passing: T. Morgan (618)
Rushing: M. Ibrahim (464)
Receiving: C. Autman-Bell (214)
Touchdowns: M. Ibrahim (7)
 
Michigan State Spartans
Passing: P. Thorne (768)
Rushing: J. Berger (254)
Receiving: K. Coleman (236)
Touchdowns: J. Berger (4) 
 
Coaches:
Minnesota Golden Gophers: P.J. Fleck (6th season)
Michigan State Spartans: Mel Tucker (3rd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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