by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Monday, Nov 15, 2021
Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 20, 2021
Venue: Indiana University Memorial Stadium, Bloomington, IN
Where to Watch: Big Ten Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Minnesota -6.5, Indiana +6.5; Over/Under: 43.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Minnesota -6.5, Indiana +6.5; Over/Under: 43.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Minnesota -6.5, Indiana +6.5; Over/Under: 43.5 points
Season Record
Minnesota Golden Gophers: 6-4 (3rd place, Big Ten West)
Indiana Hoosiers: 2-8 (7th place, Big Ten East)
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Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Indiana Hoosiers Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Minnesota Golden Gophers: lost on the road on Nov. 13 against the Iowa Hawkeyes 27-22.
Indiana Hoosiers: lost at home on Nov. 13 against the Rutgers Scarlet Knights 38-3.
Minnesota Golden Gophers Analysis
Minnesota is coming into this game with a 6-4 record overall and they are 3-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 8th conference matchup of the year and they are currently 4-3 in their conference games this season. They are coming into this game on a 2 game losing streak after a loss in their last game. Tanner Morgan played alright in that game as he completed 14/30 passes for 183 yards and 1 touchdown. Cole Kramer also completed 1/1 pass for 37 yards and 1 touchdown as well. Ky Thomas had a nice day on the ground as he led the team in rushing with 126 yards on 29 carries while Mar'Keise Irving had 80 yards on 17 carries. Chris Autman-Bell had a nice day as he led the receivers with 109 yards and 1 touchdown on 5 receptions while Ko Kieft caught the other touchdown pass in that one. Jack Gibbens led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 3 assisted ones. No one on the defense recorded a sack or an interception for them in that one. They have scored 255 points in their 10 games this season averaging 25.5 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 192 points against them allowing 19.2 PPG. Their offense is averaging 366.4 YPG while their defense is allowing 296.8 YPG.
Indiana Hoosiers Analysis
Indiana is coming into this game with a 2-8 record overall and they are 1-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 8th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 0-7 in their conference games this season. They are coming into this one on a 6 game losing streak after another loss in their last game. None of their quarterbacks played well for them in that game. Jack Tuttle completed 5/10 passes for 26 yards and 2 interceptions, Grant Gremel completed 6/12 passes for 53 yards, and Donaven McCulley completed 7/20 passes for 98 yards. Tuttle led the team in rushing with 16 yards on 3 carries but they had no running game at all in that game. Ty Fryfogle led the receivers with 51 yards on 5 receptions. Raheem Layne led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 2 assisted ones. No one on the defense recorded a sack or an interception for them in that game. They have scored 186 points in their 10 games this season averaging 18.6 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 320 points against them allowing 32 PPG. Their offense is averaging 307.1 YPG while their defense is allowing 376.7 YPG.
Minnesota vs Indiana Prediction
Minnesota is coming into this game as a 6 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Minnesota lost their last game but they did not play awful as they stayed in that game and kept it close the entire time. Minnesota has had an up and down season but they still have found more success than Indiana has. Indiana has not even won a conference game this season and they are coming off of a loss at home where they only scored 3 points against Rutgers and allowed 38 in that game. Indiana does not look motivated on the field and look like they are ready for the season to end already. The best bet to place in this game is on Minnesota to cover the spread here as they are a much better team.
Minnesota Indiana Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 20, 2021 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Minnesota 28 Indiana 14.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Minnesota Golden Gophers: 177-161 ATS in all games. 72-68 ATS as a favorite. 22-13 ATS as a road favorite. 79-66 ATS in road games. 122-116 ATS against conference opponents.
Indiana Hoosiers: 29-48 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points. 146-175 ATS in all games. 90-120 ATS as an underdog. 35-56 ATS as a home underdog. 77-88 ATS in home games. 104-131 ATS against conference opponents.
Key Injuries
Minnesota Golden Gophers: B. Williams (RB) out for season - Undisclosed injury. T. Potts (RB) out for season - Undisclosed injury. M. Ibrahim (RB) out for season - Leg injury.
Indiana Hoosiers: S. Carr (RB) Ques Sat - Ankle injury. M. Penix Jr. (QB) Out indefinitely - Shoulder injury. D. Matthews Jr. (WR) out for season - Leg injury. D. Williams II (QB) out for season - Knee injury.
Notable Quotes
“I thought it was hit and miss. I mean whether it was I thought he threw some really good balls and we had some drops. I thought we had some okay balls that you know, never made it to us. But then I also thought he had some big throws late in the game. So you know just, you'd like to be able to see more completions, that's for sure. Too many drops. In my opinion, from what...I got to go back and watch the game, watch the film.” - P.J. Fleck on his team’s passing offense in their loss to Iowa.
"It was just a bad exchange. That just set the tone for the rest of the game and it was hard to come back from that." - Donaven McCulley on fumbling a hand-off on the first drive of their last game against Rutgers, a game that they lost.
Starting Lineups
Minnesota Golden Gophers
WR Autman-Bell, Chris
WR Brown-Stephens, Mike
WR Dylan Wright
TE Kieft, Ko
QB Morgan, Tanner
RB Irving, Mar'Keise
Indiana Hoosiers
WR Marshall, Miles
WR Fryfogle, Ty
WR Swinton, Javon
TE Hendershot, Peyton
QB McCulley, Donaven
RB Carr, Stephen
Statistical Leaders
Minnesota Golden Gophers
Passing: T. Morgan (1540)
Rushing: T. Potts (552)
Receiving: C. Autman-Bell (409)
Touchdowns: T. Potts (6)
Indiana Hoosiers
Passing: M. Penix Jr. (939)
Rushing: S. Carr (600)
Receiving: T. Fryfogle (496)
Touchdowns: S. Carr (6)
Coaches:
Minnesota Golden Gophers: P.J. Fleck (5th season)
Indiana Hoosiers: Tom Allen (6th season)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
