Milwaukee Bucks vs Washington Wizards Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/04/2023

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Apr 03, 2023
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Tuesday, March 4, 2023
Venue:  Capital One Arena, Washington, DC
Where to Watch:  NBCS-DC


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Bucks -11.5, Wizards +11.5; Over/Under:  230 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Bucks -11.5, Wizards +11.5; Over/Under:  230 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Bucks -11.5, Wizards +11.5; Over/Under:  230 points

Season Record

Milwaukee Bucks:  56-22 (1st place, Central Division)
Washington Wizards:  34-44 (3rd place, Southeast Division)

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Recent Form
Milwaukee Bucks:  7-3 last 10
Washington Wizards:  3-7 last 10


Milwaukee Bucks vs Washington Wizards Preview and Analysis


The Bucks are coming into this game with a 56-22 record overall and they are 25-14 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a win against the Philadelphia 76ers in their last game. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in points in that game with 33 while Brook Lopez was next on the team with 21 points. Khris Middleton led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 57.5% from the field, 34.5% from 3-point range, and 71.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 113 PPG against them. The Bucks have an ATS record of 42-30-6 this season and their O/U record is 39-39.



The Wizards are coming into this game with a 34-44 record overall and they are 18-20 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Orlando Magic and the New York Knicks in their last game. Corey Kispert led the team in points in that game with 29 while Jonathan Davis was next on the team with 16 points. Delon Wright led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Daniel Gafford and Jordan Goodwin each led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 49.4% from the field, 43.2% from 3-point range, and 83.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 113.9 PPG against them. The Wizards have an ATS record of 35-39-4 this season and their O/U record is 38-38-2.


Bucks vs Wizards Prediction

The current betting odds have the Bucks listed as an 11.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bucks have been having a great season with their 56-22 record overall making them the best team in the East and the entire NBA right now. They have been a great road team too with their 25-14 road record and they will have some momentum here after a huge win over the 76ers in their last game. The Wizards have been terrible this season with their 34-44 record overall and they haven't even been that good in their home games with an 18-20 home record. They have also lost 2 games in a row now and have no chance at making the playoffs this season. They have been dealing with injuries to some of their best players all season and now most of their star players in the starting lineup will be sitting in these last few games. The Bucks have already clinched their trip to the playoffs this year but they still have the number 1 seed in the East to defend with the Celtics right behind them so they will be playing their best in this game to lock that number 1 seed up. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bucks to cover the spread in this game. 

Bucks Wizards Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Tuesday, March 4, 2023 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Bucks 127 Wizards 101.
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NBA Betting Trends


Milwaukee Bucks: 39-21 ATS as a favorite. 14-4 ATS after playing 2 consecutive home games. 23-14 OVER after 1 or more consecutive unders.
Washington Wizards: 16-22 ATS in home games. 15-5 OVER as a home underdog. 23-14 OVER in home games.

Key Injuries


Milwaukee Bucks:  T. Antetokounmpo (SF) Elig Tues - Suspension. M. Leonard (PF) Out indefinitely - Calf.
Washington Wizards:  K. Porzingis (PF) Ques Tues - Illness. M. Morris (PG) Ques Tues - Ankle. B. Beal (SG) Out indefinitely - Knee. K. Kuzma (PF) Out indefinitely - Ankle.


Notable Quotes


“We certainly feel like Giannis is the MVP. I think what our team has been able to do — we’ve still got some more work to have the best record in the league — but best player, best record. What he does on both ends of the court — the rebounding the blocked shots, the defense, the guarding on the perimeter -- he does everything. Playmakes, attacks, gets to the free-throw line. We feel like he's in the conversation or he should be the guy.” - Mike Budenholzer after his team’s win against the 76ers in their game on Sunday.


“Some of the shots we were passing up, we've got to just take them, make or miss. I feel like that was the biggest thing — just not being confident in some of the shots we were taking.” - Delon Wright after their loss against the Magic in their game on Friday.


Starting Lineups


Milwaukee Bucks
PG Jrue Holiday
SG Grayson Allen
SF Khris Middleton
PF Giannis Antetokounmpo
C Brook Lopez

Washington Wizards
PG Monte Morris
SG Jordan Goodwin
SF Corey Kispert
PF Kristaps Porzingis
C Daniel Gafford

Statistical Leaders


Milwaukee Bucks
PPG: G. Antetokounmpo (31.1)
APG: J. Holiday (7.2)
Reb/G: G. Antetokounmpo (11.8)

Washington Wizards
PPG: B. Beal (23.2)
APG: B. Beal (5.4)
Reb/G: K. Porzingis (8.4)

Coaches:
Milwaukee Bucks: Mike Budenholzer (5th season)
Washington Wizards: Wes Unseld Jr. (2nd season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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