Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/12/2024

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Apr 11, 2024
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Friday, April 12, 2024
Venue:  Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK 
Where to Watch:  KSBI


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Bucks +10.5, Thunder -10.5; Over/Under:  223.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Bucks +10.5, Thunder -10.5; Over/Under:  223.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Bucks +10.5, Thunder -10.5; Over/Under:  223.5 points

Season Record

Milwaukee Bucks:  49-31 (1st place, Central Division)
Oklahoma City Thunder:  55-25 (2nd place, Northwest Division)

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Recent Form
Milwaukee Bucks:  4-6 last 10
Oklahoma City Thunder:  6-4 last 10


Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Preview and Analysis


The Bucks are entering this game with a 49-31 record overall and they are 18-20 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Boston Celtics and the Orlando Magic in their last game. Bobby Portis Jr. led the team in points in that game with 30 while Damian Lillard was next on the team with 29 points. Damian Lillard led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Bobby Portis Jr. led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 51.2% from the field, 37.5% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.3 PPG against them. The Bucks have an ATS record of 35-44-1 this season and their O/U record is 39-40-1.



The Thunder are entering this game with a 55-25 record overall and they are 31-8 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Charlotte Hornets, the Sacramento Kings, and the San Antonio Spurs in their last game. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in points in that game with 26 while Josh Giddey was next on the team with 20 points. Josh Giddey led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Josh Giddey led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 46.5% from the field, 42.1% from 3-point range, and 81% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 113.1 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 44-35-1 this season and their O/U record is 43-34-3.


Bucks vs Thunder Prediction

The current betting odds have the Thunder listed as a 10.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Thunder have looked great in their games this season with their 55-25 record overall which has them right near the top of the West right now with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They have looked great on their home court this year with their 31-8 home record and they are still in the race for the number 1 seed in the West, just 1 game behind the Nuggets who lead the conference. Meanwhile, the Bucks have looked really good in their games this season with their 49-31 record overall which has them right near the top of the East and in a playoff spot which they have clinched already. They can still lose their 2nd place in the East but not their playoff spot, and they haven't looked nearly as good in road games this year with their 18-20 road record. They have been gaining some momentum now with 2 wins in a row, but they are still only 4-6 in their last 10 games. The Thunder have been the much hotter team coming into this one with their 6-4 record in their last 10 games and they also have their own momentum now with 3 wins in a row. The Thunder have been so good at home this season and they are playing a lot better now with their star player back in the lineup. They also have more to play for here with the number 1 seed in the West on the line and this is a game they need to win to stay in the race. The best way to place a bet here is on the Thunder to cover the spread in this game.

Bucks Thunder Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, April 12, 2024 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Thunder 123 Bucks 102.
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NBA Betting Trends


Milwaukee Bucks: 14-29 ATS as a road underdog. 13-25 ATS off an upset win by 10 points or more as a home underdog. 8-2 UNDER as a road underdog. 7-2 UNDER against Northwest division opponents. 12-4 UNDER after playing 4 consecutive home games.

Oklahoma City Thunder: 20-12 ATS as a home favorite. 39-18 ATS after a win by 10 points or more. 27-13 ATS after allowing 100 points or less. 9-4 UNDER after allowing 100 points or less. 22-15 UNDER in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5.

Key Injuries


Milwaukee Bucks:  A. Green (PG) Ques Fri - Ankle. M. Beauchamp (SF) Ques Fri - Ankle. G. Antetokounmpo (SF) Mid April - Calf. J. Galloway (SF) Out indefinitely - Ankle.

Oklahoma City Thunder:  None.


Notable Quotes


“No timeline or anything like that, but we’ve got the best team working with him. There’s no one who’s going to work harder than him. You know that. He’ll be back when he should be back. We’ll find out when that is.” - Doc Rivers after his team’s win against the Magic in their game on Wednesday.


“I thought we were businesslike and serious to start the game, both ends of the floor, and really sustained it throughout. I thought we did a nice job tonight, playing the way that we want to play and stacking those possessions, regardless of the scoreboard. So give the guys a lot of credit.” - Mark Daigneault after his team’s win against the Spurs in their game on Wednesday.


Starting Lineups


Milwaukee Bucks
PG Damian Lillard
SG Patrick Beverley
SF Khris Middleton
PF Jae Crowder
C Brook Lopez

Oklahoma City Thunder
PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
SG Josh Giddey
SF Luguentz Dort
PF Jalen Williams
C Chet Holmgren

Statistical Leaders


Milwaukee Bucks
PPG: G. Antetokounmpo (30.4)
APG: D. Lillard (7)
Reb/G: G. Antetokounmpo (11.5)

Oklahoma City Thunder
PPG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (30.4)
APG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (6.2)
Reb/G: C. Holmgren (7.9)

Coaches:
Milwaukee Bucks: Doc Rivers (1st season)
Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (4th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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