Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/08/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Monday, Mar 07, 2022
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Tuesday, March 8, 2022
Venue:  Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
Where to Watch:  BSOK

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Bucks -14.5, Thunder +14.5; Over/Under:  231 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Bucks -14.5, Thunder +14.5; Over/Under:  231 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Bucks -14.5, Thunder +14.5; Over/Under:  230.5 points
 

Season Record

Milwaukee Bucks:  40-25 (1st place, Central Division)
Oklahoma City Thunder:  20-44 (5th place, Northwest Division)
 
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Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Milwaukee Bucks:  6-4 last 10
Oklahoma City Thunder:  3-7 last 10
 
 
 

Milwaukee Bucks Analysis

The Bucks are coming into this game with a 40-25 record overall and they are 17-13 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 4 of their last 5 games and are coming into this one on a 4 game winning streak. Their last loss was against the Brooklyn Nets while their 4 wins since then have come against the Charlotte Hornets, the Miami Heat, the Chicago Bulls, and the Phoenix Suns in their last game. Khris Middleton led the team in points in that game with 44 while Jrue Holiday was next on the team with 24 points. Holiday led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 54% from the field, 46.9% from 3-point range, and 79.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114 PPG and their defense is averaging their opponents to average 110.4 PPG against them. The Bucks have an ATS record of 29-36 this season and their O/U record is 33-32.
 
 

Oklahoma City Thunder Analysis

The Thunder are coming into this game with a 20-44 record overall and they are 9-23 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game losing streak. Their last win was against the Denver Nuggets while their 3 losses in that span came against the Sacramento Kings, the Minnesota Timberwolves, and the Utah Jazz in their last game. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in points in that game with 33 while Aleksej Pokuševski was next on the team with 12 points. Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Pokuševski led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 42.4% from the field, 20% from 3-point range, and 89.5% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 102.1 PPG and their defense is averaging their opponents to average 109.3 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 38-22-4 this season and their O/U record is 30-34.
 
 

 

Bucks vs Thunder Prediction

The Bucks are coming into this game playing very well in their recent games. They have won 4 straight games and they have been winning their games against some good opponents as well. They have even won 2 of their last 4 games by double digits and they are going up against one of the worst teams in the NBA. The Thunder have been having an awful season but right now their team is plagued by injuries. The Thunder just got their best player in Shai Gilgeous-Alexander back from an injury but now he does not have a lot of options to play with as most of the starters have gone down. This is already a bad Thunder team and now the Bucks will be going up against a severely weakened lineup of theirs. The Thunder have not been playing well in their current situation either as they have lost 3 of their last 4 games, all of them by double digits. The Bucks have been winning a lot recently and have won their way to the top of the Central Division. They are clearly making a big run and getting into playoff form right now and the Thunder will not be the team to even come close to stopping them. The Bucks will win this game by close to 20 points.
 
Bucks Thunder Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Tuesday, March 8, 2022 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Bucks 130 Thunder 112.
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NBA Betting Trends

 
Milwaukee Bucks: 7-14 ATS as a road underdog. 33-21 OVER after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games. 32-19 OVER off a home win by 10 points or more.
Oklahoma City Thunder: 40-22 ATS in all games. 17-11 ATS as a home underdog. 12-7 OVER off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog.
 

Key Injuries

 
Milwaukee Bucks:  W. Matthews (SG) Ques Tues - Hamstring injury. G. Hill (PG) Mid March - Neck injury. P. Connaughton (SG) Mid March - Finger injury. B. Lopez (C) Out indefinitely - Back injury.
Oklahoma City Thunder:  D. Favors (PF) Ques Tues - Back injury. K. Williams (SG) Out indefinitely - Knee injury. T. Jerome (SG) Out indefinitely - Hip injury. M. Muscala (PF) Mid March - Ankle injury. L. Dort (SG) Out indefinitely - Shoulder injury. J. Giddey (SG) Out indefinitely - Hip injury. J. Robinson-Earl (SF) Mid March - Foot injury.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"We love being in those types of games. They're a really good team. We kind of know what it takes, especially in moments like that, what it takes to win games." - Jrue Holiday after their win against the Suns on Sunday night.
 
 
"His early looks were clean, and he's a guy that, he walks in the gym confident. But when he sees the first three or four go in and they're open like that, he's hard to turn off." - Mark Daigneault on his team’s loss against the Jazz on Sunday night.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Milwaukee Bucks
PG     Jrue Holiday
SG     Grayson Allen
SF     Khris Middleton
PF     Giannis Antetokounmpo
C     Bobby Portis
 
Oklahoma City Thunder
PG     Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
SG     Aaron Wiggins
SF     Aleksej Pokusevski
PF     Darius Bazley
C     Isaiah Roby
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Milwaukee Bucks
PPG: G. Antetokounmpo (29.2)
APG: J. Holiday (6.7)
Reb/G: G. Antetokounmpo (11.6)
 
Oklahoma City Thunder
PPG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (24)
APG: J. Giddey (6.4)
Reb/G: J. Giddey (7.8)
 
Coaches:
Milwaukee Bucks: Mike Budenholzer (4th season)
Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (3rd season)
 


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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