Milwaukee Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Preview and Odds - 02/12/2026

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Thursday, February 12, 2026

Venue:  Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK

Where to Watch:  Prime Video

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Bucks +13.5, Thunder -13.5; Over/Under:  215.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Bucks +13.5, Thunder -13.5; Over/Under:  215.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Bucks +13.5, Thunder -13.5; Over/Under:  215.5 points

Milwaukee Bucks:  21-30 (4th place, Central Division)

Oklahoma City Thunder:  41-13 (1st place, Northwest Division)

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Milwaukee Bucks:  4-6 last 10

Oklahoma City Thunder:  5-5 last 10

The Bucks are entering this game with a 21-30 record overall this season and they are 9-18 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Orlando Magic, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Magic still to be played on Wednesday night. In their 1st game against the Magic, Kevin Porter Jr. led the team in points in that game with 28 while AJ Green was next on the team with 15 points. Kevin Porter Jr. led the team in assists in that game with 7 while AJ Green, Myles Turner, Ryan Rollins, and Jericho Sims each led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 46.8% from the field, 36.4% from 3-point range, and 71.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 111.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.8 PPG against them. The Bucks have an ATS record of 22-29 this season and their O/U record is 20-31.

The Thunder are entering this game with a 41-13 record overall this season and they are 22-5 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Los Angeles Lakers, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Phoenix Suns still to be played on Wednesday night. In their game against the Lakers, Jalen Williams led the team in points in that game with 23 while Isaiah Joe was next on the team with 19 points. Isaiah Hartenstein and Cason Wallace each led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Chet Holmgren led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 48.3% from the field, 42.4% from 3-point range, and 72.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 108 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 26-28 this season and their O/U record is 28-26.

The current betting odds have the Thunder listed as a 13.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Thunder have looked great in their games this season with their 41-13 record overall which has them right at the top of the West with the best record in the entire NBA. They have looked great on their home court too with their 22-5 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Bucks haven't looked good in their games this season with their 21-30 record overall which has them right in the bottom half of the East. They have been a terrible road team too with their 9-18 road record this year. The Bucks have been a disaster all year, even with Giannis playing, but they have looked a lot worse lately without him in the lineup. They are 4-6 in their last 10 games and coming off a loss to the Magic in their last one. The Thunder haven't looked that great lately themselves, going 5-5 in their last 10 games, but they are off a road win over the Lakers in their last one. They are also banged up as they have been missing their star player in the lineup, but they also have a lot more talent and depth than the Bucks have and the Thunder are starting to get into a groove now without SGA. The Thunder are on a back-to-back here and they have a tough game against the Suns the night before, but they have the youth and depth to be fine in these situations. The Bucks are also on a back-to-back themselves so they aren't in a great situation either, and they have struggled a lot more with their best player missing from the lineup, unlike the Thunder. The best way to place a bet here is on the Thunder to cover the spread in this game. 

Bucks Thunder Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, February 12, 2026 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Thunder 122 Bucks 107.

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Milwaukee Bucks: 1-5 ATS against Northwest division opponents. 4-8 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent. 10-17 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 20-7 UNDER revenging a loss vs opponent.

Oklahoma City Thunder: 21-11 ATS against Central division opponents. 27-11 ATS as a home favorite of 12.5 to 18 points. 25-15 ATS vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game. 10-5 UNDER at home when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%).

Milwaukee Bucks:  P. Nance (PF) Day To Day - Ankle. G. Antetokounmpo (PF) Out - Calf. T. Prince (SF) Out - Neck.

Oklahoma City Thunder:  A. Mitchell (SG) Out - Abdomen. S. Gilgeous-Alexander (PG) Out - Abdomen. N. Topic (PG) Out - Groin. T. Sorber (C) Out For Season - Knee.

“He’s gonna play when he’s healthy. We’re just gonna make sure he’s healthy. He’s getting close. He’s working out. He looks good, so I would say hopefully sooner than later.” - Doc Rivers on the injury to Giannis Antetokounmpo.

"He slammed the door on that game. It was impressive. He’s got such a body of work that we’re not overly concerned with how he plays coming back. We’re just happy he’s back. Obviously, he was huge tonight. We know he’s a big-time player.” - Mark Daigneault on Jalen Williams after his team’s win against the LA Lakers in their game on Monday.

PG Ryan Rollins

SG Kevin Porter Jr.

SF AJ Green

PF Kyle Kuzma

C Myles Turner

PG Jared McCain

SG Luguentz Dort

SF Jalen Williams

PF Chet Holmgren

C Isaiah Hartenstein

PPG: Giannis Antetokounmpo (28)

APG: Kevin Porter Jr. (7.5)

Reb/G: Giannis Antetokounmpo (10)

PPG: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (31.8)

APG: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (6.4)

Reb/G: Isaiah Hartenstein (9.9)

Coaches:

Milwaukee Bucks: Doc Rivers (3rd season)

Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (6th season)