Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/29/2025

Game Time: 6:00 pm ET, Tuesday, April 29, 2025

Venue:  Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN

Where to Watch:  NBA TV

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Bucks +7.5, Pacers -7.5; Over/Under:  224 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Bucks +7.5, Pacers -7.5; Over/Under:  223 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Bucks +7.5, Pacers -7.5; Over/Under:  222.5 points

Milwaukee Bucks:  48-34 (3rd place, Central Division)

Indiana Pacers:  50-32 (2nd place, Central Division)

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Milwaukee Bucks:  7-3 last 10

Indiana Pacers:  8-2 last 10

The Bucks are entering the playoffs with a 48-34 record overall this season and they were 20-20 in their road games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Indiana Pacers. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in points in that game with 28 while Kevin Porter Jr. was next on the team with 23 points. Giannis Antetokounmpo and Kevin Porter Jr. each led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in rebounds with 15. They were 41.6% from the field, 40.5% from 3-point range, and 82.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 113 PPG against them. The Bucks have an ATS record of 44-41-2 this season and their O/U record is 45-42.

The Pacers are entering the playoffs with a 50-32 record overall this season and they were 29-11 in their home games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Milwaukee Bucks. Myles Turner led the team in points in that game with 23 while Andrew Nembhard was next on the team with 20 points. Tyrese Haliburton led the team in assists in that game with 15 while Tyrese Haliburton led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 60.2% from the field, 46.2% from 3-point range, and 84.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.1 PPG against them. The Pacers have an ATS record of 39-44-3 this season and their O/U record is 45-39-2.

The current betting odds have the Pacers listed as a 7.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 5 of a 7 game series between the 4th seeded Pacers and the 5th seeded Bucks from the Eastern Conference for the 1st round of the NBA playoffs. The Pacers are leading this series 3-1 after winning game 4 on the road. The Pacers took a 3-1 series lead with a 129-103 win over the Bucks in the 4th game and they are now coming back home with a chance to end the series. The Pacers have looked like the much better team throughout this series and their 3 wins in the series have all been by 8 points or more too. The Bucks got their 1 win in game 3 when they went back home after being down 2-0, but the Pacers bounced back in the last game and the Bucks just don't have the talent to keep up. Most of the games in this series haven't even been close and even the 1 game they lost was very close in the 1st half. Now the Bucks could be without Lillard again and that is only going to hurt them even more as Giannis has been out there by himself in this series. The Pacers kicked the Bucks out of the playoffs last season too so they know what they need to do in this game to deliver the final blow in this series. The best way to place a bet here is on the Pacers to cover the spread in this game. 

Bucks Pacers Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Tuesday, April 29, 2025 (6:00 pm ET start time) is Pacers 124 Bucks 107.

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Milwaukee Bucks: 18-30 ATS as a road underdog. 5-10 ATS in the first round of the playoffs. 7-17 ATS revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more. 25-14 UNDER as an underdog  of 3.5 to 9.5 points.

Indiana Pacers: 36-28 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). 89-55 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% of their attempts or more. 36-17 ATS when playing 4 or less games in 10 days. 7-3 UNDER after a game where they made 60% of their shots or better.

Milwaukee Bucks:  T. Smith (PF) Out - Ankle. D. Lillard (PG) Day To Day - Leg.

Indiana Pacers:  B. Mathurin (SF) Out - Abdomen. I. Jackson (C) Out For Season - Calf.

“They’re going to do an image tomorrow. Obviously, it’s lower leg. And, just being honest, it’s not very promising.” - Doc Rivers on the injury to Lillard after his team’s loss against the Pacers in game 4 of this series on Sunday.

“I feel like we kind of let our foot off the gas pedal (in Game 3). I thought we responded the right way today." - Tyrese Haliburton after their win against the Bucks in game 4 of this series on Sunday.

PG Damian Lillard

SG Gary Trent Jr.

SF Kyle Kuzma

PF Giannis Antetokounmpo

C Brook Lopez

PG Tyrese Haliburton

SG Andrew Nembhard

SF Aaron Nesmith

PF Pascal Siakam

C Myles Turner

PPG: G. Antetokounmpo (30.4)

APG: D. Lillard (7.1)

Reb/G: G. Antetokounmpo (11.9)

PPG: P. Siakam (20.2)

APG: T. Haliburton (9.2)

Reb/G: P. Siakam (6.9)

Coaches:

Milwaukee Bucks: Doc Rivers (2nd season)

Indiana Pacers: Rick Carlisle (4th season)