Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Saturday, April 19, 2025
Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
Where to Watch: ESPN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Bucks +5, Pacers -5; Over/Under: 225 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Bucks +5, Pacers -5; Over/Under: 225 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Bucks +4.5, Pacers -4.5; Over/Under: 225.5 points
Season Record
Milwaukee Bucks: 48-34 (3rd place, Central Division)
Indiana Pacers: 50-32 (2nd place, Central Division)
Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Big Al McMordie is on a HOT STREAK in the NBA on a 13-6 NBA RUN for +$6,390 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.
Recent Form
Milwaukee Bucks: 8-2 last 10
Indiana Pacers: 8-2 last 10
Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers Preview and Analysis
The Bucks are entering the playoffs with a 48-34 record overall this season and they were 20-20 in their road games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on an 8 game winning streak with wins coming against the Phoenix Suns, the Philadelphia 76ers, the Miami Heat, the New Orleans Pelicans, the Minnesota Timberwolves, the Pelicans again, and the Detroit Pistons twice in a row. Pat Connaughton led the team in points in that game with 43 while Kyle Kuzma was next on the team with 22 points. Jamaree Bouyea led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Pat Connaughton led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 58.1% from the field, 52.3% from 3-point range, and 77.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 113 PPG against them. The Bucks have an ATS record of 43-38-2 this season and their O/U record is 43-40.
The Pacers are entering the playoffs with a 50-32 record overall this season and they were 29-11 in their home games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Cleveland Cavaliers. Quenton Jackson led the team in points in that game with 21 while Johnny Furphy was next on the team with 15 points. RayJ Dennis led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Tony Bradley led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 40.3% from the field, 23.8% from 3-point range, and 90.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.1 PPG against them. The Pacers have an ATS record of 36-43-3 this season and their O/U record is 43-37-2.
Bucks vs Pacers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Pacers listed as a 5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 1 of a 7 game series between the 4th seeded Pacers and the 5th seeded Bucks from the Eastern Conference for the 1st round of the NBA playoffs. The Pacers have looked really good in their games this season with their 50-32 record overall and they have looked great on their home court too with their 29-11 home record. Meanwhile, the Bucks have looked good in their games this season with their 48-34 record overall, but they haven't been a great road team with their 20-20 road record. The Bucks have been really hot lately as they are 8-2 in their last 10 games and they have a ton of momentum on their side with 8 wins in a row now. As good as the Bucks have been lately, it still wasn't enough to get them home advantage in this series and they were also beating up on a lot of weaker opponents who didn't make the playoffs. The Pacers have also been just as hot lately as they are 8-2 in their last 10 games and are coming off a win over the Cavs to end the regular season. The Pacers did a very similar thing last season as they got really hot at the end of the season and ended up making a run to the Eastern Conference Finals. The Pacers can use that experience to get by the Bucks in this series and they will be looking to set the tone in this first game. The Bucks were derailed last season by injuries in the playoffs, and this season won't be any different for them with Lillard unavailable for this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Pacers to cover the spread in this game.
Bucks Pacers Prediction: Our NBA Pick for Saturday, April 19, 2025 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Pacers 125 Bucks 112.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert basketball picks today. And if you enjoyed this Milwaukee Bucks Indiana Pacers prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NBA predictions and previews.
NBA Betting Trends
Milwaukee Bucks: 11-22 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less. 3-6 ATS off an upset win as a home underdog. 15-24 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%). 18-9 OVER after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. 9-2 OVER in all playoff games. 14-4 OVER off a home win against a division rival.
Indiana Pacers: 22-15 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less. 86-54 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% of their attempts or more. 10-3 ATS when playing with 3 or more days rest. 23-15 OVER as a home favorite of 6 points or less. 11-6 OVER in all playoff games. 11-2 1H OVER off a road win against a division rival.
Key Injuries
Milwaukee Bucks: D. Lillard (PG) Day To Day - Calf. R. Rollins (PG) Day To Day - Shoulder. T. Prince (SF) Day To Day - Knee. G. Antetokounmpo (PF) Day To Day - Shoulder. G. Trent Jr. (SG) Day To Day - Knee. K. Porter Jr. (SG) Day To Day - Wrist. J. Sims (C) Out - Thumb.
Indiana Pacers: P. Siakam (PF) Day To Day - Elbow. T. Haliburton (PG) Day To Day - Back. B. Sheppard (SG) Day To Day - Toe. Q. Jackson (PG) Out For Season - Calf.
Notable Quotes
“We like our defense. We don’t like our transition defense right now. That’s one area where we thought we were doing great, and it’s kind of slipped away.” - Doc Rivers on his team coming into this playoff series against the Pacers.
“Certainly proud of the group that finished the game. They showed so much courage and fortitude, it was amazing. Because of those guys, we have a 50-win season, which is something to really be proud of. Everyone kept saying to hang in and get a chance. These guys were inspirational.” - Rick Carlisle after his team’s win against the Cavaliers in their regular season finale on Sunday.
Starting Lineups
Milwaukee Bucks
PG Ryan Rollins
SG Taurean Prince
SF Kyle Kuzma
PF Giannis Antetokounmpo
C Brook Lopez
Indiana Pacers
PG Tyrese Haliburton
SG Andrew Nembhard
SF Aaron Nesmith
PF Pascal Siakam
C Myles Turner
Statistical Leaders
Milwaukee Bucks
PPG: G. Antetokounmpo (30.4)
APG: D. Lillard (7.1)
Reb/G: G. Antetokounmpo (11.9)
Indiana Pacers
PPG: P. Siakam (20.2)
APG: T. Haliburton (9.2)
Reb/G: P. Siakam (6.9)
Coaches:
Milwaukee Bucks: Doc Rivers (2nd season)
Indiana Pacers: Rick Carlisle (4th season)