Milwaukee Bucks vs Houston Rockets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 02/25/2025

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Feb 24, 2025
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Tuesday, February 25, 2025
Venue:  Toyota Center, Houston, TX
Where to Watch:  SCHN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Bucks +3.5, Rockets -3.5; Over/Under:  227.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Bucks +3.5, Rockets -3.5; Over/Under:  227.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Bucks +3.5, Rockets -3.5; Over/Under:  227.5 points

Season Record

Milwaukee Bucks:  32-24 (3rd place, Central Division)
Houston Rockets:  35-22 (2nd place, Southwest Division)

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Recent Form
Milwaukee Bucks:  6-4 last 10
Houston Rockets:  3-7 last 10


Milwaukee Bucks vs Houston Rockets Preview and Analysis


The Bucks are entering this game with a 32-24 record overall this season and they are 12-15 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 4 game winning streak with wins coming against the Minnesota Timberwolves, the Los Angeles Clippers, the Washington Wizards, and the Miami Heat. Damian Lillard led the team in points in that game with 28 while Giannis Antetokounmpo was next on the team with 23 points. Damian Lillard led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in rebounds with 16. They were 51.2% from the field, 35.9% from 3-point range, and 81.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.6 PPG against them. The Bucks have an ATS record of 26-30-1 this season and their O/U record is 28-29.



The Rockets are entering this game with a 35-22 record overall this season and they are 18-9 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Utah Jazz. Alperen Şengün led the team in points in that game with 27 while Jalen Green was next on the team with 25 points. Jalen Green led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Alperen Şengün led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 44% from the field, 39.5% from 3-point range, and 55.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 112.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109 PPG against them. The Rockets have an ATS record of 30-26-1 this season and their O/U record is 30-26-1.


Bucks vs Rockets Prediction

The current betting odds have the Bucks listed as a 3.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bucks have looked good in their games this season with their 32-24 record overall which has them in the top half of the East and in a playoff spot. They haven't been a good road team this year with their 12-15 road record, but they have been really hot lately. Meanwhile, the Rockets have looked good in their games this season with their 35-22 record overall which has them in the top half of the West and in a playoff spot. They have looked great on their home court this year with their 18-9 home record, but lately they have been struggling a lot. They are coming off a bad loss to the Jazz in their last one and the Jazz are one of the worst teams in the West. They are also 3-7 in their last 10 games and have been struggling a lot over the last few weeks with Fred VanVleet out of their lineup. The Bucks have been the complete opposite though, going 6-4 in their last 10 games as they are starting to get hot now. They are coming off a win over the Heat in their last one and they have a ton of momentum on their side with 4 wins in a row now. They haven't lost a game since coming out of the All-Star break, and that week off came at the perfect time for them since they have been healthy and now dominating in their games. The trade for Kyle Kuzma has also helped their team in their games lately. The Bucks are rolling right now and they can take advantage of a struggling Rockets team that is still missing a key player in their lineup. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bucks to cover the spread in this game. 

Bucks Rockets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Tuesday, February 25, 2025 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Bucks 108 Rockets 97.
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NBA Betting Trends


Milwaukee Bucks: 13-28 ATS as a road underdog. 5-9 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 93 or more shots/game. 10-23 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%). 25-16 UNDER as a road underdog.

Houston Rockets: 13-5 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite. 27-17 ATS at home revenging a road loss vs opponent. 21-12 ATS at home versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 turnovers/game or less. 38-27 UNDER as a home underdog.

Key Injuries


Milwaukee Bucks:  P. Connaughton (SG) Out - Calf.

Houston Rockets:  S. Adams (C) Day To Day - Ankle. J. Tate (SF) Day To Day - Back. T. Eason (PF) Day To Day - Leg. F. VanVleet (PG) Day To Day - Ankle. C. Zeller (C) Out - Personal.


Notable Quotes


“I thought the invisible hero was Kuz defensively. On Herro in the last four minutes. I thought that was terrific." - Doc Rivers after his team’s win against the Heat in their game on Sunday.


"It was an ugly, embarrassing, non-competitive game all the way around." - Ime Udoka after his team’s loss against the Jazz in their game on Saturday.


Starting Lineups


Milwaukee Bucks
PG Damian Lillard
SG Taurean Prince
SF Kyle Kuzma
PF Giannis Antetokounmpo
C Brook Lopez

Houston Rockets
PG Aaron Holiday
SG Jalen Green 
SF Amen Thompson
PF Jabari Smith Jr.
C Alperen Sengun

Statistical Leaders


Milwaukee Bucks
PPG: G. Antetokounmpo (31.2)
APG: D. Lillard (7.5)
Reb/G: G. Antetokounmpo (11.9)

Houston Rockets
PPG: J. Green (21.5)
APG: F. VanVleet (5.8)
Reb/G: A. Sengun (10.5)

Coaches:
Milwaukee Bucks: Doc Rivers (2nd season)
Houston Rockets: Ime Udoka (2nd season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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