Milwaukee Bucks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/06/2024

Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Wednesday, March 6, 2024

Venue:  Chase Center, San Francisco, CA

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Bucks +3, Warriors -3; Over/Under:  228.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Bucks +3, Warriors -3; Over/Under:  228.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Bucks +3.5, Warriors -3.5; Over/Under:  228.5 points

Milwaukee Bucks:  41-21 (1st place, Central Division)

Golden State Warriors:  32-28 (5th place, Pacific Division)

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Milwaukee Bucks:  8-2 last 10

Golden State Warriors:  7-3 last 10

The Bucks are entering this game with a 41-21 record overall and they are 16-14 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 6 game winning streak with wins coming against the Minnesota Timberwolves, the Philadelphia 76ers, the Charlotte Hornets twice in a row, the Chicago Bulls, and the Los Angeles Clippers in their last game. Damian Lillard led the team in points in that game with 41 while Bobby Portis Jr. was next on the team with 28 points. Damian Lillard led the team in assists in that game with 4 while Bobby Portis Jr. led the team in rebounds with 16. They were 47.4% from the field, 38.5% from 3-point range, and 85.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 121.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.9 PPG against them. The Bucks have an ATS record of 27-34-1 this season and their O/U record is 29-32-1.

The Warriors are entering this game with a 32-28 record overall and they are 16-15 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Boston Celtics in their last game. Lester Quinones led the team in points in that game with 17 while Moses Moody was next on the team with 11 points. Chris Paul led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Gui Santos led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 39.1% from the field, 17.1% from 3-point range, and 69.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117.2 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 33-26-1 this season and their O/U record is 30-30.

The current betting odds have the Bucks listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bucks have looked really good in their games this season with their 41-21 record overall which has them right near the top of the East with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They have also been a good road team with their 16-14 road record. Meanwhile, the Warriors have looked good in their games this season with their 32-28 record overall, but that record only has them in a play-in spot for the playoffs in the West right now and fighting to keep it. They haven't been that great on their home court this season with their 16-15 home record either. They have looked a lot better in their games lately as they are 7-3 in their last 10 games, but they have lost a lot of that momentum now as they just took a really bad road loss against the Celtics in their last one, losing by over 50 points. They will be looking to bounce back in this game on their home court but they have been such an inconsistent team all season and the Bucks have been the much hotter team coming into this one. The Bucks have looked really good in their games lately as they are finally starting to click now with their 8-2 record in their last 10 games and they have a ton of momentum on their side with 6 wins in a row too. They weren't great under Doc Rivers in their first few games but now they are responding to his coaching method and the improvements can be seen in the way they have been playing. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bucks to cover the spread in this game. 

Bucks Warriors Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, March 6, 2024 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Bucks 112 Warriors 104.

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Milwaukee Bucks: 13-27 ATS as a road underdog. 7-13 ATS in non-conference games. 14-8 UNDER after 6 or more consecutive wins. 24-17 UNDER after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite. 26-14 UNDER as a road underdog.

Golden State Warriors: 12-3 ATS as a home underdog. 50-28 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent. 8-4 ATS after a blowout loss by 20 points or more. 12-7 UNDER after playing 4 consecutive road games. 26-16 UNDER when playing with 2 days rest.

Milwaukee Bucks:  C. Livingston (SF) Ques Wed - Groin. G. Antetokounmpo (SF) Ques Wed - Achilles. M. Beauchamp (SF) Ques Wed - Foot. K. Middleton (SF) Out indefinitely - Ankle.

Golden State Warriors:  K. Thompson (SG) Ques Wed - Hamstring. B. Podziemski (SG) Ques Wed - Knee. A. Wiggins (SF) Ques Wed - Personal.

“Nobody talked about who wasn't playing before the game. It was literally like we were in the locker room, Doc didn't come in there and say, ‘All right, Giannis is out. Khris is out.’ It was like, we went in there, we talked about the scouting report and what we needed to do to win the game, and that was it. I think that just shows what's expected, the standard that we're starting to have and who we're becoming as a team.” - Damian Lillard after their win against the LA Clippers in their game on Monday.

“Boston was amazing. We weren't beating them today. This was not a day off for Steph, though he probably could have used one. He's played so well and for so long this year, hopefully the next few days he'll get it recharged.” - Steve Kerr after his team’s loss against the Celtics in their game on Sunday.

PG Damian Lillard

SG Malik Beasley

SF Jae Crowder 

PF Giannis Antetokounmpo

C Brook Lopez

PG Stephen Curry

SG Brandin Podziemski

SF Moses Moody

PF Jonathan Kuminga

C Draymond Green

PPG: G. Antetokounmpo (30.8)

APG: D. Lillard (6.7)

Reb/G: G. Antetokounmpo (11.3)

PPG: S. Curry (27.1)

APG: C. Paul (7.1)

Reb/G: D. Green (7)

Coaches:

Milwaukee Bucks: Doc Rivers (1st season)

Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (10th season)