Milwaukee Bucks vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/01/2025

Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Saturday, March 1, 2025

Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX

Where to Watch:  KFAA

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Bucks -2.5, Mavericks +2.5; Over/Under:  229 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Bucks -2.5, Mavericks +2.5; Over/Under:  229 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Bucks -2.5, Mavericks +2.5; Over/Under:  229 points

Milwaukee Bucks:  33-25 (3rd place, Central Division)

Dallas Mavericks:  32-28 (3rd place, Southwest Division)

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Milwaukee Bucks:  7-3 last 10

Dallas Mavericks:  6-4 last 10

The Bucks are entering this game with a 33-25 record overall this season and they are 12-16 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Denver Nuggets. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in points in that game with 28 while Brook Lopez was next on the team with 22 points. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in rebounds with 19. They were 46.7% from the field, 41.2% from 3-point range, and 82.1% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.4 PPG against them. The Bucks have an ATS record of 27-31-1 this season and their O/U record is 28-31.

The Mavericks are entering this game with a 32-28 record overall this season and they are 19-11 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Charlotte Hornets. Kyrie Irving led the team in points in that game with 25 while Moses Brown was next on the team with 20 points. Naji Marshall led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Moses Brown led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 41.2% from the field, 30.6% from 3-point range, and 75% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 113.1 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 31-27-2 this season and their O/U record is 30-30.

The current betting odds have the Bucks listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bucks have looked good in their games this season with their 33-25 record overall which has them in the top half of the East and in a playoff spot. They haven't been a great road team though with their 12-16 road record. Meanwhile, the Mavericks have looked good in their games this season with their 32-28 record overall, but that record has them in the bottom half of the West and in a play-in spot. They have looked good on their home court with their 19-11 home record, but they have been sliding down the standings over the last few weeks and haven't been the same team without Luka Doncic. They are coming off a win over the Hornets in their last one and they have been looking better lately as they are 6-4 in their last 10 games, but a lot of that has been them beating up on much worse teams. The Bucks are 7-3 in their last 10 games and they are coming off a nice win over the Nuggets in their last one. The Mavericks were on the wrong side of their trade for Anthony Davis, but the Bucks have been benefiting from their trade for Kyle Kuzma. Kuzma has helped them improve lately and now that Giannis has been getting healthier, the Bucks are going to be a dangerous team to get hot down the stretch. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bucks to cover the spread in this game. 

Bucks Mavericks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Saturday, March 1, 2025 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Bucks 112 Mavericks 106.

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Milwaukee Bucks: 18-26 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 1-6 ATS off an upset win as a home underdog. 3-9 ATS on the road against Southwest division opponents. 27-16 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230.

Dallas Mavericks: 16-10 ATS after 3 or more consecutive unders. 28-19 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). 19-11 1H ATS as a home underdog. 29-18 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%).

Milwaukee Bucks:  P. Connaughton (SG) Day To Day - Calf.

Dallas Mavericks:  P. Washington (PF) Day To Day - Ankle. C. Martin (SF) Day To Day - Hip. A. Davis (PF) Out - Groin. D. Gafford (C) Out - Knee. D. Lively (C) Out - Ankle.

"We just played well, man. We look at it, we beat the (Los Angeles) Clippers, we beat Oklahoma whether it counts or not, we still beat 'em, and then won this game. So we're not going to let that be taken away from us. It doesn't mean anything except for it's a home game that we needed. And it was a well played game, it was a very physical game." - Doc Rivers after his team’s win against the Nuggets in their game on Thursday.

"He’s doing extremely well. The energy is positive, he feels good. Happy that he’s on the court, but just in conversation he says he feels great. So hopefully he’s trending in the right direction and we’ll find out here shortly how everything’s going." - Jason Kidd on the injury to Anthony Davis.

PG Damian Lillard

SG Taurean Prince

SF Kyle Kuzma

PF Giannis Antetokounmpo

C Brook Lopez

PG Kyrie Irving

SG Max Christie

SF Klay Thompson

PF P.J. Washington

C Moses Brown

PPG: G. Antetokounmpo (30.9)

APG: D. Lillard (7.3)

Reb/G: G. Antetokounmpo (12.1)

PPG: A. Davis (25.7)

APG: K. Irving (4.7)

Reb/G: A. Davis (12)

Coaches:

Milwaukee Bucks: Doc Rivers (2nd season)

Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (4th season)