Milwaukee Bucks vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 02/03/2024

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Feb 02, 2024
Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Saturday, February 3, 2024
Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX 
Where to Watch:  BSSW


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Bucks -3.5, Mavericks +3.5; Over/Under:  251.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Bucks -3.5, Mavericks +3.5; Over/Under:  251.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Bucks -3.5, Mavericks +3.5; Over/Under:  251.5 points

Season Record

Milwaukee Bucks:  32-16 (1st place, Central Division)
Dallas Mavericks:  26-22 (2nd place, Southwest Division)

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Recent Form
Milwaukee Bucks:  6-4 last 10
Dallas Mavericks:  4-6 last 10


Milwaukee Bucks vs Dallas Mavericks Preview and Analysis


The Bucks are entering this game with a 32-16 record overall and they are 11-11 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Denver Nuggets and the Portland Trail Blazers in their last game. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in points in that game with 27 while Damian Lillard was next on the team with 25 points. Khris Middleton led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 48.9% from the field, 28.9% from 3-point range, and 72.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 123.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 119.9 PPG against them. The Bucks have an ATS record of 18-29-1 this season and their O/U record is 28-20.



The Mavericks are entering this game with a 26-22 record overall and they are 14-12 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Minnesota Timberwolves in their last game. Josh Green led the team in points in that game with 18 while Jaden Hardy was next on the team with 15 points. Richaun Holmes, Seth Curry, and Dwight Powell each led the team in assists in that game with 3 while Richaun Holmes led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 40.8% from the field, 20.7% from 3-point range, and 73.1% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 118.6 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 24-24 this season and their O/U record is 25-22-1.


Bucks vs Mavericks Prediction

The current betting odds have the Bucks listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bucks have looked really good in their games this season with their 32-16 record overall which has them right near the top of the East with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They haven't looked as good in their road games with their 11-11 road record this season, but they did just take a bad loss in Portland against one of the worst teams in the NBA and they will be looking to bounce back in this game with a better performance. Meanwhile, the Mavericks have looked good in their games this season with their 26-22 record overall which has them fighting for a play-in spot in the West right now. They haven't looked that great on their home court either with their 14-12 home record and they are also dealing with some key injuries in their starting lineup. They just got embarrassed in their last game against the Timberwolves and even though they are back at home here, the Bucks still have a lot more talent on their side and will be looking to bounce back too after their loss the other night. The Bucks are in a better situation right now with their stars being a lot healthier than the Mavericks. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bucks to cover the spread in this game. 

Bucks Mavericks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Saturday, February 3, 2024 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Bucks 128 Mavericks 122.
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NBA Betting Trends


Milwaukee Bucks: 18-30 ATS in all games. 12-25 ATS as a road underdog. 2-8 ATS off a road loss. 10-19 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread. 17-9 OVER against Southwest division opponents. 27-18 OVER off a road loss. 

Dallas Mavericks: 14-4 ATS after a blowout loss by 20 points or more. 19-6 ATS after scoring 95 points or less. 14-6 OVER after 1 or more consecutive losses. 10-4 OVER after a loss by 10 points or more. 12-7 OVER revenging a loss where the opponent scored 110 or more points.

Key Injuries


Milwaukee Bucks:  None.

Dallas Mavericks:  K. Irving (PG) Ques Sat - Thumb. L. Doncic (SF) Ques Sat - Ankle. D. Lively II (C) Ques Sat - Nose. D. Exum (PG) Ques Sat - Knee. D. Jones Jr. (SF) Ques Sat - Wrist.


Notable Quotes


“These games are tough games. The home teams want to beat the guy coming back. You could see it in their jubilation over the game.” - Doc Rivers after his team’s loss against the Trail Blazers in their game on Wednesday.


“Hopefully they get healthy soon, but at the end of the day, we can’t be down whether the guys sit or not. We have to go into every game with the same mindset.” - Josh Green after their loss against the Timberwolves in their game on Wednesday.


Starting Lineups


Milwaukee Bucks
PG Damian Lillard
SG Malik Beasley
SF Khris Middleton
PF Giannis Antetokounmpo
C Brook Lopez

Dallas Mavericks
PG Luka Doncic
SG Tim Hardaway Jr.
SF Josh Green
PF Grant Williams
C Dereck Lively II

Statistical Leaders


Milwaukee Bucks
PPG: G. Antetokounmpo (30.9)
APG: D. Lillard (6.8)
Reb/G: G. Antetokounmpo (11.6)

Dallas Mavericks
PPG: L. Doncic (34.7)
APG: L. Doncic (9.6)
Reb/G: L. Doncic (8.6)

Coaches:
Milwaukee Bucks: Doc Rivers (1st season)
Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (3rd season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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