Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/20/2024

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Mar 19, 2024
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Wednesday, March 20, 2024
Venue:  TD Garden, Boston, MA 
Where to Watch:  ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Bucks +6.5, Celtics -6.5; Over/Under:  223.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Bucks +6.5, Celtics -6.5; Over/Under:  223.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Bucks +6.5, Celtics -6.5; Over/Under:  223.5 points

Season Record

Milwaukee Bucks:  44-24 (1st place, Central Division)
Boston Celtics:  54-14 (1st place, Atlantic Division)

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Recent Form
Milwaukee Bucks:  7-3 last 10
Boston Celtics:  8-2 last 10


Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics Preview and Analysis


The Bucks are entering this game with a 44-24 record overall and they are 17-17 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Philadelphia 76ers and the Phoenix Suns in their last game. Damian Lillard and Bobby Portis Jr. each led the team in points in that game with 31 while Khris Middleton was next on the team with 22 points. Damian Lillard led the team in assists in that game with 16 while Bobby Portis Jr. led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 54.3% from the field, 58.5% from 3-point range, and 100% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117.3 PPG against them. The Bucks have an ATS record of 30-37-1 this season and their O/U record is 32-35-1.



The Celtics are entering this game with a 54-14 record overall and they are 31-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 6 game winning streak with wins coming against the Phoenix Suns, the Portland Trail Blazers, the Utah Jazz, the Suns again, the Washington Wizards, and the Detroit Pistons in their last game. Jaylen Brown led the team in points in that game with 31 while Payton Pritchard was next on the team with 23 points. Derrick White led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Derrick White and Luke Kornet each led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 45.3% from the field, 44.9% from 3-point range, and 84.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 121 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.3 PPG against them. The Celtics have an ATS record of 36-29-3 this season and their O/U record is 32-36.


Bucks vs Celtics Prediction

The current betting odds have the Celtics listed as a 6.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Celtics have looked great in their games this season with their 54-14 record overall which has them at the top of the East with the best record in the NBA. They also have the best home record in the NBA with their 31-3 home record and they have been so good in those games all year. Meanwhile, the Bucks have also looked good in their games this season with their 44-24 record overall which has them near the top of the East right now, but even with one of the best records in the NBA they sit almost 10 games behind the Celtics in 1st. The Bucks haven't looked as good in their road games either with their 17-17 road record. They have been hot lately with their 7-3 record in their last 10 games and 2 wins in a row now coming into this one, but they still haven't been as hot as the Celtics have been lately. The Celtics are 8-2 in their last 10 games and have a lot more momentum on their side with 6 wins in a row. The Bucks are one of the best teams in the NBA right now and the closest team to catching the Celtics in the East, they will bring their best effort for the Bucks on their home court to show that the Bucks still can't compete with them. The best way to place a bet here is on the Celtics to cover the spread in this game.

Bucks Celtics Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, March 20, 2024 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Celtics 144 Bucks 124.
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NBA Betting Trends


Milwaukee Bucks: 13-29 ATS as a road underdog. 12-25 ATS off an upset win by 10 points or more as a home underdog. 2-9 ATS after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher. 8-1 UNDER as a road underdog. 14-7 UNDER after a win by 10 points or more. 6-1 UNDER after a combined score of 265 points or more.

Boston Celtics: 5-1 ATS as a home underdog. 8-4 ATS after a cover as a double digit favorite. 22-12 ATS after a game where they covered the spread. 6-3 UNDER off a home blowout win by 20 points or more. 21-8 UNDER after 4 straight wins by 10 points or more. 

Key Injuries


Milwaukee Bucks:  C. Livingston (SF) Ques Wed - Ankle. G. Antetokounmpo (SF) Ques Wed - Hamstring. M. Beauchamp (SF) Ques Wed - Back.

Boston Celtics:  J. Tatum (SF) Ques Wed - Ankle. J. Holiday (PG) Ques Wed - Shoulder. J. Davison (PG) Ques Wed - Illness. S. Hauser (SF) Ques Wed - Ankle.


Notable Quotes


“It’s not an injury, we were just concerned a little bit. Plus, when you look at the schedule, you have one, two, three, four, five days off. We planted it in him and he had to do it. We’re happy that he decided to do it.” - Doc Rivers after his team’s win against the Suns in their game on Sunday.


“I'm happy for him. He's continued to grow as a two-way player on both sides of the ball.” - Joe Mazzulla after his team’s win against the Pistons in their game on Monday.


Starting Lineups


Milwaukee Bucks
PG Damian Lillard
SG Malik Beasley
SF Khris Middleton
PF Giannis Antetokounmpo
C Brook Lopez

Boston Celtics
PG Jrue Holiday
SG Derrick White
SF Jaylen Brown
PF Jayson Tatum
C Kristaps Porzingis

Statistical Leaders


Milwaukee Bucks
PPG: G. Antetokounmpo (30.8)
APG: D. Lillard (7)
Reb/G: G. Antetokounmpo (11.2)

Boston Celtics
PPG: J. Tatum (27.1)
APG: D. White (5.1)
Reb/G: J. Tatum (8.3)

Coaches:
Milwaukee Bucks: Doc Rivers (1st season)
Boston Celtics: Joe Mazzulla (2nd season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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