Milwaukee Bucks vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/14/2026

Game Time: 3:00 pm ET, Saturday, March 14, 2026

Venue:  State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA

Where to Watch:  FDSWI, FDSSE-ATL

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Bucks +8.5, Hawks -8.5; Over/Under:  229.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Bucks +8.5, Hawks -8.5; Over/Under:  229.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Bucks +8.5, Hawks -8.5; Over/Under:  229.5 points

Milwaukee Bucks:  27-38 (3rd place, Central Division)

Atlanta Hawks:  35-31 (3rd place, Southeast Division)

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Milwaukee Bucks:  3-7 last 10

Atlanta Hawks:  9-1 last 10

The Bucks are entering this game with a 27-38 record overall this season and they are 12-20 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game losing streak with losses coming against the Orlando Magic, the Phoenix Suns, and the Miami Heat. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in points in that game with 31 while Bobby Portis was next on the team with 19 points. Ryan Rollins led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Kevin Porter Jr. led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 49.4% from the field, 34.6% from 3-point range, and 73.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 111 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.9 PPG against them. The Bucks have an ATS record of 28-37 this season and their O/U record is 28-37.

The Hawks are entering this game with a 35-31 record overall this season and they are 17-16 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on an 8 game winning streak with wins coming against the Brooklyn Nets, the Washington Wizards twice in a row, the Portland Trail Blazers, the Milwaukee Bucks, the Philadelphia 76ers, the Dallas Mavericks, and the Nets again. Jalen Johnson led the team in points in that game with 21 while Zaccharie Risacher was next on the team with 19 points. Jalen Johnson led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Jalen Johnson, Onyeka Okongwu, Zaccharie Risacher, and Jonathan Kuminga each led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 39.3% from the field, 30% from 3-point range, and 74.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.9 PPG against them. The Hawks have an ATS record of 34-32 this season and their O/U record is 32-34.

The current betting odds have the Hawks listed as an 8.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Hawks have looked good in their games this season with their 35-31 record overall which has them right in the middle of the East. They have looked good on their home court too with their 17-16 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Bucks haven't looked good in their games this season with their 27-38 record overall which has them in the bottom half of the East. They have been a terrible road team too with their 12-20 road record this year. The Bucks have been having a disaster of a season as they were missing Giannis for a lot of the year, but now he is back and they still haven't looked great with him playing. They have had a lot of trouble going back to the start of this season and his future with the team looks uncertain now. They are 3-7 in their last 10 games and have lost to some really bad teams with 3 losses in a row now. The Hawks have been rolling though and they have looked a lot better as a team since making a ton of moves at the trade deadline. They are 9-1 in their last 10 games and they have a ton of momentum on their side with 8 wins in a row now. They have been beating up on a lot of bad teams lately too, but the Bucks definitely haven't been a good team lately and have also been their worst in road games this year. This is a game between two teams that have been trending in opposite directions lately, so look for the Hawks to keep rolling in this one. The best way to place a bet here is on the Hawks to cover the spread in this game. 

Bucks Hawks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Saturday, March 14, 2026 (3:00 pm ET start time) is Hawks 121 Bucks 107.

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Milwaukee Bucks: 2-10 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). 19-26 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% of their shots or more. 16-28 ATS versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 46% or more. 22-12 UNDER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game. 

Atlanta Hawks: 11-5 ATS off a home win. 6-1 ATS after playing 3 consecutive home games. 19-13 ATS after playing a home game. 20-13 UNDER in home games. 

Milwaukee Bucks:  O. Dieng (C) Day To Day - Illness.

Atlanta Hawks:  D. Daniels (SG) Day To Day - Toe.

“No. We literally didn't do one thing different. We got size. We weren't that concerned. That was an outlier game and it was an amazing outlier game.” - Doc Rivers after his team’s loss against the Heat in their game on Thursday.

“We got stops when we needed to, and we were able to convert more on the other end and had a few guys make some shots. Jalen [Johnson], I’ve talked about his catch-and-shoot threes for a while now, and when people are giving him a little bit of space, he’s ready to make a decision.” - Quin Snyder after his team’s win against the Nets in their game on Thursday.

PG Ryan Rollins

SG Kevin Porter Jr.

SF Ousmane Dieng

PF Giannis Antetokounmpo

C Myles Turner

PG CJ McCollum

SG Nickeil Alexander-Walker

SF Dyson Daniels

PF Jalen Johnson

C Onyeka Okongwu

PPG: Giannis Antetokounmpo (27.5)

APG: Kevin Porter Jr. (7.3)

Reb/G: Giannis Antetokounmpo (9.7)

PPG: Jalen Johnson (22.9)

APG: Jalen Johnson (8)

Reb/G: Jalen Johnson (10.4)

Coaches:

Milwaukee Bucks: Doc Rivers (3rd season)

Atlanta Hawks: Quin Snyder (4th season)