Milwaukee Brewers vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/31/2023

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, May 30, 2023
Game Time: 7:07 pm ET, Wednesday, May 31, 2023
Venue:  Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Where to Watch:  MLB Network


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +155, Blue Jays -180; Over/Under:  10 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +155, Blue Jays -180; Over/Under:  10 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +155, Blue Jays -180; Over/Under:  10 runs

Season Record

Milwaukee Brewers:  28-25 (1st place, NL Central)
Toronto Blue Jays:  28-26 (5th place, AL East)

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Recent Form
Milwaukee Brewers:  4-6 last 10
Toronto Blue Jays:  3-7 last 10



Milwaukee Brewers vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview and Analysis


The Brewers are entering this game off of a win in their last game but lost their 4-game series against the San Francisco Giants 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 28-25 record overall and have a road record of 12-13. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Blue Jays on Wednesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 25th in the MLB with a .690 OPS. Adrian Houser is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Julio Teheran is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 0-1 with a 1.80 ERA this season. His team lost their only game this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 5 Ks on 4 hits through 5 IP against the San Francisco Giants.

The Blue Jays are entering this game off of a win in their last game and won their 3-game series against the Minnesota Twins 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 28-26 record overall and have a home record of 13-9. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Wednesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 8th in the MLB with a .753 OPS. Yusei Kikuchi is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Alek Manoah is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 1-5 with a 5.53 ERA this season. His team lost their last 5 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 0 homers, and 5 BB with 6 strikeouts on 3 hits through 3 innings played against the Tampa Bay Rays.


Brewers vs Blue Jays Prediction

The current betting odds have the Brewers listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Brewers got off to a really hot start this season and they still hold the 1st place spot in their division but they have been regressing over the last few weeks as they have been losing more games. They are still above .500 though and they are playing this series against another team that has been struggling this season as the Blue Jays have been in a slump lately and even though they have a similar record to the Brewers, they find themselves near the bottom of their division because of the strength of it. The Brewers have a chance to take advantage of this Blue Jays team that has been losing a lot of money in May for bettors while the Brewers have been really good when priced in this range and they have the better pitching matchup too. Teheran is starting for the Brewers and even though he hasn't pitched in many games this season, he was still great in his only appearance and he has a lot more years under his belt than the struggling Manoah who is finally starting to regress now after 2 seasons of dominance since entering the league. Manoah is coming off another bad start in his last and his confidence is at an all time low with this being his worst season in his career so far. He will continue to struggle in his starts and the Brewers will take advantage of that as they will get plenty of opportunities to score runs. The best way to place a bet here is on the Brewers to win this game.

Brewers Blue Jays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, May 31, 2023 (7:07 pm ET start time) is Brewers 7 Blue Jays 3.
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MLB Betting Trends


Milwaukee Brewers: 18-11 (+7.4 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8.5 to 10. 6-3 (+5.9 units) on the moneyline as a road underdog of +125 to +175. 20-9 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10. 10-5 UNDER as a road underdog of +150 to +200.

Toronto Blue Jays: 19-17 (-6.9 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 28-26 (-5.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 12-7 UNDER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10. ALEK MANOAH is 9-5 UNDER as a favorite of -175 to -250.

Key Injuries


Milwaukee Brewers:  O. Miller (2B) Ques Tues - Forearm. J. Winker (RF) Ques Tues - Neck. W. Adames (SS) Out indefinitely - Head. B. Woodruff (SP) Mid July - Shoulder. E. Lauer (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. J. Alexander (SP) Early June - Shoulder. J. Bukauskas (RP) Out indefinitely - Neck. W. Miley (SP) Late July - Back. G. Mitchell (LF) out for season - Shoulder. M. Bush (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. A. Ashby (SP) Early Sept - Shoulder. L. Urias (2B) Early June - Hamstring. J. Wilson (RP) Mid July - Elbow.

Toronto Blue Jays:  K. Kiermaier (CF) Ques Tues - Back. D. Jansen (C) Out indefinitely - Groin. M. White (SP) Early June - Elbow. S. Espinal (2B) Early June - Hamstring. Z. Pop (RP) Early June - Hamstring. C. Green (RP) Late July - Elbow. H. Ryu (SP) Mid July - Elbow.


Notable Quotes


“He’s pitching as well as any pitcher in the National League right now. The way it worked today, first three guys got on (in the first inning) and we just didn't let him settle in, and that makes any pitcher uncomfortable.” - Craig Counsell on Alex Cobb after his team’s win against the Giants in their game on Sunday.


“Hopefully, this kind of springboards us forward.” - John Schneider after his team’s win against the Twins in their game on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


Milwaukee Brewers
Christian Yelich (L) LF
Owen Miller (R) 2B
William Contreras (R) C
Rowdy Tellez (L) 1B
Brian Anderson (R) 3B
Tyrone Taylor (R) RF
Brice Turang (L) SS
Darin Ruf (R) DH
Joey Wiemer (R) CF

Toronto Blue Jays
George Springer (R) RF
Bo Bichette (R) SS
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R) 1B
Brandon Belt (L) DH
Matt Chapman (R) 3B
Whit Merrifield (R) LF
Daulton Varsho (L) CF
Alejandro Kirk (R) C
Cavan Biggio (L) 2B

Statistical Leaders


Milwaukee Brewers
Batting Average:  Owen Miller (.330)
Hits:  Christian Yelich (47)
Home Runs:  Rowdy Tellez (12)
RBI:  Brian Anderson (30)
Stolen Bases:  Christian Yelich (11)
Wins:  Freddy Peralta (5)
Saves:  Devin Williams (8)
ERA:  Alex Claudio (0.00)

Toronto Blue Jays
Batting Average:  Bo Bichette (.338)
Hits:  Bo Bichette (78)
Home Runs:  Bo Bichette (11)
RBI:  Bo Bichette (37)
Stolen Bases:  Whit Merrifield (14)
Wins:  Chris Bassitt (5)
Saves:  Jordan Romano (12)
ERA:  Thomas Hatch (0.00)

Managers:
Milwaukee Brewers: Craig Counsell (9th season)
Toronto Blue Jays: John Schneider (2nd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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