Milwaukee Brewers vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/30/2023

by Rod Pearson

Monday, May 29, 2023
Game Time: 7:07 pm ET, Tuesday, May 30, 2023
Venue:  Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Where to Watch:  SN1


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +140, Blue Jays -165; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +140, Blue Jays -165; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +140, Blue Jays -165; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Season Record

Milwaukee Brewers:  28-25 (1st place, NL Central)
Toronto Blue Jays:  28-26 (5th place, AL East)

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Recent Form
Milwaukee Brewers:  4-6 last 10
Toronto Blue Jays:  3-7 last 10



Milwaukee Brewers vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview and Analysis


The Brewers are entering this game off of a win in their last game but lost their 4-game series against the San Francisco Giants 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 28-25 record overall and have a road record of 12-13. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Blue Jays on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 25th in the MLB with a .690 OPS. Colin Rea was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Adrian Houser is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 3 Ks on 2 hits through 5.1 IP against the Houston Astros.

The Blue Jays are entering this game off of a win in their last game and won their 3-game series against the Minnesota Twins 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 28-26 record overall and have a home record of 13-9. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .753 OPS. José Berríos was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Yusei Kikuchi is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 5-2 with a 4.56 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 earned runs, 2 homers, and 2 BB with 5 strikeouts on 8 hits through 5 innings played against the Tampa Bay Rays.


Brewers vs Blue Jays Prediction

The current betting odds have the Brewers listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Brewers haven't been playing great lately after they got out to a hot start to the season but have now regressed back to around .500. They weren't good in their series over the weekend either but they did win their last game on Sunday and they are going to be able to use that win to propel themselves forward here. The Blue Jays haven't been great lately either as they are in the middle of a big slump and they are also starting Kikuchi here who had major problems last season as a starter. He has been a lot better this season as he had a great April but he hasn't been as good in May and is starting to show his cracks now. The Brewers are going with Houser here and he has been really good in his starts this season. He hasn't been giving up many runs in his starts at all so he will be able to handle this cold Blue Jays offense while the Brewers offense gets a bit of a spark from Kikuchi not being at his best lately. The Blue Jays haven't really been a money making team either this season so there is great value in the Brewers with this pitching matchup to take advantage of a slumping Jays team. The best way to place a bet here is on the Brewers to win this game.

Brewers Blue Jays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, May 30, 2023 (7:07 pm ET start time) is Brewers 6 Blue Jays 4.
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MLB Betting Trends


Milwaukee Brewers: 34-33 (+11.8 units) on the moneyline as a road underdog of +100 or higher. 18-11 (+7.4 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8.5 to 10. 12-4 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5. 10-5 UNDER as a road underdog of +150 to +200. 

Toronto Blue Jays: 28-30 (-15.6 units) on the moneyline as a home favorite of -125 to -175. 74-55 (-19.4 units) on the moneyline at home when the total is 8.5 to 10. 12-7 UNDER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10. 17-11 UNDER after 7 or more consecutive road games.

Key Injuries


Milwaukee Brewers:  O. Miller (2B) Ques Tues - Forearm. J. Winker (RF) Ques Tues - Neck. W. Adames (SS) Out indefinitely - Head. B. Woodruff (SP) Mid July - Shoulder. L. Voit (1B) Early June - Neck. E. Lauer (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. J. Alexander (SP) Early June - Shoulder. J. Bukauskas (RP) Out indefinitely - Neck. W. Miley (SP) Late July - Back. G. Mitchell (LF) out for season - Shoulder. M. Bush (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. A. Ashby (SP) Early Sept - Shoulder. L. Urias (2B) Early June - Hamstring. J. Wilson (RP) Mid July - Elbow.

Toronto Blue Jays:  K. Kiermaier (CF) Ques Tues - Back. D. Jansen (C) Out indefinitely - Groin. M. White (SP) Early June - Elbow. S. Espinal (2B) Early June - Hamstring. Z. Pop (RP) Early June - Hamstring. C. Green (RP) Late July - Elbow. H. Ryu (SP) Mid July - Elbow.


Notable Quotes


“He’s pitching as well as any pitcher in the National League right now. The way it worked today, first three guys got on (in the first inning) and we just didn't let him settle in, and that makes any pitcher uncomfortable.” - Craig Counsell on Alex Cobb after his team’s win against the Giants in their game on Sunday.


“Hopefully, this kind of springboards us forward.” - John Schneider after his team’s win against the Twins in their game on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


Milwaukee Brewers
Christian Yelich (L) LF
Owen Miller (R) 2B
William Contreras (R) C
Rowdy Tellez (L) 1B
Brian Anderson (R) 3B
Tyrone Taylor (R) RF
Brice Turang (L) SS
Darin Ruf (R) DH
Joey Wiemer (R) CF

Toronto Blue Jays
George Springer (R) RF
Bo Bichette (R) SS
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R) 1B
Brandon Belt (L) DH
Matt Chapman (R) 3B
Whit Merrifield (R) LF
Daulton Varsho (L) CF
Alejandro Kirk (R) C
Cavan Biggio (L) 2B

Statistical Leaders


Milwaukee Brewers
Batting Average:  Owen Miller (.330)
Hits:  Christian Yelich (47)
Home Runs:  Rowdy Tellez (12)
RBI:  Brian Anderson (30)
Stolen Bases:  Christian Yelich (11)
Wins:  Freddy Peralta (5)
Saves:  Devin Williams (8)
ERA:  Alex Claudio (0.00)

Toronto Blue Jays
Batting Average:  Bo Bichette (.338)
Hits:  Bo Bichette (78)
Home Runs:  Bo Bichette (11)
RBI:  Bo Bichette (37)
Stolen Bases:  Whit Merrifield (14)
Wins:  Chris Bassitt (5)
Saves:  Jordan Romano (12)
ERA:  Thomas Hatch (0.00)

Managers:
Milwaukee Brewers: Craig Counsell (9th season)
Toronto Blue Jays: John Schneider (2nd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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