Milwaukee Brewers vs Texas Rangers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/19/2023

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Aug 18, 2023
Game Time: 4:05 pm ET, Saturday, August 19, 2023
Venue:  Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX
Where to Watch:  Fox Sports 1


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +120, Rangers -142; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +120, Rangers -142; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +120, Rangers -140; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Season Record

Milwaukee Brewers:  65-57 (1st place, NL Central)
Texas Rangers:  72-49 (1st place, AL West)

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Recent Form
Milwaukee Brewers:  5-5 last 10
Texas Rangers:  7-3 last 10



Milwaukee Brewers vs Texas Rangers Preview and Analysis


The Brewers are entering this series on a 3 game losing streak and got swept 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers in their last series. They enter this game with a 65-57 record overall and have a road record of 32-30. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Rangers on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 27th in the MLB with a .686 OPS. Brandon Woodruff is their starting pitcher on Friday while Freddy Peralta is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 9-8 with a 4.08 ERA this season. His team won their last 4 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 3 BB with 6 Ks on 4 hits through 6 IP against the Chicago White Sox.

The Rangers are entering this series off a loss but won their 3-game series against the Los Angeles Angels 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 72-49 record overall and have a home record of 42-21. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .803 OPS. Andrew Heaney is their starting pitcher on Friday while Dane Dunning is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 9-4 with a 3.10 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 1 homer, and 0 BB with 12 strikeouts on 7 hits through 7 innings played against the San Francisco Giants.


Brewers vs Rangers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Rangers listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Rangers have been rolling all season as they lead the AL West with the best record and have also had one of the best offenses in the MLB all season. The Brewers have also been playing really well in their games lately as they lead the NL Central but they have also been winning a lot of their games with good pitching. The Brewers have been terrible on offense all season with one of the worst offenses in the MLB this year and they were just swept by the Dodgers in their last series as they really struggle against teams with good offenses that can overpower them. The Rangers have an offense that can do that and they have been getting really hot lately too, they will continue to put up runs in this game since Peralta is starting for the Brewers and hasn't been great this season. The Rangers will also make it really hard for the Brewers weak offense to keep up in this game, especially since the Rangers have Dunning on the mound who has been lights out at home all year, not giving up many runs in his starts lately either. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rangers to win this game.

Brewers Rangers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, August 19, 2023 (4:05 pm ET start time) is Rangers 3 Brewers 0.
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MLB Betting Trends


Milwaukee Brewers: 247-203 (-13 units) on the moneyline in all games. 98-87 (-9.8 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8.5 to 10. FREDDY PERALTA is 12-5 OVER when the total is 7 to 8.5 and 13-5 OVER after giving up no earned runs last outing.

Texas Rangers: 72-49 (+13.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 42-21 (+14 units) on the moneyline in home games. 58-34 OVER as a home favorite of -110 or higher. 31-20 OVER when the total is 8 to 8.5.

Key Injuries


Milwaukee Brewers:  J. Mejia (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. J. Winker (DH) Late Aug - Back. B. Perkins (CF) Out indefinitely - Oblique. D. Ruf (DH) Late Aug - Knee. R. Tellez (1B) Late Aug - Forearm. J. Wilson (RP) out for season - Arm. J. Teheran (SP) Out indefinitely - Hip. G. Mitchell (LF) out for season - Shoulder. A. Ashby (SP) Early Sept - Shoulder.

Texas Rangers:  N. Eovaldi (SP) Late Aug - Elbow. J. Jung (3B) Late Sept - Thumb. B. Miller (DH) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. J. deGrom (SP) out for season - Elbow. J. Odorizzi (SP) out for season - Shoulder. B. Martin (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.


Notable Quotes


“Great start. Kinda got better as the game went on. He pitched a nice game. Put zeroes up and we got him a lead and, fortunately, expanded it late.” - Craig Counsell after his team’s win against the White Sox in their game on Sunday.


“I’m a little frustrated because I just don’t ever feel that great. Just that one pitch to Ohtani, I mean, I thought I got it where I wanted to, but he's a different kind of player.” - Jon Gray after their loss against the LA Angels in their game on Wednesday.


Starting Lineups


Milwaukee Brewers
Christian Yelich (L) LF
William Contreras (R) DH
Carlos Santana (S) 1B
Sal Frelick (L) CF
Willy Adames (R) SS
Andruw Monasterio (R) 3B
Victor Caratini (S) C
Brice Turang (L) 2B
Tyrone Taylor (R) RF

Texas Rangers
Marcus Semien (R) 2B
Corey Seager (L) SS
Adolis Garcia (R) RF
Nathaniel Lowe (L) 1B
Mitch Garver (R) C
Ezequiel Duran (R) 3B
Robbie Grossman (S) DH
Travis Jankowski (L) LF
Leody Taveras (S) CF

Statistical Leaders


Milwaukee Brewers
Batting Average:  Abraham Toro (.444)
Hits:  Christian Yelich (130)
Home Runs:  Willy Adames (18)
RBI:  Christian Yelich (66)
Stolen Bases:  Christian Yelich (25)
Wins:  Corbin Burnes (9)
Saves:  Devin Williams (28)
ERA:  Alex Claudio (0.00)

Texas Rangers
Batting Average:  J.P. Martinez (.421)
Hits:  Marcus Semien (141)
Home Runs:  Adolis Garcia (30)
RBI:  Adolis Garcia (91)
Stolen Bases:  Travis Jankowski (16)
Wins:  Nathan Eovaldi (11)
Saves:  Will Smith (22)
ERA:  Aroldis Chapman (1.69)

Managers:
Milwaukee Brewers: Craig Counsell (9th season)
Texas Rangers: Bruce Bochy (1st season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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