Milwaukee Brewers vs Texas Rangers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/18/2023

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Aug 17, 2023
Game Time: 8:05 pm ET, Friday, August 18, 2023
Venue:  Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX
Where to Watch:  BSSW


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +105, Rangers -125; Over/Under:  8 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +105, Rangers -125; Over/Under:  8 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +105, Rangers -125; Over/Under:  8 runs

Season Record

Milwaukee Brewers:  65-56 (1st place, NL Central)
Texas Rangers:  72-49 (1st place, AL West)

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Recent Form
Milwaukee Brewers:  6-4 last 10
Texas Rangers:  7-3 last 10



Milwaukee Brewers vs Texas Rangers Preview and Analysis


The Brewers entered their last series on a 4 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Chicago White Sox. They enter this game with a 65-56 record overall and have a road record of 32-29. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Rangers on Friday with the series finale of their series against the Los Angeles Dodgers still to be played on Thursday. They also lost the series opener and the 2nd game of that series on Tuesday and Wednesday. Their offense ranks 27th in the MLB with a .688 OPS. Corbin Burnes is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Brandon Woodruff is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 2-1 with a 1.99 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 5 Ks on 4 hits through 6.1 IP against the Chicago White Sox.

The Rangers are entering this series off a loss but won their 3-game series against the Los Angeles Angels 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 72-49 record overall and have a home record of 42-21. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .803 OPS. Jon Gray was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Andrew Heaney is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 9-6 with a 4.17 ERA this season. His team won their last 4 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 1 strikeout on 3 hits through 1.1 innings played against the San Francisco Giants.


Brewers vs Rangers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Rangers listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Rangers have been rolling in their games lately as they have the Astros trying to chase them down for 1st place in the AL West but the Rangers just keep on winning games to keep their lead and also have one of the best offenses in the MLB to help them out. The Brewers are the complete opposite as they have been playing well lately as they keep their 1st place spot in the NL Central but they also have one of the worst offenses in the MLB as they have been leaning on good pitching to win a lot of their games. The Rangers bullpen has been a lot better in their games though since they haven't been giving up as many late runs lately and they also have Heaney on the mound here who hasn't been great this season but has been a lot better in his starts lately, not giving up many runs at all now. Meanwhile, Woodruff is starting for the Brewers and he has been good since coming back from his injury but he has also made just 4 starts this season and with one of the best offenses in the MLB about to get after him here, he won't get the run support he needs if he has a bad start here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rangers to win this game.

Brewers Rangers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, August 18, 2023 (8:05 pm ET start time) is Rangers 4 Brewers 1.
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MLB Betting Trends


Milwaukee Brewers: 17-20 (-7.1 units) on the moneyline against left-handed starters. 247-202 (-12 units) on the moneyline in all games. 13-7 UNDER as a road underdog of +125 to +175. 22-12 UNDER against left-handed starters.

Texas Rangers: 72-49 (+13.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 42-21 (+14 units) on the moneyline in home games. 12-5 UNDER after 3 consecutive games versus a division rival. 6-3 UNDER off a loss to a division rival as a favorite.

Key Injuries


Milwaukee Brewers:  J. Mejia (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. J. Winker (DH) Late Aug - Back. B. Perkins (CF) Out indefinitely - Oblique. D. Ruf (DH) Late Aug - Knee. R. Tellez (1B) Late Aug - Forearm. J. Wilson (RP) out for season - Arm. J. Teheran (SP) Out indefinitely - Hip. G. Mitchell (LF) out for season - Shoulder. A. Ashby (SP) Early Sept - Shoulder.

Texas Rangers:  N. Eovaldi (SP) Late Aug - Elbow. J. Jung (3B) Late Sept - Thumb. B. Miller (DH) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. J. deGrom (SP) out for season - Elbow. J. Odorizzi (SP) out for season - Shoulder. B. Martin (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.


Notable Quotes


“Great start. Kinda got better as the game went on. He pitched a nice game. Put zeroes up and we got him a lead and, fortunately, expanded it late.” - Craig Counsell after his team’s win against the White Sox in their game on Sunday.


“I’m a little frustrated because I just don’t ever feel that great. Just that one pitch to Ohtani, I mean, I thought I got it where I wanted to, but he's a different kind of player.” - Jon Gray after their loss against the LA Angels in their game on Wednesday.


Starting Lineups


Milwaukee Brewers
Christian Yelich (L) LF
William Contreras (R) C
Carlos Santana (S) 1B
Mark Canha (R) DH
Willy Adames (R) SS
Andruw Monasterio (R) 2B
Sal Frelick (L) RF
Joey Wiemer (R) CF
Brian Anderson (R) 3B

Texas Rangers
Marcus Semien (R) 2B
Corey Seager (L) SS
Adolis Garcia (R) RF
Nathaniel Lowe (L) 1B
Mitch Garver (R) C
Ezequiel Duran (R) 3B
Robbie Grossman (S) DH
Travis Jankowski (L) LF
Leody Taveras (S) CF

Statistical Leaders


Milwaukee Brewers
Batting Average:  Abraham Toro (.444)
Hits:  Christian Yelich (129)
Home Runs:  Willy Adames (18)
RBI:  Christian Yelich (66)
Stolen Bases:  Christian Yelich (25)
Wins:  Corbin Burnes (9)
Saves:  Devin Williams (28)
ERA:  Alex Claudio (0.00)

Texas Rangers
Batting Average:  J.P. Martinez (.421)
Hits:  Marcus Semien (141)
Home Runs:  Adolis Garcia (30)
RBI:  Adolis Garcia (91)
Stolen Bases:  Travis Jankowski (16)
Wins:  Nathan Eovaldi (11)
Saves:  Will Smith (22)
ERA:  Aroldis Chapman (1.69)

Managers:
Milwaukee Brewers: Craig Counsell (9th season)
Texas Rangers: Bruce Bochy (1st season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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