Milwaukee Brewers vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/19/2023

Game Time: 6:40 pm ET, Friday, May 19, 2023

Venue:  Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, FL

Where to Watch:  BSSUN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +205, Rays -245; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +205, Rays -245; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +205, Rays -245; Over/Under:  8 runs

Milwaukee Brewers:  24-19 (1st place, NL Central)

Tampa Bay Rays:  32-12 (1st place, AL East)

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Milwaukee Brewers:  6-4 last 10

Tampa Bay Rays:  5-5 last 10

The Brewers are entering this game off a loss in their last game. They enter this game with a 24-19 record overall and have a road record of 11-11. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Rays on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 19th in the MLB with a .704 OPS. Corbin Burnes was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Adrian Houser is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 0-0 with a 5.19 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 2 Ks on 8 hits through 4 IP against the Kansas City Royals.

The Rays are entering this game off a loss in their last game. They enter this game with a 32-12 record overall and have a home record of 19-3. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Friday and they still have the series finale of their series against the New York Mets on Thursday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .853 OPS. Taj Bradley is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Shane McClanahan is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 7-0 with a 2.34 ERA this season. His team won 8 of their last 9 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 2 homers, and 4 BB with 3 strikeouts on 5 hits through 4 innings played against the New York Yankees.

The current betting odds have the Rays listed as a huge favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Rays are 32-12 overall right now which is the best overall record in the entire MLB and they are also 19-3 in their home games as they have the best home record in the MLB too. They have been great since the start of the season, their pitching is great once again this season but now they finally have a good offense that is leading the MLB right now. There is no team that is more complete than the Rays right now and even though the Brewers got off to a hot start leading their division now, they have been starting to slip lately as they aren't playing and the Rays will show just how much better they are than the Brewers in this series. The Rays also have their ace on the mound here while the Brewers are starting Houser and he hasn't been great this season. The Brewers are going to struggle to put up runs in this game while the Rays get on the board with ease and should win this game easily by a few runs. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rays to win this game and on the runline.

Brewers Rays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, May 19, 2023 (6:40 pm ET start time) is Rays 7 Brewers 1.

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Milwaukee Brewers: 87-77 (-14.4 units) on the moneyline after a loss. 12-15 (-9 units) on the moneyline after getting shut out. 7-2 OVER after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less in the last 2 games. 25-17 OVER after scoring 4 runs or less in 3 straight games.

Tampa Bay Rays: 29-8 (+17.2 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 26-10 (+13.2 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 20-13 OVER against right-handed starters. 23-14 OVER as a home favorite of -200 or more. 

Milwaukee Brewers:  C. Yelich (RF) Ques Fri - Back. W. Miley (SP) Out indefinitely - Back. B. Woodruff (SP) Late June - Shoulder. L. Voit (1B) Out indefinitely - Neck. J. Alexander (SP) Late May - Shoulder. G. Mitchell (LF) out for season - Shoulder. M. Bush (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. A. Ashby (SP) Early Sept - Shoulder. L. Urias (2B) Early June - Hamstring. J. Wilson (RP) Mid July - Elbow.

Tampa Bay Rays:  W. Franco (SS) Ques Thurs - Rest. Y. Diaz (3B) Out Thurs - Groin. D. Rasmussen (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. G. Cleavinger (RP) out for season - Knee. T. Glasnow (SP) Late May - Oblique. J. Springs (RP) out for season - Elbow. S. Armstrong (RP) Late May - Neck. S. Baz (SP) out for season - Elbow. A. Kittredge (RP) Late July - Elbow.

“We had some traffic in a lot of innings. That extra base hit with runners on base just didn’t happen.” - Craig Counsell after his team’s loss against the Cardinals in their game on Wednesday.

“A very unfortunate time to be the lesser Pete. I went in the cage and hit something as hard as that one was hit and processed it. Now it's time to get ready for tomorrow.” - Pete Fairbanks after their loss against the Mets in their game on Wednesday.

Owen Miller (R) LF

William Contreras (R) DH

Willy Adames (R) SS

Darin Ruf (R) 1B

Brian Anderson (R) 3B

Tyrone Taylor (R) RF

Victor Caratini (S) C

Joey Wiemer (R) CF

Brice Turang (L) 2B

Josh Lowe (L) RF

Randy Arozarena (R) LF

Harold Ramirez (R) DH

Brandon Lowe (L) 2B

Isaac Paredes (R) 3B

Taylor Walls (S) SS

Luke Raley (L) 1B

Christian Bethancourt (R) C

Manuel Margot (R) CF

Batting Average:  Owen Miller (.350)

Hits:  Christian Yelich (39)

Home Runs:  Rowdy Tellez (10)

RBI:  Willy Adames (24)

Stolen Bases:  Christian Yelich (9)

Wins:  Corbin Burnes (4)

Saves:  Devin Williams (6)

ERA:  Trevor Megill (0.00)

Batting Average:  Harold Ramirez (.330)

Hits:  Randy Arozarena (49)

Home Runs:  Randy Arozarena (10)

RBI:  Randy Arozarena (36)

Stolen Bases:  Wander Franco (14)

Wins:  Shane McClanahan (7)

Saves:  Jason Adam (5)

ERA:  Chase Anderson (0.00)

Managers:

Milwaukee Brewers: Craig Counsell (9th season)

Tampa Bay Rays: Kevin Cash (9th season)