Milwaukee Brewers vs St Louis Cardinals Prediction, Preview and Odds - 09/29/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 7:45 pm ET, Wednesday, September 29, 2021
Venue:  Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO
Where to Watch:  BSMW


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +105, Cardinals -125; Over/Under:  8 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  NL; Over/Under NL runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  NL; Over/Under NL runs

Season Record

Milwaukee Brewers:  94-62 (1st place, NL Central)
St Louis Cardinals:  87-69 (2nd place, NL Central)
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Milwaukee Brewers vs St Louis Cardinals Preview and Analysis

Recent Form
Milwaukee Brewers:  5-5 last 10
St Louis Cardinals:  10-0 last 10

Milwaukee Brewers Analysis

The Brewers are coming into this game after winning their series finale against the New York Mets on Sunday. They swept the Mets in that series and are now on a 3 game winning streak. They had Monday off as a rest day and Tuesday will be the series opener of their three-game series with the Cardinals. That game on Tuesday has yet to be played and the result is pending. This will be the 2nd game of that series on Wednesday. Brandon Woodruff is getting the nod for Tuesday's game while Adrian Houser will be the starting pitcher on the mound in this game on Wednesday. He is 9-6 with a 3.34 ERA this season. He has been credited with 2 straight wins and his team has won 3 of their last 4 games that he started in. In his last start, he allowed 1 ER and 2 BB with 3 Ks on 5 hits through 6 IP against the Cardinals last Thursday. He also hit a batter with a pitch in that game as his team went on to lose 8-5 after blowing a 5-0 lead they had. He has seen the Cardinals lineup 3 times this season and he is 2-0 against them with 1 no-decision while his team is 2-1 against them in those games. He has only allowed 1 earned run total between those 3 games against them. Their offense has scored 15 runs in their last 3 games averaging 5 runs scored per game in that span and they have allowed their opponents to score 6 runs against them in that same span allowing 2 runs per game.

St Louis Cardinals Analysis

The Cardinals are coming into this game after winning their series finale against the Chicago Cubs on Sunday. That win has put them on a 16 game winning streak with multiple series sweeps over the Cubs, the Brewers, the San Diego Padres, the New York Mets, and taking the last 2 games of their 3 against the Cincinnati Reds. Two of those sweeps were three-game series while two were four-game series sweeps. They also had Monday off as a rest day. This will be game 2 of their three-game series against the Cardinals with their Tuesday game still to be played, that result is pending. Adam Wainwright will be the starter for their game on Tuesday while Miles Mikolas will be throwing the first pitch in this game on Wednesday. He is 2-2 with a 4.15 ERA this season but he has only pitched in 8 games this year. He has been credited with 2 straight wins while his team has won their last 3 games and 4 of their last 5 with him on the mound. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 being a HR, and 0 BB with 3 strikeouts on 4 hits through 7 innings of work against the Brewers last Wednesday. That was the only time that he has faced the Brewers lineup this season so this will be his 2nd time facing them this year. Their offense has scored 32 runs in their last 4 games averaging 8 runs scored per game in that span and they have allowed their opponents to score 16 runs against them in that same span allowing 4 runs per game. 


Brewers vs Cardinals Prediction

The Cardinals have pretty much done their job as they now sit with a 6 game lead over the last Wild Card spot. All they need to do is win 1 game or have the Reds and the Phillies lose 1 game each and they will have clinched their spot in the postseason so a lot of pressure has been taken off of their backs. The Brewers have started to play well again, scoring a lot of runs as they get warmed up for the playoffs. The Brewers were swept by the Cardinals just a week ago so that is very fresh in their memories still. The Cardinals may have let their guard down a bit here now with the pressure off of them. They are on a 16 game winning streak and it is not going to last forever as it is bound to come to an end soon. The best bet to make in this game is on the Brewers to come away with the win.
Brewers Cardinals Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, September 29, 2021 (7:45 pm ET start time) is Brewers 8 Cardinals 6.
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MLB Betting Trends

Milwaukee Brewers: 67-34 (+21 units) on the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5. 49-26 (+17 units) on the money line in road games.
St Louis Cardinals: 87-69 (+18.6 units) on the money line in all games. 20-6 (+18.2 units) on the money line in September games.

Key Injuries

Milwaukee Brewers:  J. Cousins (RP) Out indefinitely - Bicep injury. R. Tellez (1B) Early Oct - Knee injury. A. Perdomo (RP) out for season - Back injury.
St Louis Cardinals:  E. Sosa (SS) Ques Tues - Wrist injury. J. Hicks (RP) out for season - Elbow injury. J. Miller 9RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow injury.

Players to Watch

Milwaukee Brewers: Eduardo Escobar is one player to watch in this matchup. He leads his team in hits and in RBI. The Brewers have started to score runs again after a mini slump and are now looking to get warmed up for the postseason. Look for Escobar to get red hot in these last few games as they prepare for the postseason and try to get a little revenge on the Cardinals as well in the process.
St Louis Cardinals: Paul Goldschmidt is one player to watch here. He leads his team in batting average and in hits and he has been playing very well these last few weeks. He is a big reason why the Cardinals are on a 16 game win streak right now as he was involved in a lot of those runs and even in the clutch situations. His team has come this far so look for him to give it his all in every single game until the World Series is over if they can even make it that far.

Notable Quotes

"We never give up. Think about this week. We got swept by the Cardinals and turned around and swept the Mets. That's what it comes down to, not getting down on ourselves and continue to play at the level we can." - Josh Hader after a win against the Mets on Sunday.
"We did the little things, the little things that help you win games." - Mike Shildt after their 16th straight win on Sunday.

Starting Lineups

Milwaukee Brewers
K. Wong 2B
W. Adames SS
C. Yelich LF
E. Escobar 1B
L. Urias 3B
O. Narvaez C
T. Taylor RF
L. Cain CF
F. Peralta P
St Louis Cardinals
T. Edman 2B
P. Goldschmidt 1B
T. O'Neill LF
N. Arenado 3B
D. Carlson RF
H. Bader CF
P. DeJong SS
A. Knizner C
J. Woodford P

Statistical Leaders

Milwaukee Brewers
Batting Average:  K. Wong (.274)
Hits:  E. Escobar (132)
Home Runs:  A. Garcia (29)
RBI: E. Escobar (87)
Stolen Bases:  L. Cain (12)
Wins:  B. Suter (12)
Saves:  J. Hader (34)
ERA:  J. Hader (1.27)
St Louis Cardinals
Batting Average:  P. Goldschmidt (.296)
Hits:  P. Goldschmidt (174)
Home Runs:  N. Arenado (33)
RBI:  N. Arenado (103)
Stolen Bases:  T. Edman (28)
Wins:  A. Wainwright (16)
Saves:  A. Reyes (29)
ERA:  T. McFarland (2.55)
Milwaukee Brewers: Craig Counsell (7th season)
St Louis Cardinals: Mike Shildt (4th season)

Weather Forecast

79 degrees F mostly sunny, 61% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 5 mph wind speeds NW.

Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

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