Game Time: 9:45 pm ET, Thursday, July 14th, 2022 

Venue: Oracle Park, San Francisco, California.

Where to Watch: MLB.tv, MLBN

DraftKings: Brewers -110, Giants -110 6.5

Caesars:  

PointsBet: Brewers -110, Giants +100

 

Brewers: 49-39, 1st place NL Central

Giants: 44-42, 3rd place NL West

A National League matchup between the best of the junky NL Central division and the 3rd best of the supreme NL West division. Are they equal…no.  The Brewers are playing much better than the Giants. The Brewers are a game away from having won 50 games.  The Giants are 6 games away from having won 50 games.  Neither are on pace to break 100 wins.  Neither are on pace to become world beaters.  Neither team instills a measure of confidence about the postseason.  Neither are my pick to do anything late.  So what do we have?... We have a pitching matchup and a chance to win a bet with a soft and easy moneyline.  Let’s check the numbers and win that bet.

The Milwaukee Brewers have won 5 of their last 10 games.  Going .500 over a stretch isn’t bad and it ain’t great. 6 Unders and 4 Overs.  They went 1-0 against the Minnesota Twins, 1-2 against the Pittsburgh Pirates, 1-2 against the Chicago Cubs, and 2-1 against the Pittsburgh Pirates.  They have had a steady diet of the awful Pittsburgh Pirates… and they still could not break .500 during the stretch.  Ouch!  Right Fielder Christain Yelich is on the injury list… He is a big deal kinda… Team Home Run leader Willy Adames and team batting average leader Mike Brosseau are a good foundation for an offense and that has kept the Brewers just inside the top-ten runs per game… The pitchers unfortunately have left them just outside of the top-ten in ERA.  One will have to break the other direction to get consistent winning.

The San Francisco Giants have won 4 of their last 10 games.  They are really struggling.  They will not live up to the promise of last season when they finished with 107 wins… in fact they won’t finish with near that.  The simple truth is they don’t have the same top end players… they have several key players taking turns on the injury list… and the amazing teamwork of last season is nowhere to be found.  They went 1-1 against the Arizona Diamondbacks (with one left to play tonight), 2-2 against the San Diego Padres (a finish that only benefited the Los Angeles Dodgers), 1-2 against the Arizona Diamondbacks again, and 0-1 against the Chicago White Sox.

 

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The Brewers are 10th in scoring with 4.57 runs per game, 23rd in batting average with .236, and 15th in OBP with .316

The Giants are 6th in scoring with 4.71 runs per game, 23rd in batting average with .235, and 10th in OBP with .320.

The Brewers are 11th in ERA with 3.78, 11th in WHIP with 1.24, and 18th in errors with 50 on the season so far.

The Giants are 17th in ERA with 3.99, 18th in WHIP with 1.27, and 20th in errors with 51 on the season.

 

Our prediction for Thursday July 14th is… Brewers 6 - Giants 4

The Brewers are simply better and starting a better pitcher.  Bet on the Brewers.  The Giants have to prove to you that they are done floundering before you can put money on them.

 

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(will update)

Brewers: Corbin Burnes, 7-4, 2.20 ERA, 134 strikeouts in 106 innings pitched.  0.89 WHIP.  “Mullet Man” as his teammates call him… is an actual ACE.  He has a strong arm and full package of pitches.  He will take out quite a few Giants waiting for the proper run support to get the win.

Giants: LHP Carlos Rodon, 8-5, 2.70 ERA, 124 strikeouts in 100 innings pitched.  1.06 WHIP.  It feels like the Giants are wasting a start by the very talented Rodon.  He should be trotted out against the other team's worst instead of the other team's best.  He should be guaranteed a win… Instead he is giving up losses.

Brewers: Craig “not Matthew Modine” Counsell

Giants: Gabe “keep shaping those eyebrows” Kapler