Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/19/2023

Game Time: 6:40 pm ET, Wednesday, July 19, 2023

Venue:  Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA

Where to Watch:  NBCS-PH

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +160, Phillies -190; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +160, Phillies -190; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +160, Phillies -190; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Milwaukee Brewers:  52-42 (1st place, NL Central)

Philadelphia Phillies:  51-42 (3rd place, NL East)

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Milwaukee Brewers:  7-3 last 10

Philadelphia Phillies:  7-3 last 10

The Brewers are entering this series on a 4 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Cincinnati Reds in their last series. They enter this game with a 52-42 record overall and have a road record of 26-21. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Wednesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 26th in the MLB with a .690 OPS. Julio Teheran is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Wade Miley is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 6-2 with a 3.06 ERA this season. His team won 5 of their last 6 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 3 BB with 8 Ks on 4 hits through 6 IP against the Cincinnati Reds.

The Phillies are entering this series on a 3 game winning streak and won their 4-game series against the San Diego Padres 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 51-42 record overall and have a home record of 25-17. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Wednesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .745 OPS. Aaron Nola is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Cristopher Sánchez is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 0-3 with a 3.26 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 2 homers, and 1 BB with 5 strikeouts on 3 hits through 5 innings played against the San Diego Padres.

The current betting odds have the Brewers listed as a big underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Phillies have been really hot in their games lately as they have been surging up the standings but the Brewers have also been really good themselves as they are also really hot coming into this series and they have been pitching really well in their games. The Brewers are back in 1st place of the NL Central after sweeping the Reds out of the All-Star break and they will be looking to keep that lead now that their pitching staff hasn't been giving up many runs at all. The Phillies have also been pitching well lately with their bullpen not giving up many late runs in their games but the Phillies have had a problem with their starters this season since a lot of them have been hit or miss, really up and down from start to start. The Brewers can take advantage of the Phillies pitching here since the Brewers have had their starters and their bullpen pitching great lately. Their offense has also been scoring more runs in their games lately and they shouldn't have too much trouble trying to put up runs on Sanchez here since he did give up 3 runs in his last start and has been vulnerable to giving up some runs in his starts lately. Even if the Brewers don't win this game, their pitching staff will keep it really close here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Brewers to win this game or on the runline to keep it close.

Brewers Phillies Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, July 19, 2023 (6:40 pm ET start time) is Brewers 4 Phillies 3.

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Milwaukee Brewers: 19-14 (+11.4 units) on the moneyline as a road underdog of +100 or higher. 17-9 (+12.4 units) on the moneyline on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10. 26-15 UNDER as an underdog of +100 or higher. 37-17 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10.

Philadelphia Phillies: 7-7 (-7.2 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -175 to -250. 30-30 (-7.6 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8.5 to 10. 10-5 UNDER at home when the total is 9 to 9.5. CRISTOPHER SANCHEZ is 5-1 UNDER in all games.

Milwaukee Brewers:  W. Miley (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. R. Tellez (1B) Mid Aug - Forearm. B. Anderson (1B) Early Aug - Back. J. Wilson (RP) Late July - Elbow. B. Sousa (SP) Late July - Shoulder. B. Woodruff (SP) Early Aug - Shoulder. D. Ruf (DH) Mid Aug - Knee. G. Mitchell (LF) out for season - Shoulder. A. Ashby (SP) Early Sept - Shoulder.

Philadelphia Phillies:  C. Pache (LF) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Harrison (2B) Out indefinitely - Wrist. N. Song (SP) Late July - Back. S. Dominguez (RP) Late July - Oblique. J. Alvarado (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. R. Hoskins (1B) out for season - Knee.

“It was an important series. We did our job. You come into a road series and you sweep it, you had a heck of a series. We got three games left with them, soon. But it’s a big series for us to take a great start to the second half.” - Craig Counsell after his team’s win against the Reds in their game on Sunday.

“Tried to stay focused as a club, knowing today was big. To be able to win the series against them ... I thought we played some great baseball. I thought we hit some balls hard in those early innings, and they made some good plays. They jumped on us, then we come back, they come back, and we get to extra innings and go back and forth.” - Bryce Harper after their win against the Padres in their game on Sunday.

Christian Yelich (L) LF

William Contreras (R) C

Willy Adames (R) SS

Jesse Winker (L) DH

Owen Miller (R) 1B

Raimel Tapia (L) RF

Andruw Monasterio (R) 3B

Brice Turang (L) 2B

Joey Wiemer (R) CF

Kyle Schwarber (L) LF

Trea Turner (R) SS

Bryce Harper (L) DH

J.T. Realmuto (R) C

Bryson Stott (L) 2B

Brandon Marsh (L) RF

Drew Ellis (R) 3B

Darick Hall (L) 1B

Johan Rojas (R) CF

Batting Average:  Abraham Toro (.500)

Hits:  Christian Yelich (97)

Home Runs:  Willy Adames (16)

RBI:  Christian Yelich (49)

Stolen Bases:  Christian Yelich (21)

Wins:  Corbin Burnes (8)

Saves:  Devin Williams (23)

ERA:  Alex Claudio (0.00)

Batting Average:  Cristian Pache (.327)

Hits:  Nick Castellanos (105)

Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (25)

RBI:  Alec Bohm (58)

Stolen Bases:  Trea Turner (21)

Wins:  Taijuan Walker (11)

Saves:  Craig Kimbrel (15)

ERA:  Jose Alvarado (1.38)

Managers:

Milwaukee Brewers: Craig Counsell (9th season)

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (2nd season)