Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/18/2023

Game Time: 6:40 pm ET, Tuesday, July 18, 2023

Venue:  Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA

Where to Watch:  NBCS-PH

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +180, Phillies -210; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +180, Phillies -210; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +180, Phillies -210; Over/Under:  9 runs

Milwaukee Brewers:  52-42 (1st place, NL Central)

Philadelphia Phillies:  51-42 (3rd place, NL East)

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Milwaukee Brewers:  7-3 last 10

Philadelphia Phillies:  7-3 last 10

The Brewers are entering this series on a 4 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Cincinnati Reds in their last series. They enter this game with a 52-42 record overall and have a road record of 26-21. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 25th in the MLB with a .690 OPS. Adrian Houser was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Julio Teheran is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 2-3 with a 3.64 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 6 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 7 Ks on 9 hits through 6 IP against the Chicago Cubs.

The Phillies are entering this series on a 3 game winning streak and won their 4-game series against the San Diego Padres 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 51-42 record overall and have a home record of 25-17. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .745 OPS. Zack Wheeler was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Aaron Nola is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 8-6 with a 4.39 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 3 homers, and 0 BB with 6 strikeouts on 8 hits through 6 innings played against the Miami Marlins.

The current betting odds have the Phillies listed as a big favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Phillies have been getting hot lately, they are still in 3rd place of the NL East but now they are over 10 games above .500 and will be looking to continue climbing the standings as they have been underperforming all season. The Brewers have been playing a lot better now as they have taken over the lead for the NL Central but they have also been winning a lot of their games lately with good pitching and that is not something they are going to have the advantage with here. The Phillies bullpen has been pitching really well lately and they are also going to have Nola on the mound here. Nola hasn't been great in a lot of his starts this season but he has been really consistent in his home starts, giving up a lot less runs in those, and he will have no problem shutting down the Brewers lineup which has been one of the worst offenses in the league all season. The Brewers also have Teheran starting here and he has been slipping up in his starts lately, giving up 6 runs in his last starts and he is going to struggle on the road against this Phillies offense that has been playing a lot better lately. The Phillies are going to keep rolling in this series like they have been doing lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game and on the runline.

Brewers Phillies Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, July 18, 2023 (6:40 pm ET start time) is Phillies 7 Brewers 1.

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Milwaukee Brewers: 19-14 (+11.4 units) on the moneyline as a road underdog of +100 or higher. 17-9 (+12.4 units) on the moneyline on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10. 26-15 UNDER as an underdog of +100 or higher. 37-17 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10.

Philadelphia Phillies: 7-7 (-7.2 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -175 to -250. 30-30 (-7.6 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8.5 to 10. 14-2 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive wins. 28-19 UNDER after a game where their bullpen blew a save.

Milwaukee Brewers:  R. Tellez (1B) Mid Aug - Forearm. B. Anderson (1B) Early Aug - Back. J. Wilson (RP) Late July - Elbow. B. Sousa (SP) Late July - Shoulder. B. Woodruff (SP) Early Aug - Shoulder. D. Ruf (DH) Mid Aug - Knee. G. Mitchell (LF) out for season - Shoulder. A. Ashby (SP) Early Sept - Shoulder.

Philadelphia Phillies:  C. Pache (LF) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Harrison (2B) Out indefinitely - Wrist. N. Song (SP) Late July - Back. S. Dominguez (RP) Late July - Oblique. J. Alvarado (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. R. Hoskins (1B) out for season - Knee.

“It was an important series. We did our job. You come into a road series and you sweep it, you had a heck of a series. We got three games left with them, soon. But it’s a big series for us to take a great start to the second half.” - Craig Counsell after his team’s win against the Reds in their game on Sunday.

“Tried to stay focused as a club, knowing today was big. To be able to win the series against them ... I thought we played some great baseball. I thought we hit some balls hard in those early innings, and they made some good plays. They jumped on us, then we come back, they come back, and we get to extra innings and go back and forth.” - Bryce Harper after their win against the Padres in their game on Sunday.

Christian Yelich (L) LF

William Contreras (R) C

Willy Adames (R) SS

Jesse Winker (L) DH

Owen Miller (R) 1B

Raimel Tapia (L) RF

Andruw Monasterio (R) 3B

Brice Turang (L) 2B

Joey Wiemer (R) CF

Kyle Schwarber (L) LF

Trea Turner (R) SS

Bryce Harper (L) DH

J.T. Realmuto (R) C

Bryson Stott (L) 2B

Brandon Marsh (L) RF

Drew Ellis (R) 3B

Darick Hall (L) 1B

Johan Rojas (R) CF

Batting Average:  Abraham Toro (.500)

Hits:  Christian Yelich (97)

Home Runs:  Willy Adames (16)

RBI:  Christian Yelich (49)

Stolen Bases:  Christian Yelich (21)

Wins:  Corbin Burnes (8)

Saves:  Devin Williams (23)

ERA:  Alex Claudio (0.00)

Batting Average:  Cristian Pache (.327)

Hits:  Nick Castellanos (105)

Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (25)

RBI:  Alec Bohm (58)

Stolen Bases:  Trea Turner (21)

Wins:  Taijuan Walker (11)

Saves:  Craig Kimbrel (15)

ERA:  Jose Alvarado (1.38)

Managers:

Milwaukee Brewers: Craig Counsell (9th season)

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (2nd season)