Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/31/2025

Game Time: 4:05 pm ET, Saturday, May 31, 2025

Venue:  Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA

Where to Watch:  Fox Sports 1

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +154, Phillies -185; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +155, Phillies -185; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +155, Phillies -185; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Milwaukee Brewers:  29-28 (3rd place, NL Central)

Philadelphia Phillies:  36-20 (1st place, NL East)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Brian Bitler is on a HOT STREAK in the MLB on a 9-4 MLB RUN for +$5,120 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Milwaukee Brewers:  7-3 last 10

Philadelphia Phillies:  8-2 last 10

The Brewers are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 3-game series against the Boston Red Sox 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 29-28 record overall and have a road record of 11-18. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 25th in the MLB with a .664 OPS. DL Hall is their starting pitcher on Friday while rookie pitcher Chad Patrick is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 2-4 with a 2.97 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 6 Ks on 3 hits through 4.2 IP against the Boston Red Sox.

The Phillies are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Atlanta Braves 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 36-20 record overall and have a home record of 19-9. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .744 OPS. Taijuan Walker is their starting pitcher on Friday while Jesús Luzardo is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 5-0 with a 2.15 ERA this season. His team won 5 of their last 6 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 1 homer, and 1 BB with 10 strikeouts on 9 hits through 7 innings played against the Athletics.

The current betting odds have the Phillies listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Phillies have looked great in their games this season with their 36-20 record overall which has them right at the top of the NL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have also looked great in their own ballpark this year with their 19-9 home record. Meanwhile, the Brewers have looked good in their games this season with their 29-28 record overall which has them right in the middle of the NL Central. They haven't been a great road team though with their 11-18 road record. The Brewers have been getting hot lately as they are 7-3 in their last 10 games, but the Phillies are 8-2 in their last 10 games and they have the slightly better pitching matchup to take advantage of in this game. Luzardo is on the mound for the Phillies and he has been great all season as he hasn't been giving up many runs. He is 5-0 with a 2.15 ERA and his team has had a ton of success with him starting, winning 5 of their last 6 games with him on the mound. He did give up 3 earned runs in his last start, but he will be looking to bounce back at home with a better start. Patrick is on the mound for the Brewers and he has also been good this season. He is 2-4 with a 2.97 ERA and is coming off a start in which he gave up no runs. The team has still lost 2 of their last 3 games with him starting though and as good as he has looked lately, he is still in his rookie season and doesn't have the MLB experience to help him in tough spots against one of the best lineups in the MLB here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game. 

Brewers Phillies Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, May 31, 2025 (4:05 pm ET start time) is Phillies 4 Brewers 2.

Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks, best bets, and expert baseball picks today.  And if you enjoyed this Milwaukee Brewers Philadelphia Phillies prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our daily MLB projections and previews.

Milwaukee Brewers: 58-59 (-11.7 units) on the moneyline against left-handed starters. 9-22 (-7.1 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +150 or more. 24-33 (-8.9 units) on the moneyline vs. a starting pitcher who gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start. 11-3 UNDER on the road vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better.

Philadelphia Phillies: 230-166 (+12.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 129-70 (+22.7 units) on the moneyline in home games. 156-109 (+12.9 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 42-28 UNDER against NL Central opponents.

Milwaukee Brewers:  N. Cortes (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. C. Thomas (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. B. Woodruff (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder. J. Quintana (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder. G. Mitchell (CF) Ten Day IL - Oblique. B. Perkins (CF) Sixty Day IL - Shin. R. Gasser (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

Philadelphia Phillies:  B. Harper (1B) Day To Day - Elbow. A. Nola (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Ankle.

“You know, you can wipe the window a little bit and look at this team and say, ‘Oh, that’s how they have to play.’ With that grit, the pitch-to-pitch mentality. Counts don’t matter, situations don’t matter. Just compete for that pitch.” - Pat Murphy after his team’s win against the Red Sox in their game on Wednesday.

"Even in the fourth inning, it was a couple broken-bat base hits, ground ball down the line, then Albies hits the ball 94, 95 mph and it gets out of the ballpark. Those things happen. But early, I thought [Wheeler] was really good." - Rob Thomson after his team’s loss against the Braves in the 2nd game of their double-header on Thursday.

Brice Turang (L) 2B

Jackson Chourio (R) CF

Christian Yelich (L) DH

William Contreras (R) C

Sal Frelick (L) RF

Isaac Collins (S) LF

Caleb Durbin (R) 3B

Jake Bauers (L) 1B

Joey Ortiz (R) SS

Trea Turner (R) SS

Kyle Schwarber (L) DH

Alec Bohm (R) 1B

Nick Castellanos (R) RF

J.T. Realmuto (R) C

Edmundo Sosa (R) 3B

Weston Wilson (R) LF

Bryson Stott (L) 2B

Johan Rojas (R) CF

Batting Average:  Sal Frelick (.294)

Hits:  Jackson Chourio (58)

Home Runs:  Christian Yelich (10)

RBI:  Christian Yelich (34)

Stolen Bases:  Brice Turang (14)

Wins:  Freddy Peralta (5)

Saves:  Trevor Megill (10)

ERA:  Rob Zastryzny (0.00)

Batting Average:  Edmundo Sosa (.324)

Hits:  Trea Turner (67)

Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (19)

RBI:  Kyle Schwarber (41)

Stolen Bases:  Trea Turner (14)

Wins:  Zack Wheeler (6)

Saves:  Jordan Romano (8)

ERA:  Mick Abel (0.00)

Managers:

Milwaukee Brewers: Pat Murphy (2nd season)

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (4th season)