Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/30/2025

Game Time: 6:45 pm ET, Friday, May 30, 2025

Venue:  Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA

Where to Watch:  NBCS-P

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +124, Phillies -148; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +125, Phillies -150; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +125, Phillies -150; Over/Under:  9 runs

Milwaukee Brewers:  29-28 (3rd place, NL Central)

Philadelphia Phillies:  35-19 (1st place, NL East)

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Milwaukee Brewers:  7-3 last 10

Philadelphia Phillies:  9-1 last 10

The Brewers are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 3-game series against the Boston Red Sox 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 29-28 record overall and have a road record of 11-18. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 25th in the MLB with a .664 OPS. Freddy Peralta was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Quinn Priester is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 1-2 with a 4.23 ERA this season. His team lost 6 of their last 7 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 7 Ks on 6 hits through 6 IP against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The Phillies are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Athletics 2-1. They enter this game with a 35-19 record overall and have a home record of 18-8. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Friday with the 2nd game and the series finale of their series against the Atlanta Braves still to be played on Thursday in a double-header. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .744 OPS. Zack Wheeler is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Taijuan Walker is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 2-3 with a 2.97 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 1 homer, and 2 BB with 2 strikeouts on 6 hits through 5 innings played against the Colorado Rockies.

The current betting odds have the Phillies listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Phillies have looked great in their games this season with their 35-19 record overall which has them right at the top of the NL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have also looked great in their own ballpark this year with their 18-8 home record. Meanwhile, the Brewers have looked good in their games this season with their 29-28 record overall which has them right in the middle of the NL Central. They haven't been a great road team though with their 11-18 road record. The Phillies are playing a double-header with the Braves on Thursday while the Brewers have the day off, but the Phillies have been rolling in their games lately as they are 9-1 in their last 10 and they can take advantage of this pitching matchup at home. They are going to have Walker starting here and he has looked good this season with his 2-3 record and his 2.97 ERA. He did give up 3 earned runs in his last start, but he will be looking to bounce back with a better start here since he hasn't been giving up many runs all season, and the team has still won 2 of their last 3 games with him starting. The Brewers are going with Priester here and he hasn't been bad this season, but he hasn't been great either. He is 1-2 with a 4.23 ERA and has been giving up quite a few runs in his starts. He did only give up 1 earned run in his last start, but the team hasn't had much success with him starting, still losing 6 of their last 7 games with him on the mound. The Brewers haven't had a great bullpen lately either so look for the Phillies to take advantage of that. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game. 

Brewers Phillies Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, May 30, 2025 (6:45 pm ET start time) is Phillies 6 Brewers 2.

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Milwaukee Brewers: 34-36 (-9.7 units) on the moneyline after 3 consecutive games versus an interleague opponent. 70-58 (-9.3 units) on the moneyline after 3 or more consecutive home games. 24-33 (-8.9 units) on the moneyline vs. a starting pitcher who gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start. 29-20 OVER vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start.

Philadelphia Phillies: 229-165 (+12.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 128-69 (+22.7 units) on the moneyline in home games. 155-109 (+11.9 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 29-22 OVER vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start.

Milwaukee Brewers:  N. Cortes (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. C. Thomas (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. B. Woodruff (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder. J. Quintana (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder. G. Mitchell (CF) Ten Day IL - Oblique. B. Perkins (CF) Sixty Day IL - Shin. R. Gasser (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

Philadelphia Phillies:  B. Harper (1B) Day To Day - Elbow. A. Nola (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Ankle.

“You know, you can wipe the window a little bit and look at this team and say, ‘Oh, that’s how they have to play.’ With that grit, the pitch-to-pitch mentality. Counts don’t matter, situations don’t matter. Just compete for that pitch.” - Pat Murphy after his team’s win against the Red Sox in their game on Wednesday.

"J.T. is trying a bunch of different stuff. He's working hard to maybe limit his leg kick a little bit, but more just get the timing better. So, I just wanted to take a little pressure off him and put him down [in the order] a little a bit." - Rob Thomson on J.T. Realmuto this season.

Brice Turang (L) 2B

Jackson Chourio (R) CF

Christian Yelich (L) DH

William Contreras (R) C

Sal Frelick (L) RF

Isaac Collins (S) LF

Caleb Durbin (R) 3B

Jake Bauers (L) 1B

Joey Ortiz (R) SS

Bryson Stott (L) 2B

Trea Turner (R) SS

Kyle Schwarber (L) DH

Alec Bohm (R) 1B

Nick Castellanos (R) RF

Max Kepler (L) LF

Edmundo Sosa (R) 3B

Brandon Marsh (L) CF

Rafael Marchán (S) C

Batting Average:  Sal Frelick (.294)

Hits:  Jackson Chourio (58)

Home Runs:  Christian Yelich (10)

RBI:  Christian Yelich (34)

Stolen Bases:  Brice Turang (14)

Wins:  Freddy Peralta (5)

Saves:  Trevor Megill (10)

ERA:  Rob Zastryzny (0.00)

Batting Average:  Edmundo Sosa (.338)

Hits:  Trea Turner (65)

Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (18)

RBI:  Kyle Schwarber (40)

Stolen Bases:  Trea Turner (14)

Wins:  Zack Wheeler (6)

Saves:  José Alvarado (7)

ERA:  Mick Abel (0.00)

Managers:

Milwaukee Brewers: Pat Murphy (2nd season)

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (4th season)