Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets Prediction, Preview, Picks & Odds - 6/15/2022

Time: 7:10 p.m. ET

Venue: Citi Field, Queens, NY

Where to watch: FS1

DraftKings: Brewers -120, Mets +100

BetMGM: Brewers -120, Mets +100

Caesars: Brewers -125, Mets +105

Brewers: 34-29

Mets: 41-22

So here's the thing I'm having with this game between the Milwaukee Brewers and the New York Mets. I don't normally look at the line two in depth. Usually when I look at a line and I see who's favored and who is the underdog, I am usually fairly set on who I would pick in this game based on the line.

And of course when you look at the opening line and you see the Milwaukee is minus 125 has a favorite against the best team in the National League, you start wondering why that is. And then you look even further and you see that Corbin Burnes is taking the mound for Milwaukee and of course you would understand why Milwaukee would be favored.

But ultimately as we look further in depth into this matchup on Wednesday, there's still the Milwaukee Brewers who have been playing extremely horrible over the last few weeks. And they are still facing the New York Mets who have been one of the best teams in baseball all season long. And again, they are without Max Scherzer and Jacob deGrom.

So you take all of that into account, and knowing that Milwaukee has not been able to score hardly any runs over the last couple weeks, which we knew would end up being the Achilles heel of Milwaukee, of course they face the Mets on Tuesday and get shut out. The 4-0 victory was highlighted in the fact that Chris Bassitt threw eight scoreless innings and allowed only three hits in the victory.

Even when you take into account the Mets spotted they're starting pitcher with a three run first inning. So not only are you given a lead early on, but you're also silencing these bats that people have been waiting 4 to get on track. And until there is consistency involved with the Brewers when they are at the plate, no one will take them seriously.

Which is why you look at the Mets and you see why people take them seriously. Pete Alonso has another RBI in the first inning to increase his NL lead, Jeff McNeil followed that with a double and suddenly the game is already out of reach because Milwaukee has no idea how to hit. Alonso added a second RBI in the 5th inning just to essentially end the game.

All the while, the Brewers are flat out disappointing everyone who thought that they could repeat as division champions and actually take a stranglehold on that division. Instead, it's the Cardinals who have been able to leapfrog Milwaukee because of their incompetence when it comes two offense.

So of course when you see the reigning National League is Cy Young Award winner taking the mound for the beyond struggling Milwaukee team, you are instantly thinking then maybe this is the time where they actually get a victory. When in reality you can only do so much if you're not scoring.

And I'm not trying to say that the Brewers have not been scoring runs. They have, the pitching has not been as dominant as they would like. But at some point if you are Milwaukee, you cannot rely on the pitching to get you out of jam after jam. It's why they were eliminated by the Atlanta Braves in the division series last year. The bats did not show up, and the pitching ran out of gas. The Mets don't have to worry about that because they are already loaded with a deep pitching rotation. They can send whoever they want out onto the mound, and it will usually turn out into a positive result. Because they have the batting now that makes them dangerous.

And that's why despite the fact that Milwaukee is sending its ace to the mound, I still don't trust the Brewers to get the job done. And until the bats wake up and until the bats become a more consistent threat for Milwaukee, they are looking at an uphill climb against the Mets who have continued to impress everyone in this ridiculous season. So don't overthink this one. Mets win 6-2

Brewers are 2-9 during June this month.

Brewers are 10-11 against NL East teams this season.

Mets are 19-8 at home this season.

Mets are 7-4 at home when the line is between +125 and -125 this season.

Brewers:
Christian Yelich (L) LF
Willy Adames (R) SS
Rowdy Tellez (L) 1B
Luis Urias (R) 2B
Andrew McCutchen (R) DH
Omar Narvaez (L) C
Hunter Renfroe (R) RF
Jace Peterson (L) 3B
Tyrone Taylor (R) CF
SP - Corbin Burnes

Mets:
Brandon Nimmo (L) CF
Starling Marte (R) RF
Francisco Lindor (S) SS
Pete Alonso (R) 1B
Jeff McNeil (L) LF
Eduardo Escobar (S) 3B
Luis Guillorme (L) 2B
Nick Plummer (L) DH
Tomas Nido (R) C
SP - David Peterson

Batting average: Rowdy Tellez -- .248

Home runs: Willy Adames -- 11

RBI: Rowdy Tellez -- 38

Wins: Eric Lauer -- 5

ERA: Corbin Burnes -- 2.48

Batting average: Jeff McNeil -- .321

Home runs: Pete Alonso -- 18

RBI: Pete Alonso -- 59

Wins: Carlos Carrasco -- 7

ERA: Chris Bassitt -- 3.89