Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/29/2023

Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Thursday, June 29, 2023

Venue:  Citi Field, Queens, NY

Where to Watch:  SNY

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +180, Mets -210; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +180, Mets -210; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +180, Mets -210; Over/Under:  9 runs

Milwaukee Brewers:  41-38 (2nd place, NL Central)

New York Mets:  36-43 (4th place, NL East)

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Milwaukee Brewers:  6-4 last 10

New York Mets:  3-7 last 10

The Brewers are entering this series off of a win and won their 3-game series against the Cleveland Guardians 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 41-38 record overall and have a road record of 19-20. This is the series finale of a 4-game series with the Mets on Thursday with the 3rd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. They also won the series opener of this series on Monday but lost the 2nd game on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 27th in the MLB with a .674 OPS. Wade Miley is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Adrian Houser is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 2-2 with a 4.02 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 ER, 0 HR, and 4 BB with 4 Ks on 6 hits through 4 IP against the Oakland Athletics.

The Mets are entering this series off of a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 36-43 record overall and have a home record of 18-16. This is the 4th game of a 4-game series with the Brewers on Thursday with the 3rd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. They also lost the 1st game of this series on Monday but won the 2nd game on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 18th in the MLB with a .716 OPS. Rookie pitcher Kodai Senga is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Max Scherzer is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 7-2 with a 3.95 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 1 homer, and 1 BB with 8 strikeouts on 7 hits through 6 innings played against the Philadelphia Phillies.

The current betting odds have the Mets listed as a big favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mets haven't been playing great lately with a losing record overall this season and an offense that hasn't been good either, but the Brewers also have one of the worst offenses in the league this season and have been struggling to stay above .500 themselves. The Mets already took the series opener of this series and they have been playing a lot better in their home games all season. They also have their ace Max Scherzer on the mound here and he hasn't been great in every start this season but he is still a really reliable starter for them that has been pitching well lately. He has been good at home and will be looking to put up another good performance here against this cold Brewers lineup. The Brewers are going with Houser in this game and he hasn't really been great this season. He has had some bad starts this year and is even coming off of one in his last start, giving up 5 runs in that one. The Mets offense hasn't been great this season but they have been playing a lot better lately putting up more runs in their games and they will be able to put some runs up on Houser with how bad he has been lately. This series will be a good opportunity for the Mets to get a spark at home. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mets to win this game and on the runline.

Brewers Mets Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, June 29, 2023 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Mets 6 Brewers 1.

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Milwaukee Brewers: 28-19 (+8.3 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8.5 to 10. 30-23 (+6.9 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 32-12 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10. 12-5 UNDER as a road underdog of +150 to +200.

New York Mets: 36-43 (-21 units) on the moneyline in all games. 29-24 (-9.4 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 21-12 UNDER in home games. 18-7 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5.

Milwaukee Brewers:  W. Miley (SP) Prob Wed - Lower Body. J. Alexander (SP) Early July - Shoulder. B. Sousa (SP) Early July - Shoulder. J. Cousins (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. D. Ruf (DH) Mid Aug - Knee. T. Taylor (CF) Out indefinitely - Elbow. B. Woodruff (SP) Mid July - Shoulder. G. Mitchell (LF) out for season - Shoulder. A. Ashby (SP) Early Sept - Shoulder. J. Wilson (RP) Mid July - Elbow.

New York Mets:  J. Quintana (SP) Early July - Ribs. S. Ridings (SP) Out indefinitely - Back. E. Uceta (RP) Mid Aug - Knee. T. Locastro (CF) Mid July - Thumb. S. Coonrod (RP) Mid July - Back. E. Hernandez (SP) Early July - Shoulder. B. Montes de Oca (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. Diaz (RP) out for season - Knee.

“We kind of let him off the hook and then he got in a groove.” - Craig Counsell on David Peterson after his team’s loss against the Mets in their game on Tuesday.

“We keep looking for something that’s going to allow us to gain some traction and some footing. And really, it’s going to take putting some extended good things together. But it’s in our hands. I mean, there’s nine innings every night — 27 outs that you hope to play better than they do.” - Buck Showalter after his team’s win against the Brewers in their game on Tuesday.

Blake Perkins (S) RF

William Contreras (R) C

Christian Yelich (L) LF

Willy Adames (R) DH

Owen Miller (R) 1B

Luis Urias (R) 2B

Brian Anderson (R) 3B

Joey Wiemer (R) CF

Andruw Monasterio (R) SS

Brandon Nimmo (L) CF

Starling Marte (R) RF

Francisco Lindor (S) SS

Pete Alonso (R) 1B

Jeff McNeil (L) 2B

Tommy Pham (R) LF

Daniel Vogelbach (L) DH

Brett Baty (L) 3B

Omar Narvaez (L) C

Batting Average:  Abraham Toro (.500)

Hits:  Christian Yelich (76)

Home Runs:  Rowdy Tellez (12)

RBI:  Brian Anderson (36)

Stolen Bases:  Christian Yelich (17)

Wins:  Freddy Peralta (5)

Saves:  Devin Williams (14)

ERA:  Alex Claudio (0.00)

Batting Average:  Michael Perez (.571)

Hits:  Brandon Nimmo (85)

Home Runs:  Pete Alonso (24)

RBI:  Pete Alonso (55)

Stolen Bases:  Starling Marte (21)

Wins:  Max Scherzer (7)

Saves:  David Robertson (11)

ERA:  Edwin Uceta (0.00)

Managers:

Milwaukee Brewers: Craig Counsell (9th season)

New York Mets: Buck Showalter (2nd season)