Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/27/2023

Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Tuesday, June 27, 2023

Venue:  Citi Field, Queens, NY

Where to Watch:  SNY

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +135, Mets -155; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +135, Mets -155; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +135, Mets -155; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Milwaukee Brewers:  40-37 (2nd place, NL Central)

New York Mets:  35-42 (4th place, NL East)

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Milwaukee Brewers:  6-4 last 10

New York Mets:  4-6 last 10

The Brewers are entering this game off of a win in their last game and won their 3-game series against the Cleveland Guardians 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 40-37 record overall and have a road record of 18-19. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Mets on Tuesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 28th in the MLB with a .675 OPS. Colin Rea is their starting pitcher on Monday while Julio Teheran is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 2-2 with a 1.53 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 4 BB with 3 Ks on 2 hits through 5 IP against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

The Mets are entering this game off of a loss in their last game and lost their 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 35-42 record overall and have a home record of 17-15. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Brewers on Tuesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 17th in the MLB with a .718 OPS. Justin Verlander is their starting pitcher on Monday while David Peterson is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 1-6 with a 8.08 ERA this season. His team lost their last 4 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 6 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 5 strikeouts on 9 hits through 5 innings played against the Washington Nationals.

The current betting odds have the Brewers listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Brewers haven't been great over the last few weeks but they are still just in 2nd place of their division trying to chase down the Reds and they were a lot better in their last series. Now that they are gaining some momentum they will be looking to go on a bit of a run here and will try to take advantage of this series against a struggling Mets team. The Mets were one of the teams favored to win their division at the beginning of the season but they haven't been good at all this season with a losing record overall and a really bad offense too. Their pitching hasn't been great in their games lately either and they are really desperate here as they are going with Peterson on the mound. Peterson gave up 6 runs in his last start and that has been a common theme for him all season as he has been giving up a ton of runs in almost every start. The Brewers don't have a great offense this season but they were playing a lot better in their series over the weekend and will be able to edge out a Mets offense that hasn't been putting up a ton of runs in games either. The Brewers also have Teheran starting here and he hasn't been giving up many runs in his starts this season. The team hasn't had a lot of success with him starting lately but the Brewers have also been slumping and now that they are starting to turn things around, they will be able to edge out the Mets here with an offense that has been a lot better lately and pitching that has also been a lot better. The best way to place a bet here is on the Brewers to win this game.

Brewers Mets Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, June 27, 2023 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Brewers 6 Mets 2.

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Milwaukee Brewers: 22-15 (+5.8 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8 to 8.5. 8-6 (+5.6 units) on the moneyline as a road underdog of +125 to +175. 31-12 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10. 16-8 UNDER against left-handed starters.

New York Mets: 35-42 (-20.3 units) on the moneyline in all games. 10-14 (-14.7 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -150 or more. 20-12 UNDER in home games. 14-8 UNDER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10.

Milwaukee Brewers:  W. Miley (SP) Ques Wed - Lower Body. J. Alexander (SP) Early July - Shoulder. B. Sousa (SP) Early July - Shoulder. J. Cousins (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. D. Ruf (DH) Mid Aug - Knee. T. Taylor (CF) Out indefinitely - Elbow. B. Woodruff (SP) Mid July - Shoulder. G. Mitchell (LF) out for season - Shoulder. A. Ashby (SP) Early Sept - Shoulder. J. Wilson (RP) Mid July - Elbow.

New York Mets:  D. Smith (RP) Elig Mon - Suspension. J. Quintana (SP) Early July - Ribs. S. Ridings (SP) Out indefinitely - Back. E. Uceta (RP) Mid Aug - Knee. T. Locastro (CF) Mid July - Thumb. S. Coonrod (RP) Mid July - Back. E. Hernandez (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. B. Montes de Oca (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. Diaz (RP) out for season - Knee.

“He went through the heart of their lineup. He made great pitches to (Ramírez and Naylor). ” - Craig Counsell on Elvis Peguero after his team’s win against the Guardians in their game on Sunday.

“We had the chance to open things up. We didn't.” - Buck Showalter after his team’s loss against the Phillies in their game on Sunday.

Christian Yelich (L) DH

Owen Miller (R) 3B

Willy Adames (R) SS

Rowdy Tellez (L) 1B

Brian Anderson (R) RF

Victor Caratini (S) C

Andruw Monasterio (R) 2B

Blake Perkins (S) LF

Joey Wiemer (R) CF

Brandon Nimmo (L) CF

Starling Marte (R) RF

Francisco Lindor (S) SS

Pete Alonso (R) 1B

Daniel Vogelbach (L) DH

Tommy Pham (R) LF

Jeff McNeil (L) 2B

Brett Baty (L) 3B

Omar Narvaez (L) C

Batting Average:  Abraham Toro (.500)

Hits:  Christian Yelich (74)

Home Runs:  Rowdy Tellez (12)

RBI:  Brian Anderson (34)

Stolen Bases:  Christian Yelich (17)

Wins:  Freddy Peralta (5)

Saves:  Devin Williams (13)

ERA:  Alex Claudio (0.00)

Batting Average:  Michael Perez (.571)

Hits:  Brandon Nimmo (83)

Home Runs:  Pete Alonso (24)

RBI:  Pete Alonso (55)

Stolen Bases:  Starling Marte (20)

Wins:  Max Scherzer (7)

Saves:  David Robertson (11)

ERA:  Edwin Uceta (0.00)

Managers:

Milwaukee Brewers: Craig Counsell (9th season)

New York Mets: Buck Showalter (2nd season)