Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/26/2023

Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Monday, June 26, 2023

Venue:  Citi Field, Queens, NY

Where to Watch:  MLB Network

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +160, Mets -190; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +160, Mets -190; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +160, Mets -190; Over/Under:  8 runs

Milwaukee Brewers:  39-37 (2nd place, NL Central)

New York Mets:  35-41 (4th place, NL East)

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Milwaukee Brewers:  5-5 last 10

New York Mets:  4-6 last 10

The Brewers are entering this game off of a loss in their last game and lost their 3-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 39-37 record overall and have a road record of 17-19. This is the series opener of a 4-game series with the Mets on Monday with the series finale of their series against the Cleveland Guardians still to be played on Sunday. Their offense ranks 28th in the MLB with a .676 OPS. Corbin Burnes is their starting pitcher on Sunday while Colin Rea is making his start in this game on Monday. He is 3-4 with a 4.88 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 2 Ks on 7 hits through 5.1 IP against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

The Mets are entering this game off of a win in their last game but lost their 3-game series against the Houston Astros 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 35-41 record overall and have a home record of 17-15. This is the 1st game of a 4-game series with the Brewers on Monday with the 3rd game of their series against the Philadelphia Phillies still to be played on Sunday. Their offense ranks 18th in the MLB with a .716 OPS. Carlos Carrasco is their starting pitcher on Sunday while Justin Verlander is making his start in this game on Monday. He is 2-4 with a 4.50 ERA this season. His team lost 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 1 homer, and 0 BB with 5 strikeouts on 8 hits through 7 innings played against the Houston Astros.

The current betting odds have the Mets listed as a big favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mets haven't been having a good season, they are in 4th place of the NL East with a record under .500 but they are back at home for this series and have a chance to turn things around against the Brewers who haven't been great themselves lately. The Brewers have one of the worst offenses in the league too so they are going to struggle to put up runs with an experienced starter like Verlander on the mound. Verlander didn't pitch well in his last outing but he is a really reliable starter and will be looking to bounce back at home here with a much better performance. Meanwhile, the Brewers have Rea on the mound and he is also coming off a bad start in his last outing as he hasn't been great in his starts this season. His performance along with the weak Brewers offense will be enough to give the Mets the spark they need now that they are getting healthier and they will get a much needed win in this home game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mets to win this game and on the runline.

Brewers Mets Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Monday, June 26, 2023 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Mets 5 Brewers 1.

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Milwaukee Brewers: 20-11 (+7.6 units) on the moneyline after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs. 9-2 (+7.2 units) on the moneyline after a one run win. 26-18 OVER when the total is 7 to 8.5. 28-15 OVER after 2 straight games with no home runs.

New York Mets: 35-42 (-20.3 units) on the moneyline in all games. 13-20 (-13.4 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8 to 8.5. 24-14 OVER after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs. 20-12 OVER when the total is 8 to 8.5.

Milwaukee Brewers:  W. Miley (SP) Ques Wed - Lower Body. J. Alexander (SP) Early July - Shoulder. B. Sousa (SP) Early July - Shoulder. J. Cousins (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. D. Ruf (DH) Mid Aug - Knee. T. Taylor (CF) Out indefinitely - Elbow. B. Woodruff (SP) Mid July - Shoulder. G. Mitchell (LF) out for season - Shoulder. A. Ashby (SP) Early Sept - Shoulder. J. Wilson (RP) Mid July - Elbow.

New York Mets:  J. McNeil (2B) Ques Sun - Wrist. D. Smith (RP) Elig Mon - Suspension. J. Quintana (SP) Early July - Ribs. S. Ridings (SP) Out indefinitely - Back. E. Uceta (RP) Mid Aug - Knee. T. Locastro (CF) Mid July - Thumb. S. Coonrod (RP) Mid July - Back. E. Hernandez (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. B. Montes de Oca (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. Diaz (RP) out for season - Knee.

“Hoby made a real good pitch to Naylor and, unfortunately, it got through. We still had a chance to get out of that inning, and Fry got a slider down and got a base hit. It’s tough giving up the lead at that point.” - Craig Counsell after his team’s loss against the Guardians in their game on Saturday.

“The game can really turn on that at-bat. I was able to away on top of him in just that at-bat. Keep it at a 2-2 game, then our offense goes out and gets another run and it kind of puts the game in our favor." - Max Scherzer after their win against the Phillies in their game on Saturday.

Christian Yelich (L) DH

Owen Miller (R) 3B

Willy Adames (R) SS

Rowdy Tellez (L) 1B

Brian Anderson (R) RF

Victor Caratini (S) C

Andruw Monasterio (R) 2B

Blake Perkins (S) LF

Joey Wiemer (R) CF

Brandon Nimmo (L) CF

Starling Marte (R) RF

Francisco Lindor (S) SS

Pete Alonso (R) 1B

Tommy Pham (R) DH

Francisco Alvarez (R) C

Mark Canha (R) LF

Luis Guillorme (L) 2B

Danny Mendick (R) 3B

Batting Average:  Abraham Toro (.500)

Hits:  Christian Yelich (72)

Home Runs:  Rowdy Tellez (12)

RBI:  Brian Anderson (34)

Stolen Bases:  Christian Yelich (17)

Wins:  Freddy Peralta (5)

Saves:  Devin Williams (13)

ERA:  Alex Claudio (0.00)

Batting Average:  Michael Perez (.571)

Hits:  Brandon Nimmo (81)

Home Runs:  Pete Alonso (23)

RBI:  Pete Alonso (52)

Stolen Bases:  Starling Marte (20)

Wins:  Max Scherzer (7)

Saves:  David Robertson (11)

ERA:  Edwin Uceta (0.00)

Managers:

Milwaukee Brewers: Craig Counsell (9th season)

New York Mets: Buck Showalter (2nd season)