Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins Prediction, Preview, Picks & Odds - 5/13/2022

by Chuck Sommers

Friday, May 13, 2022
Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
Venue: loanDepot park, Miami, FL
Where to watch: Bally Sports Wisconsin, Bally Sports Florida

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks


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Season record
Brewers: 20-12
Marlins: 14-17

We're fresh into this baseball season and of course it's AAA Sports jumping out to an 34-19-0 run in Major League Baseball over the course of the last 30 days. An incredible start to the season. We've seen some exciting games and some awesome moments, but what will happen as we keep rolling through the month of May? Catch AAA's plays available right now at the Shop Picks page, where you can find all of the Best Bets from our champion sports handicappers.

Brewers - Marlins preview and analysis


Do the Miami Marlins have a superstar on their hands? They might have someone waiting in the wings with the way Jazz Chisholm is swinging the bat to begin this season. Even with the Marlins struggling as much as they are in May, he’s been instant offense.

Chisholm will try to keep the good luck rolling when the Marlins take on the Milwaukee Brewers in the first of a three-game series in Miami, in what should be a really intriguing battle between a top team and a a unit that is supposedly better than what it was.

The Marlins are coming off an 11-3 romp thanks to a mega ninth inning, led by Chisholm’s homer, and the Marlins blitzed with eight in the ninth to at least end the Arizona road trip on a positive despite losing the first two.

“It’s a tough feeling,” Chisholm said. “Walking off the field, you want to put your head down. But you’ve got to keep it up until the next day, because you know you’ve got another day to come back and fight.”

Chisholm’s three-run homer gave the Marlins a 7-3 lead and there was no chance left for the Diamondbacks to keep things close.

“I was thinking three, or inside-the-parker if it got away from someone, honestly,” Chisholm said. “Like I hit it and I just took off running. I didn’t look to see where it was, all I heard was the guys behind me screaming, and I just took off running.”

The Marlins are still a ways away from contending, but I can tell you them being this competitive early on has been fun. And that’s why I can see them going into this series against Milwaukee and playing well as the home underdog.

The Brewers are coming off a 14-11 loss to the Cincinnati Reds – which, please feel free to laugh for now because it’s going to be awesome when the Reds either fight their way back to .500 ball, or will win the World Series – in which Christian Yelich hit for the cycle … and still lost. If not for the six runs in the ninth, it would’ve been much worse.

"I thought we were going to get it, man,” said right fielder Hunter Renfroe, who homered twice in a losing effort. “Everybody was looking for a helmet to grab and go up there and swing it. Yelich had a freakin' cycle. That's incredible. That's a once in a lifetime thing. He's done it three times in the big leagues. That's crazy." 

The Brewers are one of those weird teams where I still don’t fully understand. They should be so much better by way of their pitching rotation alone, but even looking at this lineup, it should be better. Yelich can’t be hitting against the Reds every day. It’s not going to be something that happens going forward.

“I was DHing, so I was kind of joking around with some of the guys on the bench [who said], ‘Hey, all you have to do is hit a triple now.’” Yelich said. “There’s really only one spot to do it here, just kind of yank it in the corner. …

“Once I saw it go that way, I knew as long as I didn’t trip and fall around the bases I would probably get to third.”

Then Yelich got all philosophical.

“Put the work in, keep grinding, just put your head down and go underwater,” he said.

“That means when you have a good day, you don’t really ride the high. When you have a bad day, you don’t get too low,” he said. “It’s such a long season and there’s so many ups and downs, to have a good year takes a really long time. You just kind of go underwater, put your work in, do the best you can, try to be the best version of yourself every day and when the season’s over, you look up, you come out of the water and see what happened and where you stand."

Prediction


The Brewers are likely mad at how that game ended. Give me the group that is mad and will try to get it done on the road. Brewers win 8-4

Betting trends


Brewers are 16-6 against right-handed starters this season.

Marlins are 2-9 in May this month.

Marlins are 5-9 as an underdog between +100 and +150 this season.

Projected lineup


Brewers:
Kolten Wong (L) 2B
Willy Adames (R) SS
Christian Yelich (L) DH
Rowdy Tellez (L) 1B
Luis Urias (R) 3B
Hunter Renfroe (R) RF
Omar Narvaez (L) C
Lorenzo Cain (R) CF
Jace Peterson (L) LF
SP - Corbin Burnes

Marlins:
TJ Friedl (L) CF
Brandon Drury (R) 2B
Tommy Pham (R) LF
Mike Moustakas (L) 3B
Tyler Stephenson (R) DH
Colin Moran (L) 1B
Tyler Naquin (L) RF
Kyle Farmer (R) SS
Aramis Garcia (R) C
SP - Pablo Lopez

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Chuck Sommers

About the Author:

Chuck Sommers has camped outside of sportsbooks since he can remember, learning the tricks and nuances of the trade. He still has nightmares of betting $5,000 on the Raiders in the Tuck Rule game but has since turned that to 25 years of veteran handicapping greatness. You can find him mostly in the shadows at the Red Rock or Aliante casinos wondering if the over is cashing on any given Sunday.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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