by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Friday, Oct 01, 2021
Game Time: 9:10 pm ET, Saturday, October 2, 2021
Venue: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Where to Watch: Sportsnet LA
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Brewers +120, Dodgers -140; Over/Under: 7.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Brewers +115, Dodgers -135; Over/Under: 7.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Brewers +120, Dodgers -145; Over/Under: 7 runs
Season Record
Milwaukee Brewers: 95-64 (1st place, NL Central)
Los Angeles Dodgers: 103-56 (2nd place, NL West)
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Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Milwaukee Brewers: 4-6 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers: 8-2 last 10
Milwaukee Brewers Analysis
The Brewers are coming into this game after losing their series finale against the St. Louis Cardinals on Thursday 4-3. They dropped 2 of the 3 games in that series and are 1-6 against the Cardinals in their last 2 series against them in these last 2 weeks. The Brewers have still won 4 of their last 6 games though, despite losing 2 of their last 3. They also snapped the Cardinals 17 game winning streak that they were on with their last win. This will be their final series of the regular season with the series opener being played on Friday, that result is still pending as the game has not been played yet. This will be the 2nd of this three-game series against the Dodgers being played on Saturday. Eric Lauer was given the nod for their game on Friday while Corbin Burnes will be the starting pitcher on the mound in this game on Saturday. He is 11-4 this season with a 2.29 ERA. He has been credited with 9 straight wins now and his team has won their last 12 games straight with him pitching. In his last start, he allowed 1 ER and 1 BB with 9 Ks on 5 hits through 7 IP against the New York Mets last Saturday. This will be his first time seeing the Dodgers lineup this season but it might not be his last as these 2 teams could potentially meet up in the postseason. Their offense has scored 9 runs in their last 3 games averaging 3 runs scored per game in that span and they have allowed their opponents to score 10 runs against them in that same span allowing a little over 3 run per game.
Los Angeles Dodgers Analysis
The L.A. Dodgers are coming into this game after winning their series finale against the San Diego Padres on Thursday 8-3. They completed a sweep of the Padres in that series and they have now won their last 4 games and 6 of their last 7. This will be the 2nd game of their series against the Brewers with the series opener still to be played on Friday, that result is pending. Clayton Kershaw will be the starter for the Dodgers on Friday while Julio Urias will be throwing the first pitch for them in this game on Saturday. He is 19-3 with a 3.01 ERA this season and he is the starting pitcher on their rotation with the most wins this season. He has been credited with 10 straight wins and his team has won their last 10 games that he has started in. In his last start, he allowed 0 ER and 1 BB with 3 strikeouts on 5 hits through 5 innings of work against the Arizona Diamondbacks last Sunday. He has seen the Brewers lineup once this season and he is 1-0 against them as he allowed just 1 run in that game. Their offense has scored 21 runs in their last 3 games averaging 7 runs scored per game in that span and they have allowed their opponents to score 13 runs against them in that same span allowing a little over 4 runs per game.
Brewers vs Dodgers Prediction
Both of these teams have already clinched a playoff spot so there is not much to play for here. The Brewers cannot really do much more with their regular season but the LA Dodgers still have a chance to take the National League West division from the San Francisco Giants. They will still be fighting in this game as they are 2 games behind and still have 3 left on their schedule. Both of these teams have their pitchers on the mound for this game too so it will be a real chess match at the plate. The best bet to make in this game is on the under as both pitchers have been great all year and neither team will play the game loose here.
Brewers Dodgers Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Saturday, October 2, 2021 (9:10 pm ET start time) is Dodgers 2 Brewers 0.
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MLB Betting Trends
Milwaukee Brewers: 19-15 (+9.1 units) as an underdog of +100 or higher. 95-64 (+9.4 units) in all games. 50-28 (+15.8 units) in road games.
Los Angeles Dodgers: 177-190 O/U as a favorite of -110 or higher. 185-195 O/U in all games. 82-99 O/U in home games.
Key Injuries
Milwaukee Brewers: D. Williams (RP) out for season - Hand injury. R. Tellez (1B) Early Oct - Knee injury. J. Cousins (RP) Out indefinitely - Bicep injury.
Los Angeles Dodgers: G. Lux (SS) Ques Fri - Neck injury. B. McKinney (LF) Out indefinitely - Hip injury. D. Duffy (SP) Early Oct - Hip injury.
Players to Watch
Milwaukee Brewers: Eduardo Escobar is one player to watch in this matchup. He leads his team in hits and in RBI. He is an important piece of this offense and they will need him to produce once the playoffs start. Look for him to start getting more hits and bringing in more runs as he tries to get into playoff form in this series against a potential playoff opponent for them.
Los Angeles Dodgers: Max Muncy is one player to watch here. He leads his team in homers and in RBI. The Dodgers are still fighting in these last 3 games to try and win their decision despite clinching a Wild Card at least. Look for him to get some big hits and bring in some runs in this game as they look to top their division in these last 3 games.
Notable Quotes
"Other than the pitch to Carlson, I was pretty happy with the way I threw." - Brett Anderson on his performance in their loss to the Cardinals on Thursday.
"This is two teams playing really good baseball in a pennant race. We just got to play good baseball. If we do that, bring it on. It doesn't matter who we play or what format." - Dave Roberts on chasing the Giants for the division title.
Starting Lineups
Milwaukee Brewers
L. Urias 2B
W. Adames SS
E. Escobar 3B
T. Taylor RF
O. Narvaez C
K. Hiura 1B
J. Peterson LF
J. Bradley Jr. CF
B. Anderson P
Los Angeles Dodgers
M. Betts RF
C. Seager SS
T. Turner 2B
M. Muncy 1B
W. Smith C
J. Turner 3B
C. Taylor LF
C. Bellinger CF
T. Gonsolin P
Statistical Leaders
Milwaukee Brewers
Batting Average: K. Wong (.273)
Hits: E. Escobar (134)
Home Runs: A. Garcia (29)
RBI: E. Escobar (88)
Stolen Bases: L. Cain (13)
Wins: B. Suter (12)
Saves: J. Hader (34)
ERA: J. Hader (1.25)
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average: T. Turner (.325)
Hits: T. Turner (190)
Home Runs: M. Muncy (36)
RBI: M. Muncy (92)
Stolen Bases: T. Turner (32)
Wins: J. Urias (19)
Saves: K. Jansen (37)
ERA: J. Nelson (1.86)
Managers:
Milwaukee Brewers: Craig Counsell (7th season)
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (6th season)
Weather Forecast
80 degrees F partly cloudy, 20% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 4 mph wind speeds E.
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
