Milwaukee Brewers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/25/2023

Game Time: 1:40 pm ET, Sunday, June 25, 2023

Venue:  Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH

Where to Watch:  MLB Network

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers -110, Guardians -110; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers -110, Guardians -110; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers -110, Guardians -110; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Milwaukee Brewers:  39-36 (2nd place, NL Central)

Cleveland Guardians:  36-39 (2nd place, AL Central)

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Milwaukee Brewers:  5-5 last 10

Cleveland Guardians:  5-5 last 10

The Brewers are entering this game off of a win in their last game but lost their 3-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 39-36 record overall and have a road record of 17-18. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Guardians on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. Their offense ranks 26th in the MLB with a .680 OPS. Freddy Peralta is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Corbin Burnes is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 5-5 with a 3.96 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 7 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 3 Ks on 8 hits through 5 IP against the Arizona D-Backs.

The Guardians are entering this game off of a loss in their last game but completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Oakland Athletics in their last series. They enter this game with a 36-39 record overall and have a home record of 19-18. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. Their offense ranks 25th in the MLB with a .681 OPS. Rookie pitcher Tanner Bibee is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Aaron Civale is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 2-2 with a 2.67 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 1 homer, and 3 BB with 6 strikeouts on 5 hits through 6.2 innings played against the Oakland A’s.

The current betting odds have the Guardians listed as a pick 'em in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Brewers got off to a decent start to the season as they were fighting for the division lead and still are but they are barely over .500 and really haven't been playing great lately. The Guardians got off to a much rougher start this season as they are still under .500 overall but they have been playing a lot better lately as they try to chase down the Twins in 1st place of the division. Both of these teams have had terrible offenses all season as they both rank in the bottom 5 of the league which makes this pitching matchup even more important here, and the Guardians definitely have the better pitching matchup in this game. The Brewers are rolling with Burnes here and he has been the Brewers ace for so long but this year he hasn't been having a good season since he has been giving up a ton of runs in his starts all year and even gave up 7 runs in his last start. He hasn't been great in his road starts either while Civale is up for the Guardians and he has been really good lately. He really hasn't given up many runs in any of his starts all season and he will have the advantage pitching at home here. Neither of these offenses have been good this year but with Burnes definitely not at his best lately, the Guardians will be able to edge out the Brewers here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Guardians to win this game.

Brewers Guardians Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, June 25, 2023 (1:40 pm ET start time) is Guardians 5 Brewers 2.

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Milwaukee Brewers: 28-22 (+5.4 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 27-18 (+7.7 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8.5 to 10. 31-12 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10. 19-13 UNDER as an underdog of +100 or higher.

Cleveland Guardians: 36-39 (-9.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 8-14 (-10.7 units) on the moneyline in an inter-league game. 17-7 UNDER as a home favorite of -110 or higher. 24-12 UNDER in home games.

Milwaukee Brewers:  W. Miley (SP) Ques Wed - Lower Body. J. Alexander (SP) Early July - Shoulder. B. Sousa (SP) Early July - Shoulder. J. Cousins (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. D. Ruf (DH) Mid Aug - Knee. T. Taylor (CF) Out indefinitely - Elbow. B. Woodruff (SP) Mid July - Shoulder. G. Mitchell (LF) out for season - Shoulder. A. Ashby (SP) Early Sept - Shoulder. J. Wilson (RP) Mid July - Elbow.

Cleveland Guardians:  W. Brennan (CF) Ques Sat - Shoulder. C. Quantrill (SP) Early July - Shoulder. T. McKenzie (SP) Mid Aug - Elbow. P. Battenfield (RP) Late July - Shoulder.

“I didn’t think it was that muggy, but I was sweating pretty good. I felt like I was hydrated going out there. ... We made some good pitches. I just wish I could have stayed out there a little longer.” - Wade Miley after their win against the Guardians in their game on Friday.

“He gave up a single run in the first and for the next five (innings) he was good. He started spinning it and really got comfortable and then it seemed like he lost, he didn't command a couple pitches and then paid a pretty big price for it.” - Terry Francona after his team’s loss against the Brewers in their game on Friday.

Christian Yelich (L) LF

William Contreras (R) C

Rowdy Tellez (L) 1B

Willy Adames (R) SS

Jesse Winker (L) DH

Brian Anderson (R) 3B

Raimel Tapia (L) RF

Luis Urias (R) 2B

Joey Wiemer (R) CF

Steven Kwan (L) LF

Amed Rosario (R) SS

Jose Ramirez (S) 3B

Josh Naylor (L) 1B

Josh Bell (S) DH

Tyler Freeman (R) 2B

Gabriel Arias (R) RF

Myles Straw (R) CF

Cam Gallagher (R) C

Batting Average:  Abraham Toro (.500)

Hits:  Christian Yelich (71)

Home Runs:  Rowdy Tellez (12)

RBI:  Brian Anderson (34)

Stolen Bases:  Christian Yelich (16)

Wins:  Freddy Peralta (5)

Saves:  Devin Williams (13)

ERA:  Alex Claudio (0.00)

Batting Average:  Jose Ramirez (.293)

Hits:  Jose Ramirez (83)

Home Runs:  Jose Ramirez (12)

RBI:  Josh Naylor (55)

Stolen Bases:  Steven Kwan (12)

Wins:  Shane Bieber (5)

Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (22)

ERA:  Konnor Pilkington (0.00)

Managers:

Milwaukee Brewers: Craig Counsell (9th season)

Cleveland Guardians: Terry Francona (11th season)