Milwaukee Brewers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/24/2023

Game Time: 4:10 pm ET, Saturday, June 24, 2023

Venue:  Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH

Where to Watch:  BSGL

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +100, Guardians -120; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +100, Guardians -120; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +100, Guardians -120; Over/Under:  9 runs

Milwaukee Brewers:  38-36 (2nd place, NL Central)

Cleveland Guardians:  36-38 (2nd place, AL Central)

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Milwaukee Brewers:  4-6 last 10

Cleveland Guardians:  6-4 last 10

The Brewers are entering this game off of a loss in their last game and lost their 3-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 38-36 record overall and have a road record of 16-18. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Guardians on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 27th in the MLB with a .677 OPS. Wade Miley is their starting pitcher on Friday while Freddy Peralta is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 5-6 with a 4.60 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 3 BB with 9 Ks on 2 hits through 6 IP against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The Guardians are entering this game on a 4 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Oakland Athletics in their last series. They enter this game with a 36-38 record overall and have a home record of 19-17. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 25th in the MLB with a .682 OPS. Shane Bieber is their starting pitcher on Friday while rookie pitcher Tanner Bibee is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 3-2 with a 4.05 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 1 homer, and 3 BB with 6 strikeouts on 7 hits through 5 innings played against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

The current betting odds have the Guardians listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Guardians haven't been great this season with a losing record right now while the Brewers are just over .500 and fighting for the lead in the NL Central, but despite the records of these two teams, they have been headed in different directions over the last little while. The Brewers have been on the down trend lately as they have been losing a lot of games and slipping down the standings while the Guardians got off to a bad start this season but have been a lot better lately as they are closing down on the Twins for the lead of the AL Central and will be over .500 very soon at the rate they are going at. Neither of these teams have had good offenses this season either but the pitching for the Guardians has been really good and that will give them an edge in this home game. Bibee is only in his rookie season but he has been pitching well lately and will be able to hold off a cold offense at home like the Brewers that has been consistently bad all season. The Brewers are going with Peralta on the mound but he has been really up and down from start to start all season and can't be trusted in this road game with the Guardians offense playing a lot better in their last series. The best way to place a bet here is on the Guardians to win this game.

Brewers Guardians Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, June 24, 2023 (4:10 pm ET start time) is Guardians 4 Brewers 1.

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Milwaukee Brewers: 27-22 (+4.1 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 27-18 (+7.7 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8.5 to 10. 17-5 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5. FREDDY PERALTA is 9-5 UNDER as a road underdog of +100 or higher.

Cleveland Guardians: 36-38 (-8.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 8-13 (-9.3 units) on the moneyline in an inter-league game. 17-6 UNDER as a home favorite of -110 or higher. 24-11 UNDER in home games.

Milwaukee Brewers:  J. Alexander (SP) Early July - Shoulder. M. Bush (RP) Early July - Shoulder. B. Sousa (SP) Early July - Shoulder. J. Cousins (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. D. Ruf (DH) Mid Aug - Knee. T. Taylor (CF) Out indefinitely - Elbow. B. Woodruff (SP) Mid July - Shoulder. G. Mitchell (LF) out for season - Shoulder. A. Ashby (SP) Early Sept - Shoulder. J. Wilson (RP) Mid July - Elbow.

Cleveland Guardians:  W. Brennan (CF) Ques Fri - Shoulder. C. Quantrill (SP) Early July - Shoulder. T. McKenzie (SP) Mid Aug - Elbow. P. Battenfield (RP) Late July - Shoulder.

“We scored one run. We’ve got to do better than that. Gallen’s a good pitcher. We had balls in play pretty good today, but we didn’t square enough up and didn’t create any traffic.” - Craig Counsell after his team’s loss against the D-Backs in their game on Wednesday.

“I thought it was getting caught, to be honest with you. The way (left fielder) Tony Kemp kind of went back on it, I feel like he was facing me looking up. It was kind of like a routine fly ball and I was hoping it at least got to the wall for that RBI and that go-ahead run. So fortunately enough it did.” - Myles Straw after their win against the A’s in their game on Thursday.

Christian Yelich (L) LF

William Contreras (R) C

Willy Adames (R) SS

Rowdy Tellez (L) DH

Owen Miller (R) 1B

Brian Anderson (R) 3B

Raimel Tapia (L) RF

Luis Urias (R) 2B

Joey Wiemer (R) CF

Steven Kwan (L) LF

Amed Rosario (R) SS

Jose Ramirez (S) 3B

Josh Naylor (L) DH

Josh Bell (S) 1B

Andres Gimenez (L) 2B

Gabriel Arias (R) RF

Myles Straw (R) CF

Cam Gallagher (R) C

Batting Average:  Abraham Toro (.500)

Hits:  Christian Yelich (70)

Home Runs:  Rowdy Tellez (12)

RBI:  Brian Anderson (34)

Stolen Bases:  Christian Yelich (16)

Wins:  Freddy Peralta (5)

Saves:  Devin Williams (13)

ERA:  Alex Claudio (0.00)

Batting Average:  Josh Naylor (.294)

Hits:  Jose Ramirez (82)

Home Runs:  Jose Ramirez (11)

RBI:  Josh Naylor (55)

Stolen Bases:  Steven Kwan (12)

Wins:  Shane Bieber (5)

Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (22)

ERA:  Konnor Pilkington (0.00)

Managers:

Milwaukee Brewers: Craig Counsell (9th season)

Cleveland Guardians: Terry Francona (11th season)