Milwaukee Brewers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/23/2023

Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Friday, June 23, 2023

Venue:  Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH

Where to Watch:  BSGL

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +130, Guardians -150; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +130, Guardians -150; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +130, Guardians -150; Over/Under:  8 runs

Milwaukee Brewers:  38-36 (2nd place, NL Central)

Cleveland Guardians:  35-38 (2nd place, AL Central)

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Milwaukee Brewers:  4-6 last 10

Cleveland Guardians:  5-5 last 10

The Brewers are entering this game off of a loss in their last game and lost their 3-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 38-36 record overall and have a road record of 16-18. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Guardians on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 27th in the MLB with a .677 OPS. Julio Teherán was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Wade Miley is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 4-2 with a 3.28 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 4 Ks on 2 hits through 5 IP against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The Guardians are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak but lost their 3-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 35-38 record overall and have a home record of 18-17. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Friday with the series finale of their series against the Oakland Athletics still to be played on Thursday. Their offense ranks 25th in the MLB with a .682 OPS. Logan Allen is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Shane Bieber is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 5-4 with a 3.51 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 earned runs, 3 homers, and 2 BB with 5 strikeouts on 7 hits through 7.1 innings played against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

The current betting odds have the Brewers listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Brewers haven't been good in their games lately but they are still 2 games above .500 and fighting for the lead in the NL Central. The Guardians haven't been any better this season either as they are actually under .500 and trying to chase down the Twins for the lead of the AL Central, but the Guardians also have one of the worst offenses in the MLB and that is going to be a problem here. Miley is starting for the Brewers and he has been really good in his starts lately as he hasn't been giving up many runs at all and even had a shutout performance through 5 innings in his last start. With how well he has been pitching lately, the Guardians will struggle to put up runs with that weak offense and this will be a great opportunity for the Brewers to snap out of their slump and try to get a win here. The Guardians are also going with Bieber here and even though he is this team's ace, he has been terrible in his starts lately giving up a ton of runs. The Brewers don't have a great offense either but they will be able to put up some runs on Bieber with how bad he has been lately and Miley will help them hang on to a much needed win here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Brewers to win this game.

Brewers Guardians Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, June 23, 2023 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Brewers 2 Guardians 0.

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Milwaukee Brewers: 27-22 (+4.1 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 10-5 (+5.9 units) on the moneyline after a loss by 4 runs or more. 30-17 UNDER after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs. 10-5 UNDER after a loss by 4 runs or more.

Cleveland Guardians: 35-38 (-9.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 8-13 (-9.3 units) on the moneyline in an inter-league game. 16-6 UNDER as a home favorite of -110 or higher. 23-11 UNDER in home games.

Milwaukee Brewers:  J. Alexander (SP) Early July - Shoulder. M. Bush (RP) Early July - Shoulder. B. Sousa (SP) Early July - Shoulder. J. Cousins (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. D. Ruf (DH) Mid Aug - Knee. T. Taylor (CF) Out indefinitely - Elbow. B. Woodruff (SP) Mid July - Shoulder. G. Mitchell (LF) out for season - Shoulder. A. Ashby (SP) Early Sept - Shoulder. J. Wilson (RP) Mid July - Elbow.

Cleveland Guardians:  W. Brennan (CF) Ques Thurs - Shoulder. C. Quantrill (SP) Early July - Shoulder. T. McKenzie (SP) Mid Aug - Elbow. P. Battenfield (RP) Late July - Shoulder.

“We scored one run. We’ve got to do better than that. Gallen’s a good pitcher. We had balls in play pretty good today, but we didn’t square enough up and didn’t create any traffic.” - Craig Counsell after his team’s loss against the D-Backs in their game on Wednesday.

“The whole night was encouraging. There’s a lot to talk about and I thought Gavin did a really good job varying his times to the plate. I asked him when he came out, ‘Do you have a heartbeat?’ He goes, ‘Oh, yeah,’ so for him to control what he controlled was good.” - Terry Francona after his team’s win against the A’s in their game on Wednesday.

Christian Yelich (L) LF

William Contreras (R) C

Willy Adames (R) SS

Rowdy Tellez (L) DH

Owen Miller (R) 1B

Brian Anderson (R) 3B

Raimel Tapia (L) RF

Luis Urias (R) 2B

Joey Wiemer (R) CF

Steven Kwan (L) LF

Amed Rosario (R) SS

Jose Ramirez (S) 3B

Josh Naylor (L) DH

Josh Bell (S) 1B

Andres Gimenez (L) 2B

Gabriel Arias (R) RF

Myles Straw (R) CF

Cam Gallagher (R) C

Batting Average:  Abraham Toro (.500)

Hits:  Christian Yelich (70)

Home Runs:  Rowdy Tellez (12)

RBI:  Brian Anderson (34)

Stolen Bases:  Christian Yelich (16)

Wins:  Freddy Peralta (5)

Saves:  Devin Williams (13)

ERA:  Alex Claudio (0.00)

Batting Average:  Josh Naylor (.295)

Hits:  Jose Ramirez (81)

Home Runs:  Jose Ramirez (11)

RBI:  Josh Naylor (55)

Stolen Bases:  Steven Kwan (12)

Wins:  Shane Bieber (5)

Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (22)

ERA:  Konnor Pilkington (0.00)

Managers:

Milwaukee Brewers: Craig Counsell (9th season)

Cleveland Guardians: Terry Francona (11th season)