Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/29/2023

Game Time: 7:20 pm ET, Saturday, July 29, 2023

Venue:  Truist Park, Atlanta, GA

Where to Watch:  BSSE

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +175, Braves -205; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +175, Braves -205; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +175, Braves -205; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Milwaukee Brewers:  57-46 (1st place, NL Central)

Atlanta Braves:  64-36 (1st place, NL East)

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Milwaukee Brewers:  6-4 last 10

Atlanta Braves:  3-7 last 10

The Brewers are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Cincinnati Reds 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 57-46 record overall and have a road record of 28-22. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Braves on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 26th in the MLB with a .687 OPS. Adrian Houser is their starting pitcher on Friday while Julio Teheran is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 2-4 with a 3.75 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 0 BB with 5 Ks on 3 hits through 6 IP against the Atlanta Braves.

The Braves are entering this series on a 2 game losing streak and got swept 2-0 in their 2-game series against the Boston Red Sox in their last series. They enter this game with a 64-36 record overall and have a home record of 32-19. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .823 OPS. Yonny Chirinos is their starting pitcher on Friday while Bryce Elder is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 7-2 with a 3.30 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 1 homer, and 2 BB with 2 strikeouts on 4 hits through 6 innings played against the Milwaukee Brewers.

The current betting odds have the Braves listed as a big favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Braves have one of the best records in the entire MLB along with the best offense but lately they have been regressing and haven't been nearly as hot as they were before the All-Star break. They are starting to get back on track though, playing a lot better in their last few games and they will be looking to take advantage of this Brewers team that has had no offense all season. The Brewers have one of the worst offenses in the entire MLB, their pitching has been some of the best in the league lately but they still haven't been putting up a lot of runs in the games they do win and they will put themselves at risk here with such a hot offense like the Braves playing at home. The Brewers have Teheran starting here and he is coming off a great start in his last one but he has also been giving up more runs in his starts lately and it wouldn't be shocking to see him fall apart on the mound here once again with this really good Braves offense. The Braves have struggled with pitching this season due to injuries but they do have Elder starting in this game and he has been a really consistent and reliable starter all year for them. He has been one of their best starters in the rotation and hasn't been giving up many runs in his starts lately either, he will have no trouble shutting down this cold Brewers offense that has struggled all season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Braves to win this game and on the runline.

Brewers Braves Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 29, 2023 (7:20 pm ET start time) is Braves 9 Brewers 3.

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Milwaukee Brewers: 48-47 (-11.1 units) on the moneyline when the total is 9 to 9.5. 239-192 (-6.1 units) on the moneyline in all games. 10-3 UNDER as an underdog of +150 or more. 19-8 UNDER on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10.

Atlanta Braves: 64-36 (+8.7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 10-2 (+7.6 units) on the moneyline against NL Central opponents. BRYCE ELDER is 10-2 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5 and 20-9 UNDER in all games.

Milwaukee Brewers:  J. Winker (DH) Out indefinitely - Back. B. Woodruff (SP) Early Aug - Shoulder. J. Wilson (RP) Early Aug - Elbow. B. Sousa (SP) Early Aug - Shoulder. W. Miley (SP) Early Aug - Elbow. R. Tellez (1B) Mid Aug - Forearm. B. Anderson (1B) Mid Aug - Back. D. Ruf (DH) Mid Aug - Knee. G. Mitchell (LF) out for season - Shoulder. A. Ashby (SP) Early Sept - Shoulder.

Atlanta Braves:  J. Chavez (RP) Mid Aug - Shin. E. Adrianza (2B) Early Aug - Shoulder. M. Fried (SP) Early Aug - Forearm. D. Lee (SP) Early Aug - Shoulder. K. Wright (SP) Early Sept - Shoulder. S. Hilliard (LF) Out indefinitely - Heel. K. Allard (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. A. Minter (RP) Early Aug - Pectoral. N. Anderson (SP) Early Sept - Shoulder. T. Matzek (RP) out for season - Elbow. H. Ynoa (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“He was dialed in with everything today. He was ahead in the count often. No waste pitches. Competitive pitches right away. This is as well as you’ve seen Freddy pitch." - Craig Counsell after his team’s win against the Reds in their game on Wednesday.

“We just played a really good team. They’re coming together at the right time. We typically score more than four runs in two games, but Spencer had a really solid outing. Just couldn’t seal the deal.” - Brian Snitker after his team’s loss against the Red Sox in their game on Wednesday.

Christian Yelich (L) DH

William Contreras (R) C

Willy Adames (R) SS

Sal Frelick (L) RF

Andruw Monasterio (R) 3B

Abraham Toro (S) 1B

Tyrone Taylor (R) LF

Brice Turang (L) 2B

Joey Wiemer (R) CF

Ronald Acuna Jr. (R) RF

Ozzie Albies (S) 2B

Austin Riley (R) 3B

Matt Olson (L) 1B

Sean Murphy (R) C

Marcell Ozuna (R) DH

Eddie Rosario (L) LF

Orlando Arcia (R) SS

Michael Harris II (L) CF

Batting Average:  Abraham Toro (.455)

Hits:  Christian Yelich (109)

Home Runs:  Willy Adames (17)

RBI:  Christian Yelich (57)

Stolen Bases:  Christian Yelich (22)

Wins:  Corbin Burnes (9)

Saves:  Devin Williams (26)

ERA:  Alex Claudio (0.00)

Batting Average:  Charlie Culberson (1.000)

Hits:  Ronald Acuna (131)

Home Runs:  Matt Olson (32)

RBI:  Matt Olson (80)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuna (48)

Wins:  Spencer Strider (11)

Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (18)

ERA:  Dereck Rodriguez (0.00)

Managers:

Milwaukee Brewers: Craig Counsell (9th season)

Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (8th season)