Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/08/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Saturday, May 07, 2022
Game Time: 1:35 pm ET, Sunday, May 8, 2022
Venue:  Truist Park, Atlanta, GA 
Where to Watch:  BSSE

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers -105, Braves -115; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers -105, Braves -115; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers -105, Braves -115; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
 

Season Record

Milwaukee Brewers:  19-8 (1st place, NL Central)
Atlanta Braves:  12-16 (3rd place, NL East)
 
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Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Milwaukee Brewers:  9-1 last 10
Atlanta Braves:  4-6 last 10
 
 
 

Milwaukee Brewers Analysis

The Brewers are coming into this game with a 19-8 record overall and they are 10-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 9 of their last 10 games and are coming into this one on a 4 game winning streak. They just won their 3-game series against the Cincinnati Reds 3-0 completing the sweep and they are playing the series finale of a 3-game series with the Braves on Sunday night. This will be the 3rd game of the series on Sunday with the 2nd game still to be played on Saturday. Corbin Burnes is the starting pitcher for them on Saturday while Aaron Ashby is on the mound for them here on Sunday. He is 0-2 with a 2.33 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HRs, and 0 BB with 3 Ks on 2 hits in 2.1 IP against the Cincinnati Reds. They scored 34 runs in their last series averaging just under 12 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 12 runs against them averaging 4 runs allowed per game.
 

Atlanta Braves Analysis

The Braves are coming into this game with a 12-16 record overall and they are 6-8 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 3 of their last 4 games but are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game. They just split their 4-game series against the New York Mets 2-2 and they are playing the series finale of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Sunday night. This will be the 3rd game of the series on Sunday with the 2nd game still to be played on Saturday. Max Fried was the starting pitcher for them on Saturday while Charlie Morton will be on the mound for them here on Sunday. He is 1-3 with a 6.85 ERA this season. His team lost their last 4 straight games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 4 ER, 0 HRs, and 3 BB with 3 Ks on 6 hits in 5.2 IP against the New York Mets. They scored 18 runs in their last series averaging just over 4 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 12 runs against them averaging 3 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Brewers vs Braves Prediction

The Brewers are coming into this game as a slight underdog with the current betting odds. The Brewers have been playing very well this season and they have really started to heat up in their games as they have gone on a long win streak here. They have been hitting the ball well and scoring a lot of runs in their games but they have also had some good pitching in their games as well. They are going up against a Braves team that have not been playing well in their recent games as they have been losing a lot as they are still below .500 this season. They have not been producing a lot of runs in their games and they have Morton on the mound here who has been awful in his first few starts this season. The Brewers have been heating up and they are the hotter team coming into this game. The best bet here is on the Brewers to win.
 
Brewers Braves Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, May 8, 2022 (1:35 pm ET start time) is Brewers 7 Braves 3.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Milwaukee Brewers: 27-25 (+7.1 Units) ML as an underdog of +100 to +150. 103-66 (+20.8 Units) ML when the total is 7 to 8.5. 19-13 OVER in May games.
Atlanta Braves: 64-48 (-13.3 Units) ML as a home favorite of -110 or higher. 76-58 (-8.5 Units) ML in home games. 32-22 OVER at home when the total is 8 to 8.5.
 

Key Injuries

 
Milwaukee Brewers:  J. Hader (RP) Ques Thurs - Back injury. P. Severino (C) Elig July 3 - Suspension. J. Cousins (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow injury.
Atlanta Braves:  M. Pina (C) Out indefinitely - Wrist injury. E. Rosario (LF) Late July - Eye injury. K. Yates (RP) Mid Aug - Elbow injury.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"There's games where it's fun to be in a slugfest and games where it's fun to see runs get manufactured." - Eric Lauer after their win against the Braves on Friday.
 
 
"I knew I got all of it. I just fell because I slipped a little bit afterward. ... I feel good, thankfully, and I feel healthy. That's the most important thing, thank God." - Ronald Acuna Jr. after their loss against the Brewers on Friday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Milwaukee Brewers
Kolten Wong (L) 2B
Willy Adames (R) SS
Christian Yelich (L) DH
Andrew McCutchen (R) LF
Rowdy Tellez (L) 1B
Luis Urias (R) 3B
Hunter Renfroe (R) RF
Omar Narvaez (L) C
Lorenzo Cain (R) CF
 
Atlanta Braves
Ronald Acuna Jr. (R) RF
Matt Olson (L) 1B
Austin Riley (R) 3B
Marcell Ozuna (R) DH
Ozzie Albies (S) 2B
Travis d'Arnaud (R) C
Adam Duvall (R) CF
Guillermo Heredia (R) LF
Dansby Swanson (R) SS
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Milwaukee Brewers
Batting Average:  Luis Urias (.308)
Hits:  Andrew McCutchen (24)
Home Runs:  Willy Adames (8)
RBI:  Rowdy Tellez (24)
Stolen Bases:  Kolten Wong (4)
Wins:  Brandon Woodruff (3)
Saves:  Josh Hader (11)
ERA:  Josh Hader (0.00)
 
Atlanta Braves
Batting Average:  Travis Demeritte (.303)
Hits:  Matt Olson (28)
Home Runs:  Austin Riley (7)
RBI:  Austin Riley (14)
Stolen Bases:  Ozzie Albies (2)
Wins:  Kyle Wright (3)
Saves:  Kenley Jansen (7)
ERA:  William Woods (0.00)
 
Managers:
Milwaukee Brewers: Craig Counsell (8th season)
Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (7th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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