Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/07/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Friday, May 06, 2022
Game Time: 7:20 pm ET, Saturday, May 7, 2022
Venue:  Truist Park, Atlanta, GA 
Where to Watch:  BSSE

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers -115, Braves -105; Over/Under:  6.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers -115, Braves -105; Over/Under:  6.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers -115, Braves -105; Over/Under:  6.5 runs
 

Season Record

Milwaukee Brewers:  18-8 (1st place, NL Central)
Atlanta Braves:  12-15 (3rd place, NL East)
 
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Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Milwaukee Brewers:  8-2 last 10
Atlanta Braves:  5-5 last 10
 
 
 

Milwaukee Brewers Analysis

The Brewers are coming into this game with a 18-8 record overall and they are 9-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 8 of their last 9 games and are coming into this one on a 3 game winning streak. They just won their 3-game series against the Cincinnati Reds 3-0 completing the sweep and they are playing the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Braves on Saturday night. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Eric Lauer is the starting pitcher for them on Friday while Corbin Burnes is on the mound for them here on Saturday. He is 1-1 with a 1.93 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 10 Ks on 4 hits in 7 IP against the Chicago Cubs. They scored 34 runs in their last series averaging just under 12 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 12 runs against them averaging 4 runs allowed per game.
 

Atlanta Braves Analysis

The Braves are coming into this game with a 12-15 record overall and they are 6-7 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games but are coming into this one off of a win in their last game which snapped a 2 game losing streak that they were on. They just split their 4-game series against the New York Mets 2-2, had Thursday off as a rest day, and they are playing the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Saturday night. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Jesse Chavez was the starting pitcher for them on Friday while Max Fried will be on the mound for them here on Saturday. He is 3-2 with a 3.00 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 0 BB with 6 Ks on 4 hits in 6 IP against the New York Mets. They scored 18 runs in their last series averaging just over 4 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 12 runs against them averaging 3 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Brewers vs Braves Prediction

The Brewers are coming into this game as a slight favorite with the current betting odds. They have been playing very well recently and have been gaining a lot of steam in their games as they have won 3 straight and are coming off of a sweep in their last series. They also have their best starting pitcher on the mound here as Burnes has been great all season and has not had a bad game yet. They are going up against a Braves side that has not been playing very well and has had a very slow start to the season. Max Fried is pitching here and he has been getting better and better in each start but he has had a bad game this season and could leave the door open for another here. The batters for the Brewers have been heating up and they are going up against a Braves team that has not been hitting the ball well, struggling to score runs in their games all season. The Brewers are the better team here by far and they will keep on their winning streak here. The best bet in this game is on the Brewers to win.
 
Brewers Braves Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, May 7, 2022 (7:20 pm ET start time) is Brewers 4 Braves 1.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Milwaukee Brewers: 72-55 (+7.8 Units) ML in road games. 15-5 (+9.8 Units) ML on the road when the total is 7 or less. 13-7 UNDER on the road when the total is 7 or less.
Atlanta Braves: 76-57 (-7.4 Units) ML in home games. 50-56 (-21.6 Units) ML in the first half of the season. 31-21 UNDER at home when the total is 6 to 6.5.
 

Key Injuries

 
Milwaukee Brewers:  J. Hader (RP) Ques Thurs - Back injury. P. Severino (C) Elig July 3 - Suspension. J. Cousins (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow injury.
Atlanta Braves:  M. Pina (C) Out indefinitely - Wrist injury. E. Rosario (LF) Late July - Eye injury. K. Yates (RP) Mid Aug - Elbow injury.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"I think he's as locked in as any hitter in the league right now." - Craig Counsell on Yelich after their win against the Reds on Thursday.
 
 
"That was nice to put together — keep the line moving a little bit. The one big inning — I don't know that we've done that this year. That was good to see that we are capable of that." - Brian Snitker after his team’s win against the Mets on Wednesday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Milwaukee Brewers
Kolten Wong (L) 2B
Willy Adames (R) SS
Christian Yelich (L) DH
Andrew McCutchen (R) LF
Rowdy Tellez (L) 1B
Luis Urias (R) 3B
Hunter Renfroe (R) RF
Omar Narvaez (L) C
Lorenzo Cain (R) CF
 
Atlanta Braves
Ronald Acuna Jr. (R) RF
Matt Olson (L) 1B
Austin Riley (R) 3B
Marcell Ozuna (R) DH
Ozzie Albies (S) 2B
Travis d'Arnaud (R) C
Adam Duvall (R) CF
Guillermo Heredia (R) LF
Dansby Swanson (R) SS
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Milwaukee Brewers
Batting Average:  Luis Urias (.400)
Hits:  Andrew McCutchen (24)
Home Runs:  Willy Adames (8)
RBI:  Rowdy Tellez (24)
Stolen Bases:  Kolten Wong (4)
Wins:  Brandon Woodruff (3)
Saves:  Josh Hader (10)
ERA:  Josh Hader (0.00)
 
Atlanta Braves
Batting Average:  Travis Demeritte (.303)
Hits:  Matt Olson (28)
Home Runs:  Austin Riley (7)
RBI:  Austin Riley (14)
Stolen Bases:  Ozzie Albies (2)
Wins:  Kyle Wright (3)
Saves:  Kenley Jansen (7)
ERA:  William Woods (0.00)
 
Managers:
Milwaukee Brewers: Craig Counsell (8th season)
Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (7th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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