Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/06/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Thursday, May 05, 2022
Game Time: 7:20 pm ET, Friday, May 6, 2022
Venue:  Truist Park, Atlanta, GA 
Where to Watch:  BSSE

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers +105, Braves -125; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers -105, Braves -115; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers -110, Braves -110; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
 

Season Record

Milwaukee Brewers:  17-8 (1st place, NL Central)
Atlanta Braves:  12-15 (3rd place, NL East)
 
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Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Milwaukee Brewers:  8-2 last 10
Atlanta Braves:  5-5 last 10
 
 
 

Milwaukee Brewers Analysis

The Brewers are coming into this game with a 17-8 record overall and they are 8-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 7 of their last 8 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game winning streak. They just won their 3-game series against the Cincinnati Reds taking the first 2 games with the 3rd game still to be played and they are playing the series opener of a 3-game series with the Braves on Friday night. This will be the 1st game of the series on Friday with the series finale of their last series against the Reds still to be played on Thursday. Adrian Houser is the starting pitcher for them on Thursday while Eric Lauer is on the mound for them here on Friday. He is 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA this season. His team won all 4 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 11 Ks on 5 hits in 7 IP against the Chicago Cubs. They scored 24 runs in their last series averaging 12 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 7 runs against them averaging 3.5 runs allowed per game with the final game of that series still to be played.
 

Atlanta Braves Analysis

The Braves are coming into this game with a 12-15 record overall and they are 6-7 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games but are coming into this one off of a win in their last game which snapped a 2 game losing streak that they were on. They just split their 4-game series against the New York Mets 2-2, had Thursday off as a rest day, and they are playing the series opener of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Friday night. This will be the 1st game of the series on Friday. Ian Anderson was the starting pitcher for them on Wednesday while Huascar Ynoa will be on the mound for them here on Friday. He is 0-2 with a 13.50 ERA this season. His team lost their 2 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 5 ER, 1HR, and 4 BB with 4 Ks on 4 hits in 3.2 IP against the Los Angeles Dodgers. They scored 18 runs in their last series averaging just over 4 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 12 runs against them averaging 3 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Brewers vs Braves Prediction

The Brewers are coming into this game playing very well in their recent games. The Brewers have won their last 3 straight games and they have been scoring a lot of runs in that span as they have scored 28 runs in their last 2 games alone. They are going up against a Braves team that has not been good with their hitting this season and they have not been scoring a lot of runs in their games either. Their strength is in their pitching and it has not even been that great this season but they are also not even getting one of their better pitchers on the mound here. The Brewers have been heating up in their recent games and they will likely continue their streak here. The best bet in this game is on the Brewers to win this game.
 
Brewers Braves Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, May 6, 2022 (7:20 pm ET start time) is Brewers 8 Braves 4.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Milwaukee Brewers: 29-19 (+10.1 Units) ML on the road when the money line is +125 to -125. 72-55 (+7.8 Units) ML in road games. 107-78 (+9.6 Units) ML against right-handed starters.
Atlanta Braves: 3-9 (-6.9 Units) ML off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog. 17-19 (-9.2 Units) ML after scoring 9 runs or more. 8-2 OVER after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span.
 

Key Injuries

 
Milwaukee Brewers:  J. Hader (RP) Ques Thurs - Back injury. P. Severino (C) Elig July 3 - Suspension. J. Cousins (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow injury.
Atlanta Braves:  M. Pina (C) Out indefinitely - Wrist injury. E. Rosario (LF) Late July - Eye injury. K. Yates (RP) Mid Aug - Elbow injury.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"We are getting him up there with tons of men on base, and he's putting some balls in the seats." - Craig Counsell after his team’s win against the Reds on Wednesday.
 
 
"That was nice to put together — keep the line moving a little bit. The one big inning — I don't know that we've done that this year. That was good to see that we are capable of that." - Brian Snitker after his team’s win against the Mets on Wednesday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Milwaukee Brewers
Luis Urias (R) 2B
Christian Yelich (L) LF
Willy Adames (R) SS
Rowdy Tellez (L) 1B
Hunter Renfroe (R) RF
Omar Narvaez (L) C
Tyrone Taylor (R) CF
Jace Peterson (L) 3B
Keston Hiura (R) DH
 
Atlanta Braves
Ronald Acuna Jr. (R) DH
Matt Olson (L) 1B
Austin Riley (R) 3B
Marcell Ozuna (R) LF
Ozzie Albies (S) 2B
Travis d'Arnaud (R) C
Adam Duvall (R) CF
Dansby Swanson (R) SS
Guillermo Heredia (R) RF
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Milwaukee Brewers
Batting Average:  Luis Urias (.600)
Hits:  Andrew McCutchen (23)
Home Runs:  Rowdy Tellez (7)
RBI:  Rowdy Tellez (21)
Stolen Bases:  Kolten Wong (4)
Wins:  Brandon Woodruff (7)
Saves:  Josh Hader (10)
ERA:  Josh Hader (0.00)
 
Atlanta Braves
Batting Average:  Travis Demeritte (.303)
Hits:  Matt Olson (28)
Home Runs:  Austin Riley (7)
RBI:  Austin Riley (14)
Stolen Bases:  Ozzie Albies (2)
Wins:  Kyle Wright (3)
Saves:  Kenley Jansen (7)
ERA:  Jesse Chavez (0.00)
 
Managers:
Milwaukee Brewers: Craig Counsell (8th season)
Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (7th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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