Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/04/2026

Game Time: 9:40 pm ET, Saturday, July 4, 2026

Venue:  Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ

Where to Watch:  MLB TV

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers -149, Diamondbacks +123; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers -155, Diamondbacks +130; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Brewers -155, Diamondbacks +130; Over/Under:  9 runs

Milwaukee Brewers:  53-32 (1st place, NL Central)

Arizona Diamondbacks:  43-43 (3rd place, NL West)

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Milwaukee Brewers:  7-3 last 10

Arizona Diamondbacks:  4-6 last 10

The Brewers are entering this series off a loss and won their 4-game series against the Cincinnati Reds 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 53-32 record overall and have a road record of 24-14. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Diamondbacks on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .734 OPS. Kyle Harrison is their starting pitcher on Friday while Brandon Woodruff is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 2-1 with a 2.59 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 6 SO on 1 hit through 5.2 IP against the Chicago Cubs.

The Diamondbacks are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the San Francisco Giants 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 43-43 record overall and have a home record of 26-18. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 25th in the MLB with a .694 OPS. Rookie pitcher José Cabrera is their starting pitcher on Friday while Merrill Kelly is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 5-8 with a 5.84 ERA this season. His team lost their last 6 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 earned runs, 3 homers, and 2 walks with 3 strikeouts on 8 hits through 6 innings pitched against the Tampa Bay Rays.

The current betting odds have the Brewers listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Brewers have looked great in their games this season with their 53-32 record overall which has them right at the top of the NL Central with one of the best records in MLB. They have been a great road team too with their 24-14 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks have looked good in their games this season with their 43-43 record overall which has them right in the middle of the NL West. They have looked great in their own ballpark too with their 26-18 home record this season. The Brewers have one of the best records in MLB at the moment along with a really good offense and they have been rolling lately, now 7-3 in their last 10 games. The Diamondbacks haven't looked great lately though, now 4-6 in their last 10 games, and they also have one of the worst offenses in the league. They are going with Kelly in this one and he hasn't looked great this season. He is 5-8 with a 5.84 ERA and he has been giving up quite a few runs this season. He is coming off another bad start in which he gave up 5 earned runs, something that has been a common theme for him, and the team hasn't had a lot of success with him lately either, losing 6 games in a row now with him starting. The Brewers are going with Woodruff in this one and he has looked good this year. He is 2-1 with a 2.59 ERA and has looked great since coming back from his injury. He is coming off another great start in which he gave up no runs and the team has won 2 of their last 3 games with him starting too. The Brewers also have the better bullpen along with the better offense, so look for them to take advantage of this better pitching matchup and stay hot here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Brewers to win this game. 

Brewers Diamondbacks Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 4, 2026 (9:40 pm ET start time) is Brewers 9 Diamondbacks 3.

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Milwaukee Brewers: 247-175 (+48.3 units) on the moneyline in all games. 116-90 (+30.2 units) on the moneyline in road games. 151-92 (+19.5 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 10-5 OVER against NL West opponents.

Arizona Diamondbacks: 113-94 (-5.3 units) on the moneyline in home games. 48-58 (-5.6 units) on the moneyline vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better. 60-72 (-6.8 units) on the moneyline vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season. 6-3 UNDER as a home underdog of +125 to +175.

Milwaukee Brewers:  Q. Priester (SP) Sixty Day IL - Wrist. C. Crow (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Forearm. B. Fitzpatrick (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. C. Rodriguez (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder. D. Hall (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Pectoral. R. Zastryzny (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder. A. Zerpa (RP) Sixty Day IL - Forearm. L. Henderson (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Back. B. Lockridge (LF) Ten Day IL - Knee.

Arizona Diamondbacks:  M. Soroka (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Lower-Body. J. Lawlar (LF) Ten Day IL - Hamstring. R. Nelson (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. McCann (C) Ten Day IL - Quad. B. Walston (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. C. Mena (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. A. Puk (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. C. Burnes (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Martinez (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. A. Saalfrank (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder.

“When you pitch five innings and you punch out 10 and you don’t walk anyone, that’s a pretty darn good outing. Every time Miz goes onto the field now, everybody is expecting, like, ‘There’s no way he can give up runs!’" - Pat Murphy after his team’s loss against the Reds in their game on Thursday.

"Zac was really good for the early parts of this game. I thought he was driving his fastball into the right parts of the zone." - Torey Lovullo after his team’s loss against the Giants in their game on Wednesday.

Christian Yelich (L) DH

Jackson Chourio (R) LF

Brice Turang (L) 2B

William Contreras (R) C

Jake Bauers (L) 1B

Garrett Mitchell (L) CF

Sal Frelick (L) RF

Cooper Pratt (R) SS

David Hamilton (L) 3B

Ketel Marte (S) 2B

Geraldo Perdomo (S) SS

Corbin Carroll (L) RF

Gabriel Moreno (R) DH

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R) LF

Adrian Del Castillo (L) C

Nolan Arenado (R) 3B

Pavin Smith (L) 1B

Tommy Troy (R) CF

Batting Average:  Andrew Vaughn (.339)

Hits:  William Contreras (91)

Home Runs:  Jake Bauers (15)

RBI:  Jake Bauers (51)

Stolen Bases:  David Hamilton (18)

Wins:  Aaron Ashby (12)

Saves:  Trevor Megill (12)

ERA:  Jared Koenig (0.00)

Batting Average:  Jordan Lawlar (.316)

Hits:  Ketel Marte (88)

Home Runs:  Ketel Marte (17)

RBI:  Ketel Marte (54)

Stolen Bases:  Geraldo Perdomo (12)

Wins:  Michael Soroka (8)

Saves:  Paul Sewald (19)

ERA:  Taylor Clarke (2.17)

Managers:

Milwaukee Brewers: Pat Murphy (3rd season)

Arizona Diamondbacks: Torey Lovullo (10th season)