Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Liberty Flames Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/17/2023

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Tuesday, October 17, 2023

Venue:  Williams Stadium, Lynchburg, VA

Where to Watch:  CBS Sports

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  MTSU +14.5, Liberty -14.5; Over/Under:  54.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  MTSU +14.5, Liberty -14.5; Over/Under:  55 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  MTSU +14.5, Liberty -14.5; Over/Under:  54.5 points

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders:  2-5 (1-2) (6th place, C-USA)

Liberty Flames:  6-0 (4-0) (1st place, C-USA)

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Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders:  won their last game at home against the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 31-23.

Liberty Flames:  won their last game on the road against the Jacksonville State Gamecocks 31-13.

Middle Tennessee State is entering this game with a 2-5 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their conference games too. They are 2-2 in their home games, 0-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against LA Tech 31-23. Nicholas Vattiato was the starting QB and he completed 23/29 passes for 248 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jaiden Credle led the team in rushing yards with 65 and 1 TD. Holden Willis led the receivers with 103 receiving yards on 4 receptions and 1 TD. Teldrick Ross led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Richard Kinley led the defense in sacks with 1. Tra Fluellen came away with the only interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

Liberty is entering this game with a 6-0 record overall and they have a 4-0 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 3-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against JSU 31-13. Kaidon Salter was the starting QB and he completed 12/21 passes for 177 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Quinton Cooley led the team in rushing yards with 163 and 2 TDs. Treon Sibley led the receivers with 65 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. Tyren Dupree led the defense in that game with 10 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. Kobe Singleton and Brylan Green each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have Liberty listed as a 14.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Liberty has looked really good in their games this season as they have been blowing out a lot of the teams they have faced and look like one of the best teams in the Conference USA this season. They pulled off a big road win against the other red hot C-USA team Jacksonville State and won that game by almost 20 points, now they come back home to play a much weaker opponent here. Middle Tennessee is only 2-5 this season and they are only 1-2 in conference play. They just got their 1st win of the conference schedule with a win at home against a terrible LA Tech team, but they also struggled to get out to a lead in that game at home and now have to face the only undefeated team left in the conference on the road here. Liberty has too good of an offense for MTSU to slow down on the road and eventually Liberty will pull away in this game where there will be no way back in this for MTSU. The best way to place a bet here is on Liberty to cover the spread in this game. 

Middle Tennessee Liberty Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Tuesday, October 17, 2023 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Liberty 42 MTSU 17.

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Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: 6-11 ATS in road games. 2-6 ATS off a home win. 9-3 UNDER as a road underdog of 10.5 to 14 points. 9-3 UNDER after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers.

Liberty Flames: 51-27 ATS in all games. 11-6 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 22-10 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders. 10-5 UNDER in home games. 8-1 UNDER after a win by 17 or more points. 7-2 UNDER after playing a conference game.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders:  K. Stewart (WR) Ques Tues - Concussion. F. Peasant (RB) Ques Tues - Undisclosed.

Liberty Flames:  V. Blue (RB) Out indefinitely - Upper Body. B. Schlitter (OL) out for season - Lower Body. J. Jenkins (TE) out for season - Eligibility. V. Jones Jr. (WR) out for season - Knee. R. Smith (WR) out for season - Knee.

"Great win ... really proud of our team. I thought we played good, complimentary football in all three phases." - Rick Stockstill after his team’s win against LA Tech in their last game.

“I was very proud of our team on Tuesday from the standpoint of a quick turnaround, a lot of circumstances that we could have used as excuses to not go play well. Obviously, the first quarter we started a little slow. I think after about the third drive we played pretty well in all three phases. One, to get the victory, but two to do it in the way that we did.” - Jamey Chadwell after his team’s win against JSU in their last game. 

WR Olson, Justin 

WR England-Chisolm, DJ 

WR Metcalf, Elijah 

WR Willis, Holden 

QB Vattiato, Nicholas 

RB Peasant, Frank 

WR Sibley, Treon  

WR Frith, Noah 

WR Smoot, Elijah  

TE Hanshaw, Bentley 

QB Salter, Kaidon 

RB Venn, Victor   

RB Cooley, Quinton 

Passing: N. Vattiato (1819)

Rushing: J. Credle (316)

Receiving: H. Willis (412)

Touchdowns: E. Metcalf (4)

Passing: K. Salter (1353)

Rushing: Q. Cooley (592)

Receiving: C. Daniels (438)

Touchdowns: K. Salter (6)

Coaches:

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: Rick Stockstill (18th season)

Liberty Flames: Jamey Chadwell (1st season)