Michigan Wolverines vs Purdue Boilermakers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/17/2026

Game Time: 6:30 pm ET, Tuesday, February 17, 2026

Venue:  Mackey Arena, West Lafayette, IN

Where to Watch:  Peacock

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Michigan -2.5, Purdue +2.5; Over/Under:  153.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Michigan -2.5, Purdue +2.5; Over/Under:  153.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Michigan -2.5, Purdue +2.5; Over/Under:  153.5 points

Michigan Wolverines:  24-1 (14-1) (1st place, Big Ten)

Purdue Boilermakers:  21-4 (11-3) (3rd place, Big Ten)

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Michigan Wolverines:  5-0  last 5

Purdue Boilermakers:  4-1  last 5

Michigan is entering this game with a 24-1 record overall, a 14-1 record in conference games, and they are 8-0 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the UCLA Bruins in their last game. Yaxel Lendeborg led the team in points in that game with 17 while Morez Johnson Jr. was next on the team with 15. Elliot Cadeau led the team in assists with 5 in that game while Yaxel Lendeborg and Aday Mara each led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 62% from the field, 36.8% from 3-point range, and 65.4% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 90.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.3 PPG against them. Michigan has an ATS record of 13-12 this season and their O/U record is 10-15.

Purdue is entering this game with a 21-4 record overall, an 11-3 conference record, and they are 11-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Iowa Hawkeyes in their last game. C. J. Cox and Gicarri Harris each led the team in points in that game with 14 while Trey Kaufman-Renn and Fletcher Loyer each were next on the team with 12. Braden Smith led the team in assists with 12 in that game while Trey Kaufman-Renn led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 47.2% from the field, 40% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 82.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.6 PPG against them. Purdue has an ATS record of 12-13 this season and their O/U record is 11-14.

The current betting odds have Michigan listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Michigan has looked great in their games this season with their 24-1 record overall and their 14-1 conference record which has them right at the top of the Big Ten. They have been a great road team too with their 8-0 road record this year. Meanwhile, Purdue has looked good in their games this season with their 21-4 record overall and their 11-3 conference record which has them right near the top of the Big Ten. They have looked great on their home court too with their 11-2 home record this season. Purdue is off a win over Iowa in their last one and they have some momentum on their side again with 4 wins in a row now. They did go through a rough patch though and they have struggled with some of the top teams in the Big Ten lately. As good as they have looked at home this season, they have had some trouble there too with losses to Illinois and Iowa State, getting crushed by Iowa State by over 20 points too. Michigan only has 1 loss all season though and that was at home against Wisconsin, but they have been rolling since then. They have a ton of momentum on their side with 10 wins in a row now and they have been crushing a majority of their opponents by double digits all season. Purdue entered the season as the number 1 team in the nation, but they have fallen off a bit with some of their performances while Michigan is currently ranked 1st overall and has looked like the best team in the nation all year. Even with the home advantage, Purdue isn't going to be able to compete with Michigan so look for Michigan to continue rolling in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on Michigan to cover the spread in this game. 

Michigan Purdue Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Tuesday, February 17, 2026 (6:30 pm ET start time) is Michigan 84 Purdue 78.

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Michigan Wolverines: 10-19 ATS in road games. 5-10 ATS off a home win against a conference rival. 20-34 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game. 21-13 UNDER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game.

Purdue Boilermakers: 21-14 ATS after a win by 15 points or more. 31-21 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game. 4-1 UNDER off a road win against a conference rival. 

Michigan Wolverines:  W. Grady (G-F) Questionable - Undisclosed. R. Liburd (G-F) Out - Redshirt.

Purdue Boilermakers:  None.

“I'll begin with thanking our fans for staying with us. We made a lot of errors in the first half, and we felt like we were playing really good basketball at times, but just couldn't capitalize. And in the past, that's affected our defense, our energy, our togetherness.” - Dusty May after his team’s win against UCLA in their last game. 

"Obviously, I thought Trey Kaufman-Renn really set the tone in the first half of the game, having 11 rebounds. Big stat for us. You have to understand in our last game, Banks, Combs and Sage made nine threes, alright? It's Combs' career-high, it's Banks' career-high, and tonight they have zero. Just the change from one game to another.” - Matt Painter after his team’s win against Iowa in their last game. 

N. Burnett 

E. Cadeau 

M. Johnson 

Y. Lendeborg 

A. Mara

O. Cluff 

C. Cox 

T. Kaufman-Renn 

F. Loyer 

B. Smith

PPG: Yaxel Lendeborg (14.4)

APG: Elliot Cadeau (5.5)

Reb/G: Yaxel Lendeborg (7.7)

PPG: Braden Smith (14.7)

APG: Braden Smith (8.9)

Reb/G: Trey Kaufman-Renn (9)

Coaches:

Michigan Wolverines: Dusty May (2nd season)

Purdue Boilermakers: Matt Painter (21st season)