Michigan Wolverines vs Purdue Boilermakers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 01/24/2025

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Friday, January 24, 2025

Venue:  Mackey Arena, West Lafayette, IN

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Michigan +3.5, Purdue -3.5; Over/Under:  151.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Michigan +3.5, Purdue -3.5; Over/Under:  151.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Michigan +3.5, Purdue -3.5; Over/Under:  151.5 points

Michigan Wolverines:  14-4 (6-1) (2nd place, Big Ten)

Purdue Boilermakers:  15-5 (7-2) (3rd place, Big Ten)

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Michigan Wolverines:  4-1  last 5

Purdue Boilermakers:  4-1  last 5

Michigan is entering this game with a 14-4 record overall, a 6-1 record in conference games, and they are 3-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Northwestern Wildcats in their last game. Vladislav Goldin led the team in points per game in that game with 31 while Nimari Burnett was next on the team with 13. Tre Donaldson led the team in assists with 4 in that game while Daniel Wolf led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 36.1% from the field, 25.9% from 3-point range, and 78.4% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 84.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 69.4 PPG against them. Michigan has an ATS record of 11-7 this season and their O/U record is 11-7.

Purdue is entering this game with a 15-5 record overall, a 7-2 conference record, and they are 9-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Ohio State Buckeyes in their last game. Trey Kaufman-Renn led the team in points in that game with 26 while Fletcher Loyer was next on the team with 16. Braden Smith led the team in assists with 8 in that game while Trey Kaufman-Renn led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 48.1% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 78.9% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 76.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 67.7 PPG against them. Purdue has an ATS record of 11-9 this season and their O/U record is 11-9.

The current betting odds have Purdue listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Purdue has looked really good in their games this season with their 15-5 record overall and their 7-2 conference record which has them right near the top of the Big Ten. They have looked great on their home court too with their 9-1 home record. Meanwhile, Michigan has looked really good in their games this season with their 14-4 record overall and their 6-1 conference record which has them right near the top of the Big Ten. They have been a good road team so far with their 3-1 road record, but this game is going to be one of their bigger tests this season. Michigan has been rolling over teams in the conference and is even ranked inside the top 25 as Dusty May has turned this program around in only his 2nd season, but they are coming off a win over Northwestern in their last one and that was a tighter game for them at home. Now they are on the road against another ranked opponent and this is going to be a much tougher environment to go into. Purdue has been rolling teams all season too and they have also been the dominant team in the Big Ten over the last few years so they are going to bring their best effort for Michigan as this is an important game in the standings. Purdue is also coming off a loss at home to Ohio State in their last one so they are going to be motivated to bounce back. Michigan has the talent to go toe-to-toe with Purdue here, but they are running into this Purdue team at the wrong time. The best way to place a bet here is on Purdue to cover the spread in this game. 

Michigan Purdue Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Friday, January 24, 2025 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Purdue 82 Michigan 74.

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Michigan Wolverines: 2-12 ATS after 3 or more consecutive overs. 4-7 ATS off a home win against a conference rival. 7-14 ATS in January games. 18-9 OVER when the total is 150 to 159.5. 14-5 OVER off a win against a conference rival. 22-13 OVER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game.

Purdue Boilermakers: 7-3 ATS off a loss against a conference rival. 24-14 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game. 31-23 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% of their shots or more. 25-16 OVER as a home favorite or pick. 14-2 OVER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% of their attempts or more.

Michigan Wolverines:  None.

Purdue Boilermakers:  D. Jacobsen (C) Out - Knee.

“It’s exciting on one hand. The other side is our physical health, our mental health, our stamina from a coaching standpoint not to get too high or too low. From a player standpoint, to not be consumed with a good game or a bad game. Just continue to work and keep putting one foot in front of the other and good things are going to happen for us. If we get too low because of the way we play individually or collectively, then that will turn into two, three, four, five losses.” - Dusty May on playing against Purdue this week.

“You know, you get on a win streak — we hadn’t lost since Auburn — and you just want to move to the next game. And then when you lose — you’ve got to be able to look at some wins and kind of pick at yourself when you win. Because you always pick at yourself when you lose. If you really want to improve, you’ve got to really pick at yourself. So, that’s what we try to do with our guys.” - Matt Painter after his team’s loss against Ohio State in their last game. 

N. Burnett 

T. Donaldson 

R. Gayle 

V. Goldin 

D. Wolf

M. Colvin 

C. Heide 

T. Kaufman-Renn 

F. Loyer 

B. Smith

PPG: V. Goldin (16.4)

APG: T. Donaldson (4.3)

Reb/G: D. Wolf (10.2)

PPG: T. Kaufman-Renn (18.3)

APG: B. Smith (8.9)

Reb/G: T. Kaufman-Renn (6.5)

Coaches:

Michigan Wolverines: Dusty May (1st season)

Purdue Boilermakers: Matt Painter (20th season)