Michigan Wolverines vs Purdue Boilermakers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 01/23/2024

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Jan 22, 2024
Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Tuesday, January 23, 2024
Venue:  Mackey Complex, West Lafayette, IN
Where to Watch:  Peacock


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Michigan +17.5, Purdue -17.5; Over/Under:  153.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Michigan +17.5, Purdue -17.5; Over/Under:  153.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Michigan +17.5, Purdue -17.5; Over/Under:  153.5 points

Season Record

Michigan Wolverines:  7-11 (2-5) (14th place, Big Ten)
Purdue Boilermakers:  17-2 (6-2) (2nd place, Big Ten)

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Recent Form
Michigan Wolverines:  1-4  last 5
Purdue Boilermakers:  4-1  last 5


Michigan Wolverines vs Purdue Boilermakers Preview and Analysis


Michigan is entering this game with a 7-11 record overall, a 2-5 record in conference games, and they are 2-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Illinois Fighting Illini in their last game. Tarris Reed Jr. led the team in points per game in that game with 20 while Olivier Nkamhoua was next on the team with 16. Dug McDaniel led the team in assists with 6 in that game while Tarris Reed Jr. led the team in rebounds with 5. They were 47.6% from the field, 23.1% from 3-point range, and 83.3% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 79.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 77.6 PPG against them. Michigan has an ATS record of 6-12 this season and their O/U record is 12-6.


Purdue is entering this game with a 17-2 record overall, a 6-2 conference record, and they are 9-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Iowa Hawkeyes in their last game. Zach Edey led the team in points in that game with 30 while Lance Jones was next on the team with 17. Braden Smith led the team in assists with 9 in that game while Zach Edey led the team in rebounds with 18. They were 44.8% from the field, 34.6% from 3-point range, and 71.4% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 85.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 69.4 PPG against them. Purdue has an ATS record of 11-6-2 this season and their O/U record is 13-6.



Michigan vs Purdue Prediction

The current betting odds have Purdue listed as a 17.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Purdue has looked really good in their games this season with their 17-2 record overall which has them ranked as one of the best teams in the country this season. They have been ranked in the top 5 all year and have looked great in conference play with their 6-2 conference record. They have also looked great on their home court this year with their 9-0 home record. Meanwhile, Michigan has looked terrible in their games this season with their 7-11 record overall and they have struggled a lot in the Big Ten too with their 2-5 conference record which has them at the bottom of the conference. They haven't looked great in their road games either with their 2-3 road record this season. Michigan is one of the worst teams in the conference right now and they have been struggling against weaker teams they have played in the Big Ten. Purdue is not only one of the best teams in the conference but they are also one of the best teams in the country and have won many of their games lately by double digits scores. This is a lot of points but Purdue has already received a scare this season with both of their losses coming in the conference so they are going to be motivated to bring their best effort in every game this year. The best way to place a bet here is on Purdue to cover the spread in this game. 

Michigan Purdue Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Tuesday, January 23, 2024 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Purdue 96 Michigan 66.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert basketball picks today. And if you enjoyed this Michigan Wolverines Purdue Boilermakers prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAB predictions and previews.

NCAAB Betting Trends


Michigan Wolverines: 6-12 ATS in all games. 3-8 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread. 1-7 ATS after a combined score of 155 points or more. 12-6 OVER in all games. 7-2 OVER when the total is 150 to 159.5. 8-3 OVER after one or more consecutive overs.

Purdue Boilermakers: 12-6 ATS in all games. 11-6 ATS as a favorite. 11-4 ATS after scoring 80 points or more in 3 straight games. 6-1 ATS after 5 straight games forcing opponents to commit 14 or less turnovers. 13-6 OVER in all games. 12-6 OVER as a favorite. 9-5 OVER in a home game where the total is 150 to 154.5. 8-2 OVER after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more.

Key Injuries


Michigan Wolverines:  T. Jackson (F) Ques Tues - Undisclosed. H. Hochberg (F) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. C. Smith (G) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed.

Purdue Boilermakers:  None.

Notable Quotes


“It’s all based on physicality. It’s also based on being in tune to doing the hard things and the hard things don’t always show up in the box scores. It doesn’t show up on the highlights." - Juwan Howard after his team’s loss against Illinois in their last game on Thursday.


“It was just getting shots and trying to live on the glass. We have a great rebounding team, and tonight our ability to rebound the ball was probably the difference in the game. Nineteen offensive rebounds, that's pretty impressive." - Matt Painter after his team’s win against Iowa in their last game on Saturday.


Starting Lineups


Michigan Wolverines
N. Burnett 
D. McDaniel 
O. Nkamhoua 
T. Reed 
T. Williams

Purdue Boilermakers
Z. Edey 
L. Jones 
T. Kaufman-Renn 
F. Loyer 
B. Smith

Statistical Leaders


Michigan Wolverines
PPG: D. McDaniel (17.4)
APG: D. McDaniel (5.1)
Reb/G: O. Nkamhoua (7.3)

Purdue Boilermakers
PPG: Z. Edey (23.3)
APG: B. Smith (7.2)
Reb/G: Z. Edey (11.5)

Coaches:
Michigan Wolverines: Juwan Howard (5th season)
Purdue Boilermakers: Matt Painter (19th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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