Michigan Wolverines vs Penn State Nittany Lions Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/11/2023

Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 11, 2023

Venue:  Beaver Stadium, University Park, PA

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Michigan -4.5, PSU +4.5; Over/Under:  44.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Michigan -4.5, PSU +4.5; Over/Under:  44.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Michigan -4.5, PSU +4.5; Over/Under:  44.5 points

Michigan Wolverines:  9-0 (6-0) (1st place, Big Ten East)

Penn State Nittany Lions:  8-1 (5-1) (3rd place, Big Ten East)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Kyle Hunter is on a HOT STREAK in NCAAF as he is 92-52 his last 144 CFB Plays! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Michigan Wolverines:  won their last game at home against the Purdue Boilermakers 41-13.

Penn State Nittany Lions:  won their last game on the road against the Maryland Terrapins 51-15.

Michigan is entering this game with a 9-0 record overall and they have a 6-0 record in their conference games too. They are 6-0 in their home games, 3-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Purdue 41-13. J.J. McCarthy was the starting QB and he completed 24/37 passes for 335 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Blake Corum led the team in rushing yards with 44 and 3 TDs. Roman Wilson led the receivers with 143 receiving yards on 9 receptions. Makari Paige led the defense in that game with 3 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Josaiah Stewart and Kris Jenkins each led the defense in sacks with 1. Will Johnson came away with the only interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

Penn State is entering this game with an 8-1 record overall and they have a 5-1 record in their conference games too. They are 5-0 in their home games, 3-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Maryland 51-15. Drew Allar was the starting QB and he completed 25/34 passes for 240 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Kaytron Allen led the team in rushing yards with 91 and 1 TD. KeAndre Lambert-Smith led the receivers with 95 receiving yards on 8 receptions. Abdul Carter led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Abdul Carter, Adisa Isaac, Johnny Dixon, Keon Wylie, Hakeem Beamon, and Tony Rojas each led the defense in sacks with 1. Dominic DeLuca and Tony Rojas each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have Michigan listed as a 4.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Michigan is 9-0 this season and has looked really good in their games all year. They are 6-0 in their conference games and they continue to blow teams out week after week. Penn State has also been really good this season with their 8-1 record overall and their 5-1 conference record, but their 1 loss came against Ohio State and they are going to have similar troubles here against Michigan with how good they have been all year. Penn State does have a really good defense and the home advantage in this game, but Michigan also has one of the best defenses in the country to respond with and the Penn State offense has struggled at times lately like in their game against Ohio State while Michigan has been rolling teams in games all season, still scoring 30+ points in games where they weren't that great. Michigan is on a mission this year with all of the outside noise going on and seeing Ohio State ranked 1st in the country is only going to fuel them going forward. The best way to place a bet here is on Michigan to cover the spread in this game. 

Michigan Penn State Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 11, 2023 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Michigan 27 Penn State 10.

Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Michigan Wolverines Penn State Nittany Lions prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.

Michigan Wolverines: 8-17 ATS as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points. 10-19 ATS after gaining 325 or more passing yards in the last game. 9-3 OVER in road games. 17-8 OVER in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 45. 

Penn State Nittany Lions: 23-11 ATS in all games. 12-6 ATS in home games. 15-8 ATS against conference opponents. 44-25 OVER off 2 straight wins against conference rivals. 16-6 OVER off a road blowout win by 28 points or more. 

Michigan Wolverines:  D. Warren (QB) day-to-day - Undisclosed. K. English (WR) day-to-day - Undisclosed. C. Stokes (RB) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. L. Forbes (WR) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed.

Penn State Nittany Lions:  F. Oluleye (WR) day-to-day - Undisclosed. C. Taylor (WR) day-to-day - Undisclosed. A. Rappleyea (TE) day-to-day - Undisclosed. T. Holzworth (RB) day-to-day - Undisclosed. C. Robinson (DE) day-to-day - Undisclosed. M. Stahl (WR) day-to-day - Undisclosed. H. Wallace III (WR) Out indefinitely - Arm. J. Mahlert (WR) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. D. Kency (RB) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. M. Robinson (DE) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. J. Green (S) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. I. Harvie (OL) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. K. Kiesewetter (QB) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. T. Johnson (WR) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. A. Ford Jr. (DT) out for season - Undisclosed.

“We were already super close as a unit, but with more stuff coming in — the noise — we just think of it as us against the world." - J.J. McCarthy after their win against Purdue in their last game. 

"I’m focused on all the stuff I see on film. That’s what we’re focused on, is all the stuff that we see on film, their players, their scheme. When I say all the stuff we see on film, that we see on the coaches’ copy of the film, the stuff that’s going on between the sidelines, the 53-and-a-third (yards comprising a field's width). That's what we're focused on." - James Franklin on his team’s upcoming game against Michigan this week.

WR Johnson, Cornelius 

WR Wilson, Roman 

TE Barner, A.J. 

TE Loveland, Colston  

QB McCarthy, J.J. 

RB Corum, Blake

WR Cephas, Dante 

WR Lambert-Smith, KeAndre 

WR Clifford, Liam 

TE Johnson, Theo 

QB Allar, Drew 

RB Singleton, Nicholas

Passing: J. McCarthy (2134)

Rushing: B. Corum (649)

Receiving: R. Wilson (589)

Touchdowns: B. Corum (16)

Passing: D. Allar (1895)

Rushing: K. Allen (573)

Receiving: K. Lambert-Smith (645)

Touchdowns: N. Singleton (8)

Coaches:

Michigan Wolverines: Jim Harbaugh (9th season)

Penn State Nittany Lions: James Franklin (10th season)