Michigan Wolverines vs Ohio State Buckeyes Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/30/2024

Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 30, 2024

Venue:  Ohio Stadium, Columbus, OH

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Michigan +20.5, Ohio State -20.5; Over/Under:  43 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Michigan +20.5, Ohio State -20.5; Over/Under:  43.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Michigan +21, Ohio State -21; Over/Under:  43.5 points

Michigan Wolverines:  6-5 (4-4) (8th place, Big Ten)

Ohio State Buckeyes:  10-1 (7-1) (3rd place, Big Ten)

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Michigan Wolverines:  won their last game at home against the Northwestern Wildcats 50-6.

Ohio State Buckeyes:  won their last game at home against the Indiana Hoosiers 38-15.

Michigan is entering this game with a 6-5 record overall and they have a 4-4 record in their conference games too. They are 6-2 in their home games, 0-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Northwestern 50-6. Davis Warren was the starting QB and he completed 26/35 passes for 195 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Kalel Mullings led the team in rushing yards with 92 and 3 TDs. Tyler Morris led the receivers with 64 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Ernest Hausmann led the defense in that game with 3 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Josaiah Stewart led the defense in sacks with 2. Aamir Hall and Mason Curtis each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Ohio State is entering this game with a 10-1 record overall and they have a 7-1 record in their conference games too. They are 7-0 in their home games, 3-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Indiana 38-15. Will Howard was the starting QB and he completed 22/26 passes for 201 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. TreVeyon Henderson led the team in rushing yards with 68 and 1 TD. Emeka Egbuka led the receivers with 80 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 1 TD. Cody Simon led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 6 assisted tackles while Cody Simon led the defense in sacks with 2.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Michigan listed as a 20.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Michigan hasn't looked great in their games this season with their 6-5 record overall and their 4-4 conference record which has them in the middle of the Big Ten. They have taken a big step from last season with all the turnover after winning the National Championship, but they have started to look a lot better in their games lately. They just became bowl eligible with a 50-6 win over Northwestern in their last one and even though they don't have playoffs to play for this year, there is no game on their schedule that they are going to be more motivated to play than this one. Meanwhile, Ohio State has looked really good in their games this season with their 10-1 record overall and their 7-1 conference record which has them right near the top of the Big Ten. They are coming off a 38-15 win over Indiana last week and their only loss this season was against Oregon who is still undefeated. They have looked great in their home games this year with their 7-0 home record, but there have been a few games where they got off to a slow start and that could hurt them in this game against a physical team like Michigan. Michigan is going to have some momentum from their win last week and they have looked a lot better over their last few games, even their starting QB Davis Warren looking better too. They are going to bring their best effort to spoil Ohio State's season and they won't let Ohio State run away with the game even in a loss. The best way to place a bet here is on Michigan to cover the spread in this game. 

Michigan Ohio State Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 30, 2024 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Ohio State 31 Michigan 17.

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Michigan Wolverines: 8-4 ATS in road lined games. 5-1 ATS in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49. 10-2 ATS versus good rushing defenses - allowing 120 rushing yards/game or less. 4-1 OVER as an underdog. 8-4 OVER vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. 8-4 OVER versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 yards/play or more.

Ohio State Buckeyes: 14-23 1H ATS in all lined games. 13-22 1H ATS as a favorite. 6-16 1H ATS off a win against a conference rival. 11-5 OVER off a home win by 17 points or more. 7-4 OVER versus good rushing defenses - allowing 3.25 rushing yards/carry or less. 

Michigan Wolverines:  C. Loveland (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. W. Johnson (DB) Questionable - Lower Body. C. Bartholomew (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Mangham (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. S. Morgan (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Pollard (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. A. Walker (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Persi (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. A. Gentry (OL) Out - Lower Body. J. McBurrows (DB) Out - Undisclosed. R. Moore (DB) Out - Knee.

Ohio State Buckeyes:  R. Stocksdale (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. Z. Michalski (OL) Questionable - Lower Body. N. Baudo (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. S. McLaughlin (OL) Out - Achilles. J. Simmons (OL) Out - Knee. T. Caffey (RB) Out - Knee.

“They couldn’t get the run game going and there was very little they could do in the pass game. It seemed like they were just searching and couldn’t do much because our defense was playing so well.” - Sherrone Moore after his team’s win against Northwestern in their last game.

“Our guys just played with a chip today, and that’s the way you got to play the game of football.” - Ryan Day after his team’s win against Indiana in their last game. 

WR Bell, Kendrick

WR O'Leary, Peyton 

WR Morris, Tyler 

TE Loveland, Colston 

QB Warren, Davis 

RB Edwards, Donovan

WR Smith, Jeremiah

WR Tate, Carnell 

WR Egbuka, Emeka 

TE Scott Jr., Gee 

QB Howard, Will 

RB Henderson, TreVeyon

Passing: D. Warren (1064)

Rushing: K. Mullings (832)

Receiving: C. Loveland (582)

Touchdowns: K. Mullings (11)

Passing: W. Howard (2685)

Rushing: Q. Judkins (759)

Receiving: J. Smith (899)

Touchdowns: J. Smith (10)

Coaches:

Michigan Wolverines: Sherrone Moore (1st season)

Ohio State Buckeyes: Ryan Day (7th season)