Michigan Wolverines vs Northwestern Wildcats Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/11/2026

Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Wednesday, February 11, 2026

Venue:  Welsh Ryan Arena, Evanston, IL

Where to Watch:  Big Ten Network

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Michigan -14.5, Northwestern +14.5; Over/Under:  152.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Michigan -14.5, Northwestern +14.5; Over/Under:  152.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Michigan -14.5, Northwestern +14.5; Over/Under:  152.5 points

Michigan Wolverines:  22-1 (12-1) (1st place, Big Ten)

Northwestern Wildcats:  10-14 (2-11) (16th place, Big Ten)

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Michigan Wolverines:  5-0  last 5

Northwestern Wildcats:  1-4  last 5

Michigan is entering this game with a 22-1 record overall, a 12-1 record in conference games, and they are 7-0 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Ohio State Buckeyes in their last game. Aday Mara led the team in points in that game with 24 while Yaxel Lendeborg was next on the team with 14. Elliot Cadeau led the team in assists with 6 in that game while Yaxel Lendeborg led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 45.8% from the field, 41.7% from 3-point range, and 85.7% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 91 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.6 PPG against them. Michigan has an ATS record of 12-11 this season and their O/U record is 9-14.

Northwestern is entering this game with a 10-14 record overall, a 2-11 conference record, and they are 7-5 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Iowa Hawkeyes in their last game. Nick Martinelli led the team in points in that game with 21 while Jake West was next on the team with 18. Jake West led the team in assists with 4 in that game while Angelo Ciaravino led the team in rebounds with 5. They were 46.7% from the field, 57.1% from 3-point range, and 90.9% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 75 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 72.6 PPG against them. Northwestern has an ATS record of 9-13-2 this season and their O/U record is 12-11-1.

The current betting odds have Michigan listed as a 14.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Michigan has looked great in their games this season with their 22-1 record overall and their 12-1 conference record which has them right at the top of the Big Ten. They have been a great road team too with their 7-0 road record this year. Meanwhile, Northwestern has looked terrible in their games this season with their 10-14 record overall and their 2-11 conference record which has them right near the bottom of the Big Ten. They have looked better on their home court this season with their 7-5 home record, but even that isn't a great home record. Northwestern has been one of the worst teams in the Big Ten all season and they haven't looked good lately either. They are 1-4 in their last 5 games and have no momentum on their side with 3 losses in a row now. They are off a road loss to Iowa in their last one and they did put up a good fight in that game, but Iowa isn't even a top team in the Big Ten and that hasn't been a common theme for them this year. They have been getting blown out in a lot of their conference games all year and they haven't really been able to compete with the top teams in the conference either. On the other hand, Michigan has looked like the best team in the nation at times, not just the Big Ten, and they have been rolling all season with many double digit wins under their belt. Their only loss this year was a tight game against Wisconsin where they were just outshot, but they have won 8 games in a row now and have a ton of momentum on their side. The best way to place a bet here is on Michigan to cover the spread in this game. 

Michigan Northwestern Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Wednesday, February 11, 2026 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Michigan 87 Northwestern 64.

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Michigan Wolverines: 9-3 ATS after a win by 15 points or more. 11-6 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins. 7-4 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 16 assists/game or more. 8-3 UNDER off a win against a conference rival.

Northwestern Wildcats: 1-7 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%). 2-9 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game. 4-9 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game. 7-3 UNDER as an underdog. 

Michigan Wolverines:  W. Grady (G-F) Questionable - Undisclosed. R. Liburd (G-F) Out - Redshirt.

Northwestern Wildcats:  None.

"Obviously, we know the importance of Ohio State football, and it's life or death. And Ohio State basketball has a very proud tradition, but it's not the same.” - Dusty May after his team’s win against Ohio State in their last game. 

“He’s going to have a lot of success, he’s going to win a lot of games (at Iowa). He’s a terrific coach, and I have a ton of respect for him.” - Chris Collins on Ben McCollum after his team’s loss against Iowa in their last game. 

N. Burnett 

E. Cadeau 

M. Johnson 

Y. Lendeborg 

A. Mara

A. Ciaravino 

N. Martinelli 

A. Page 

J. Reid 

T. Singleton

PPG: Yaxel Lendeborg (14.3)

APG: Elliot Cadeau (5.4)

Reb/G: Yaxel Lendeborg (7.5)

PPG: Nick Martinelli (22.7)

APG: Jayden Reid (5.1)

Reb/G: Nick Martinelli (6.4)

Coaches:

Michigan Wolverines: Dusty May (2nd season)

Northwestern Wildcats: Chris Collins (13th season)