Michigan Wolverines vs Nebraska Cornhuskers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 09/30/2023

Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, September 30, 2023

Venue:  Memorial Stadium, Lincoln, NE 

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Michigan -17, Nebraska +17; Over/Under:  39 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Michigan -17, Nebraska +17; Over/Under:  39 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Michigan -17.5, Nebraska +17.5; Over/Under:  39.5 points

Michigan Wolverines:  4-0 (1-0) (4th place, Big Ten East)

Nebraska Cornhuskers:  2-2 (0-1) (6th place, Big Ten West)

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Michigan Wolverines:  won their last game at home against the Rutgers Scarlet Knights 31-7.

Nebraska Cornhuskers:  won their last game at home against the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 28-14.

Michigan is entering this game with a 4-0 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their conference games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Rutgers 31-7. J.J. McCarthy was the starting QB and he completed 15/21 passes for 214 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Blake Corum led the team in rushing yards with 97 and 2 TDs. Colston Loveland led the receivers with 75 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Junior Colson led the defense in that game with 2 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. Mike Sainristil came away with the only interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

Nebraska is entering this game with a 2-2 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their conference games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 0-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against LA Tech 28-14. Heinrich Haarberg was the starting QB and he completed 8/17 passes for 107 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Heinrich Haarberg led the team in rushing yards with 157 and 1 TD. Billy Kemp led the receivers with 62 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Omar Brown led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Danny Stutsman and Jonah Laulu each led the defense in sacks with 1. Isaac Gifford came away with the only interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have Michigan listed as a 17 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Michigan enters this game with a 4-0 record overall and they haven't been putting up a ton of points in their games this year but they have still been blowing teams out since their defense doesn't give up many points. They weren't great against Rutgers last week on offense but they only gave up 7 points and still won the game by over 20 points. Nebraska is in their 1st year with new head coach Matt Rhule and they are coming off a win in their last game against LA Tech, but they have looked terrible in their games this season with a really bad offense. Michigan has a really good defense and even being on the road here they aren't going to give up many points against one of the worst offenses in the Big Ten this season. Michigan also has a good enough offense to put up a lot of points so this number is too small for Nebraska to cover even being at home for this game. The best way to place a bet here is on Michigan to cover the spread in this game. 

Michigan Nebraska Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 30, 2023 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Michigan 38 Nebraska 7.

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Michigan Wolverines: 18-36 ATS after a loss by 17 or more points. 18-30 ATS off a home loss against a conference rival. 8-3 UNDER in road games. 17-9 UNDER after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games. 5-1 UNDER after a 2 game home stand.

Nebraska Cornhuskers: 37-23 ATS when the total is 42 or less. 10-1 ATS after gaining 75 or less passing yards in the last game. 11-6 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders. 20-11 UNDER in all games. 13-7 UNDER when the total is 42 or less. 11-6 UNDER off 1 or more consecutive unders.

Michigan Wolverines:  A. Walker (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. J. Rolder (LB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. L. Forbes (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. T. Dunlap (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. B. Hall (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. Z. Berry (DB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. J. McBurrows (DB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. C. Stokes (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. J. Tuttle (QB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. A. Orji (QB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed.

Nebraska Cornhuskers:  J. Sims (QB) Ques Sat - Ankle. H. Haarberg (QB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. A. Gilbert (TE) Ques Sat - Eligibility. D. Bootle II (DB) out for season - Shoulder. G. Ervin Jr. (RB) out for season - Hip. R. Johnson (RB) out for season - Shoulder. I. Garcia-Castaneda (WR) out for season - Knee. M. Noonan (LB) out for season - Knee. B. Tagaloa (DL) out for season - Knee.

“Rutgers went up 7-0 and we knew we needed to score just for the energy. That second drive was a huge part of the game.” - Blake Corum after their win against Rutgers in their last game. 

“It wasn't our best game but any time we have (312) yards rushing we're going to be excited about that. Some of the option plays were really good plays for us. The speed options allowed us to get on the perimeter. There's still a lot of things to improve and clean up.” - Matt Rhule after his team’s win against LA Tech in their last game. 

WR Johnson, Cornelius 

WR Moore, Fredrick 

WR Wilson, Roman 

TE Bredeson, Max  

QB McCarthy, J.J. 

RB Corum, Blake 

WR Bullock, Alex 

WR Washington, Marcus  

WR Kemp IV, Billy 

TE Boerkircher, Nate 

QB Sims, Jeff 

RB Grant, Anthony  

FB Bonner, Janiran 

Passing: J. McCarthy (915)

Rushing: B. Corum (351)

Receiving: R. Wilson (268)

Touchdowns: B. Corum (8)

Passing: H. Haarberg (278)

Rushing: H. Haarberg (272)

Receiving: B. Kemp IV (132)

Touchdowns: T. Fidone II (3)

Coaches:

Michigan Wolverines: Jim Harbaugh (9th season)

Nebraska Cornhuskers: Matt Rhule (1st season)