by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Nov 28, 2023
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Saturday, December 2, 2023
Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Michigan -23, Iowa +23; Over/Under: 35.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Michigan -23, Iowa +23; Over/Under: 35.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Michigan -23, Iowa +23; Over/Under: 35.5 points
Season Record
Michigan Wolverines: 12-0 (9-0) (1st place, Big Ten East)
Iowa Hawkeyes: 10-2 (7-2) (1st place, Big Ten West)
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Recent Form
Michigan Wolverines: won their last game at home against the Ohio State Buckeyes 30-24.
Iowa Hawkeyes: won their last game on the road against the Nebraska Cornhuskers 13-10.
Michigan Wolverines vs Iowa Hawkeyes Preview and Analysis
Michigan is entering this game with a 12-0 record overall and they have a 9-0 record in their conference games too. They are 7-0 in their home games, 5-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They won their last game against Ohio State 30-24. J.J. McCarthy was the starting QB and he completed 16/20 passes for 148 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Blake Corum led the team in rushing yards with 88 and 2 TDs. Colston Loveland led the receivers with 88 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Junior Colson led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Mason Graham led the defense in sacks with 1. Rod Moore and Will Johnson each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.
Iowa is entering this game with a 10-2 record overall and they have a 7-2 record in their conference games too. They are 6-1 in their home games, 3-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They won their last game against Nebraska 13-10. Deacon Hill was the starting QB and he completed 11/28 passes for 94 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Leshon Williams led the team in rushing yards with 111. Steven Stilianos led the receivers with 38 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Ethan Hurkett led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Nick Jackson led the defense in sacks with 1. Ethan Hurkett came away with the only interception for them in that game.
Michigan vs Iowa Prediction
The current betting odds have Michigan listed as a 23 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This game will be the Big Ten Championship between Michigan and Iowa with this game being at a neutral site. Michigan has looked great in their games all season with their 12-0 record overall and their 9-0 conference record. As weak as their schedule has been with bad Big Ten teams to face, they still have 2 really nice wins against ranked Penn State and Ohio State. Meanwhile, Iowa has also looked good this season with their 10-2 record overall and their 7-2 conference record but it has mainly been their defense that has looked good. Their defense has been keeping them in their games and continuously makes plays to win games since their offense has struggled to move the ball. Their defense has been enough to get them to this point but now they are facing one of the best teams in the country and they are going to need offense to keep this game even remotely close. The way Iowa has played on offense all season, they will have no chance of scoring on this Michigan defense that is one of the best in the country and eventually Michigan will pull away in this game to the point where Iowa won't be able to even cover. The best way to place a bet here is on Michigan to cover the spread in this game.
Michigan Iowa Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, December 2, 2023 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Michigan 38 Iowa 0.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Michigan Wolverines: 25-14 ATS in all games. 22-13 ATS as a favorite. 20-8 ATS against conference opponents. 7-3 UNDER as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points. 4-2 UNDER off a home win.
Iowa Hawkeyes: 3-6 ATS as an underdog of 21.5 to 31 points. 11-20 ATS after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers. 10-2 UNDER in all games. 9-1 UNDER when the total is 35 or less. 12-6 UNDER off a win against a conference rival.
Key Injuries
Michigan Wolverines: D. Warren (QB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. Z. Zinter (OL) out for season - Leg. K. English (WR) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. C. Stokes (RB) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. L. Forbes (WR) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed.
Iowa Hawkeyes: L. Jones (OL) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. D. Vines (WR) Doub Sat - Undisclosed. T. Hall (DB) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. C. DeJean (DB) out for season - Leg. T. Washington Jr. (RB) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. E. All (TE) out for season - Knee. C. McNamara (QB) out for season - Knee. A. Fahey (OL) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. R. Osgood (WR) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. J. Labas (QB) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. L. Lachey (TE) out for season - Ankle.
Notable Quotes
“The whole mantra: the team, the team, the team. We are that team.” - J.J. McCarthy on what Jim Harbaugh told his team before their win against OSU in their last game.
“Drew just had a tough day today. He’s been a really good performer for us and just so consistent that the fact, to have two kickoffs go out of bounds, I just felt like maybe it’s best to let him sit a little bit.” - Kirk Ferentz after his team’s win against Nebraska in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Michigan Wolverines
WR Johnson, Cornelius
WR Wilson, Roman
TE Barner, A.J.
TE Loveland, Colston
QB McCarthy, J.J.
RB Corum, Blake
FB Bredeson, Max
Iowa Hawkeyes
WR Brown, Kaleb
WR Anderson, Seth
WR Ragaini, Nico
TE Ostrenga, Addison
QB Hill, Deacon
RB Williams, Leshon
FB Large, Hayden
Statistical Leaders
Michigan Wolverines
Passing: J. McCarthy (2483)
Rushing: B. Corum (976)
Receiving: R. Wilson (648)
Touchdowns: B. Corum (22)
Iowa Hawkeyes
Passing: D. Hill (976)
Rushing: L. Williams (779)
Receiving: E. All (299)
Touchdowns: E. All (3)
Coaches:
Michigan Wolverines: Jim Harbaugh (9th season)
Iowa Hawkeyes: Kirk Ferentz (25th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
