by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Nov 05, 2024
Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 9, 2024
Venue: Indiana University Memorial Stadium, Bloomington, IN
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Michigan +14, Indiana -14; Over/Under: 48.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Michigan +14, Indiana -14; Over/Under: 48.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Michigan +14.5, Indiana -14.5; Over/Under: 48.5 points
Season Record
Michigan Wolverines: 5-4 (3-3) (10th place, Big Ten)
Indiana Hoosiers: 9-0 (6-0) (1st place, Big Ten)
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Recent Form
Michigan Wolverines: lost their last game at home against the Oregon Ducks 38-17.
Indiana Hoosiers: won their last game on the road against the Michigan State Spartans 47-10.
Michigan Wolverines vs Indiana Hoosiers Preview and Analysis
Michigan is entering this game with a 5-4 record overall and they have a 3-3 record in their conference games too. They are 5-2 in their home games, 0-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Oregon 38-17. Davis Warren was the starting QB and he completed 13/23 passes for 165 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Donovan Edwards led the team in rushing yards with 52. Colston Loveland led the receivers with 112 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Jaishawn Barham led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Indiana is entering this game with a 9-0 record overall and they have a 6-0 record in their conference games too. They are 6-0 in their home games, 3-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Michigan State 47-10. Kurtis Rourke was the starting QB and he completed 19/29 passes for 263 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Justice Ellison led the team in rushing yards with 32. Ke'Shawn Williams led the receivers with 86 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Aiden Fisher led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Mikail Kamara led the defense in sacks with 2.5. Amare Ferrell came away with the 2 interceptions for them in that one.
Michigan vs Indiana Prediction
The current betting odds have Indiana listed as a 14 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Indiana has looked great in their games this season with their 9-0 record overall and their 6-0 conference record which has them right at the top of the Big Ten with one of the best records in the entire nation. They are ranked inside the top 25 and they are 1 of 2 undefeated teams left in the Big Ten. They are coming off a 47-10 win over Michigan State in their last one and they have been rolling teams like this all season, putting up a ton of points in their games too. Meanwhile, Michigan hasn't looked great in their games this season with their 5-4 record overall and their 3-3 conference record which has them lower in the Big Ten. They won the National Championship last season, but they lost a lot of those players and coaching staff to the NFL and haven't really been able to recover this year. Their defense has still looked good, but their offense has been a big issue with a QB carousel that doesn't really have a solid option to stick with. They don't put up a ton of points in their games and their defense will only be able to do so much in this game against one of the best offenses in the nation right now. Indiana also has a really good defense themselves so Michigan's struggling offense isn't going to get much done here, and they have only played 2 road games this season which they lost both. The best way to place a bet here is on Indiana to cover the spread in this game.
Michigan Indiana Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 9, 2024 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Indiana 45 Michigan 10.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Michigan Wolverines: 4-7 1H ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. 3-6 1H ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.75 rushing yards/carry or more. 9-5 OVER when the total is between 42.5 and 49. 8-3 OVER vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. 8-3 OVER versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 yards/play or more.
Indiana Hoosiers: 10-5 ATS as a favorite. 8-4 ATS when the total is between 42.5 and 49. 7-0 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game. 22-11 OVER in all lined games. 11-4 OVER as a favorite. 10-4 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record.
Key Injuries
Michigan Wolverines: C. Bartholomew (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Hill (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. A. Walker (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. W. Johnson (DB) Questionable - Lower Body. M. Pollard (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Mangham (DB) Questionable - Undisclosed. A. Gentry (OL) Out - Lower Body. J. Marshall (RB) Questionable - Lower Body. B. Kuzdzal (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. McBurrows (DB) Out - Undisclosed. R. Moore (DB) Out - Knee.
Indiana Hoosiers: V. Fiacable (OL) Out - Undisclosed. J. Philostin (DB) Out - Undisclosed. A. Depaepe (DL) Out - Undisclosed. N. Kidwell (OL) Out - Undisclosed.
Notable Quotes
“Every touchdown is supposed to be reviewed, so that’s something we’ve got to talk to the Big Ten about.” - Sherrone Moore after his team’s loss against Oregon in their last game.
“Michigan State came out and really made some impressive plays on offense, throwing and catching, and we responded with a nice touchdown drive. And then we got a couple turnovers on defense, which were huge. It was pretty dominant win, really, 47 straight points on the road against, I think, a good football team.” - Curt Cignetti after his team’s win against MSU in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Michigan Wolverines
WR Bell, Kendrick
WR Morris, Tyler
WR Morgan, Semaj
TE Loveland, Colston
QB Warren, Davis
RB Edwards, Donovan
Indiana Hoosiers
WR Sarratt, Elijah
WR Cross, Miles
WR Price, Myles
TE Horton, Zach
QB Jackson, Tayven
RB Lawton, Ty Son
Statistical Leaders
Michigan Wolverines
Passing: D. Warren (732)
Rushing: K. Mullings (710)
Receiving: C. Loveland (523)
Touchdowns: K. Mullings (7)
Indiana Hoosiers
Passing: K. Rourke (2204)
Rushing: J. Ellison (669)
Receiving: E. Sarratt (649)
Touchdowns: J. Ellison (9)
Coaches:
Michigan Wolverines: Sherrone Moore (1st season)
Indiana Hoosiers: Curt Cignetti (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
