Michigan Wolverines vs Arizona Wildcats Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 04/04/2026

Game Time: 8:49 pm ET, Saturday, April 4, 2026

Venue:  Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN

Where to Watch:  TBS, HBO Max, truTV

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Michigan -1.5, Arizona +1.5; Over/Under:  157.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Michigan -1.5, Arizona +1.5; Over/Under:  157.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Michigan -1.5, Arizona +1.5; Over/Under:  157.5 points

Michigan Wolverines:  35-3 (19-1) (1st place, Big Ten)

Arizona Wildcats:  36-2 (16-2) (1st place, Big 12)

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Michigan Wolverines:  4-1  last 5

Arizona Wildcats:  5-0  last 5

Michigan is entering this game with a 35-3 record overall, a 19-1 record in conference games, and they are 10-2 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Tennessee Volunteers in their last game. Yaxel Lendeborg led the team in points in that game with 27 while Morez Johnson Jr. and Trey McKenney each were next on the team with 12. Elliot Cadeau led the team in assists with 10 in that game while Yaxel Lendeborg and Nimari Burnett each led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 51.8% from the field, 37% from 3-point range, and 73% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 87.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 69.6 PPG against them. Michigan has an ATS record of 18-20 this season and their O/U record is 16-22.

Arizona is entering this game with a 36-2 record overall, a 16-2 conference record, and they are 11-0 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Purdue Boilermakers in their last game. Koa Peat led the team in points in that game with 20 while Ivan Kharchenkov was next on the team with 18. Jaden Bradley led the team in assists with 6 in that game while Motiejus Krivas led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 46.6% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 90.9% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 86.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.8 PPG against them. Arizona has an ATS record of 23-14-1 this season and their O/U record is 19-19.

The current betting odds have Arizona listed as a 1.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Arizona has looked great in their games this season with their 36-2 record overall and their 16-2 conference record which had them right at the top of the Big 12. They have looked great in their neutral site games too, going 11-0 in those. Meanwhile, Michigan has looked great in their games this season with their 35-3 record overall and their 19-1 conference record which had them right at the top of the Big Ten. They are also 10-2 in their neutral site games this season. Both of these teams were the strongest teams in their respective conferences this season and both have been ranked like the 2 best teams in the nation all year. Michigan has been rolling in this tournament, crushing opponents by double digits in every game, but their last loss did come in the Big Ten Tournament and they haven't faced a lot of challenges this season. Arizona has also been rolling over opponents in their games. They haven't looked like Michigan in their games, but they have also been in control of every game they have been in. They did have a much tougher schedule playing in the Big 12 this season too and they got into some dog fights against some really good teams on their way to win the Big 12 Tournament. Michigan has looked like the better team throughout this tournament with the way they have been crushing opponents, but that isn't going to help them in a game like this, especially if it is close near the end. Arizona has a lot more experience playing in tighter games against good opponents and that is going to help them in this game when things start to get tight near the end. The best way to place a bet here is on Arizona to cover the spread in this game. 

Michigan Arizona Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, April 4, 2026 (8:49 pm ET start time) is Arizona 82 Michigan 78.

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Michigan Wolverines: 3-9 ATS in a neutral court game where the total is 150 to 159.5. 22-38 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game. 29-42 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 turnovers/game or less. 9-3 UNDER in a neutral court game where the total is 150 to 159.5. 

Arizona Wildcats: 11-4 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. 16-8 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%). 31-17 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game. 5-0 UNDER in a neutral court game where the total is 150 to 159.5.

Michigan Wolverines:  L. Cason (G) Out - Knee. W. Grady (G-F) Questionable - Undisclosed. R. Liburd (G-F) Out - Redshirt.

Arizona Wildcats:  B. James (G) Out - Redshirt.

“Our guys have been up to the challenge, to deliver in the biggest moments all year, and nothing changed tonight.” - Dusty May after his team’s win against Tennessee in the Elite 8 of the NCAA Tournament on Sunday. 

“They call him Mr. Arizona. Koa is special, and I know you guys hear it, but you got to hear it again. Four state championships at the same high school. Didn’t go to a prep school. Four gold medals with USA Basketball. No one in FIBA history has ever done that. And helped lead Arizona to a Final Four.” - Tommy Lloyd after his team’s win against Purdue in the NCAA Tournament Elite 8 on Saturday. 

N. Burnett 

E. Cadeau 

M. Johnson 

Y. Lendeborg 

A. Mara

J. Bradley 

B. Burries 

I. Kharchenkov 

M. Krivas 

K. Peat

PPG: Yaxel Lendeborg (15.2)

APG: Elliot Cadeau (5.8)

Reb/G: Morez Johnson Jr. (7.3)

PPG: Brayden Burries (16.1)

APG: Jaden Bradley (4.4)

Reb/G: Tobe Awaka (9.1)

Coaches:

Michigan Wolverines: Dusty May (2nd season)

Arizona Wildcats: Tommy Lloyd (5th season)